Navy
Men -
Women
2016
-
2017 -
2018
Switch to All-time Team Page
Rank | Name | Grade | Rating |
207 |
Kevin Murray |
SO |
32:11 |
278 |
Jake Brophy |
SO |
32:23 |
299 |
Cory Donley |
SR |
32:26 |
359 |
Josh Hanna |
SR |
32:34 |
451 |
Gabriel Collison |
SR |
32:43 |
827 |
Michael Karls |
JR |
33:25 |
899 |
Jacob Shewbert |
SO |
33:30 |
1,545 |
Julian Perez |
FR |
34:23 |
1,551 |
Connor Nicholson |
SO |
34:23 |
1,692 |
Daniel Helfand |
JR |
34:37 |
1,697 |
Quinn Schneider |
FR |
34:37 |
2,476 |
Benjamin Cracraft |
FR |
36:20 |
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National Champion |
0.0% |
Top 5 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 10 at Nationals |
0.0% |
Top 20 at Nationals |
0.5% |
Regional Champion |
15.4% |
Top 5 in Regional |
86.8% |
Top 10 in Regional |
100.0% |
Top 20 in Regional |
100.0% |
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Race Performance Ratings
Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.
Race | Date | Team Rating | |
Kevin Murray |
Jake Brophy |
Cory Donley |
Josh Hanna |
Gabriel Collison |
Michael Karls |
Jacob Shewbert |
Julian Perez |
Connor Nicholson |
Daniel Helfand |
Quinn Schneider |
Navy Invitational |
09/09 |
806 |
32:04 |
32:08 |
32:45 |
32:45 |
32:37 |
33:33 |
33:24 |
34:13 |
34:33 |
35:49 |
34:02 |
Roy Griak Invitational |
09/23 |
724 |
31:57 |
32:29 |
32:23 |
31:48 |
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33:21 |
32:59 |
34:22 |
34:29 |
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34:05 |
Paul Short Gold |
09/29 |
786 |
32:01 |
32:24 |
32:22 |
32:18 |
32:59 |
33:05 |
33:03 |
34:24 |
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34:48 |
35:10 |
Patriot League Championship |
10/28 |
818 |
32:15 |
32:24 |
32:04 |
33:07 |
32:39 |
33:29 |
33:41 |
34:34 |
34:09 |
34:14 |
35:11 |
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships |
11/10 |
816 |
32:29 |
32:21 |
32:21 |
32:33 |
32:27 |
33:16 |
33:37 |
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NCAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Ave Finish | Ave Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
26 |
27 |
28 |
29 |
30 |
31 |
NCAA Championship |
32.9% |
28.7 |
729 |
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0.1 |
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0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.1 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
4.3 |
6.0 |
10.9 |
Region Championship |
100% |
3.5 |
116 |
15.4 |
17.6 |
19.9 |
19.3 |
14.8 |
9.4 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
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Individual Results
NCAA Championship | Advances to Round | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
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1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Kevin Murray |
54.4% |
138.2 |
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Jake Brophy |
38.6% |
167.5 |
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Cory Donley |
36.5% |
169.8 |
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Josh Hanna |
33.4% |
185.6 |
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Gabriel Collison |
32.9% |
207.3 |
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Michael Karls |
33.4% |
243.1 |
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Jacob Shewbert |
33.5% |
244.3 |
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Regional | Ave Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Kevin Murray |
8.1 |
2.2 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
7.5 |
7.5 |
6.5 |
6.9 |
5.6 |
5.7 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
2.0 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
Jake Brophy |
15.0 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.5 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
5.2 |
5.2 |
4.2 |
3.6 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
3.9 |
2.9 |
3.2 |
2.2 |
2.5 |
2.4 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
2.7 |
2.2 |
Cory Donley |
17.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
2.7 |
3.0 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
Josh Hanna |
23.4 |
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0.2 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.3 |
3.3 |
3.1 |
3.5 |
2.8 |
2.8 |
2.9 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
2.1 |
3.0 |
Gabriel Collison |
31.4 |
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0.1 |
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0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
1.6 |
2.2 |
2.4 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
2.2 |
2.9 |
2.8 |
2.5 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
Michael Karls |
68.7 |
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Jacob Shewbert |
74.2 |
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NCAA Championship Selection Detail
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Total |
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Region Finish |
Chance of Finishing |
Chance of Advancing |
Auto |
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At Large Selection |
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No Adv |
Auto |
At Large |
Region Finish |
1 |
2 |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
1 |
15.4% |
100.0% |
15.4 |
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15.4 |
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1 |
2 |
17.6% |
100.0% |
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17.6 |
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17.6 |
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2 |
3 |
19.9% |
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19.9 |
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3 |
4 |
19.3% |
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19.3 |
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4 |
5 |
14.8% |
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14.8 |
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5 |
6 |
9.4% |
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9.4 |
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6 |
7 |
2.6% |
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2.6 |
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7 |
8 |
1.0% |
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1.0 |
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9 |
0.2% |
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0.2 |
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9 |
10 |
0.1% |
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0.1 |
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10 |
11 |
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13 |
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14 |
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15 |
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16 |
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17 |
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18 |
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18 |
19 |
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20 |
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20 |
21 |
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21 |
22 |
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22 |
23 |
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23 |
24 |
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24 |
25 |
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25 |
26 |
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26 |
27 |
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27 |
28 |
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28 |
29 |
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29 |
30 |
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30 |
31 |
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31 |
32 |
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32 |
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Total |
100% |
32.9% |
15.4 |
17.6 |
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67.1 |
32.9 |
0.0 |
Points
At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection.
Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.