UCLA
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
107  Erika Adler FR 19:59
282  Cassandra Durgy SO 20:28
297  Claire Markey SO 20:31
557  Christina Rice FR 20:56
586  Jackie Garner SO 20:58
920  Taylor Taite JR 21:23
969  Kira Loren FR 21:26
1,150  Daniela Locastro FR 21:38
1,213  Veronica Yamane SR 21:42
1,322  Jessica Cushing-Murray SR 21:49
1,412  Alyson Jimenez FR 21:55
1,450  Lucie Semone FR 21:57
1,456  Kelly Bernd FR 21:57
1,876  Jacqueline Hill FR 22:24
2,125  Lilly Schmidt FR 22:41
2,229  Paige Carter FR 22:49
National Rank #52 of 348
West Region Rank #9 of 40
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 1.2%
Most Likely Finish 8th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.1%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.3%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 0.2%
Top 10 in Regional 76.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Erika Adler Cassandra Durgy Claire Markey Christina Rice Jackie Garner Taylor Taite Kira Loren Daniela Locastro Veronica Yamane Jessica Cushing-Murray Alyson Jimenez
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 909 20:07 20:31 21:11 20:51 22:09 21:44 21:51
Mustang Challenge 09/30 1243 21:39 21:51 22:00
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 800 19:41 20:27 20:48 20:46 21:16 21:28 22:05
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/14 1253 21:42 21:50
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 789 19:50 20:27 20:41 20:43 21:14 21:21 21:13 21:48
West Region Championships 11/10 926 20:36 20:30 20:33 21:10 21:01 21:16 21:34





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 1.2% 24.4 579 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1
Region Championship 100% 9.3 305 0.1 0.1 1.9 14.3 26.2 20.1 13.5 9.3 5.8 4.6 2.0 1.3 0.7 0.4 0.2



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erika Adler 18.2% 79.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Cassandra Durgy 1.3% 130.0
Claire Markey 1.3% 128.5
Christina Rice 1.2% 207.5
Jackie Garner 1.2% 213.5
Taylor Taite 1.2% 234.3
Kira Loren 1.2% 238.2


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Erika Adler 28.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.6 1.3 1.4 2.2 2.5 2.0 2.6 3.1 3.1 3.1 2.8 3.3 3.6 2.9
Cassandra Durgy 54.2 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3
Claire Markey 55.7 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4
Christina Rice 80.3
Jackie Garner 82.3
Taylor Taite 111.8
Kira Loren 116.0




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 3
4 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 4
5 0.1% 100.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 5
6 1.9% 51.4% 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.9 1.0 6
7 14.3% 14.3 7
8 26.2% 26.2 8
9 20.1% 20.1 9
10 13.5% 13.5 10
11 9.3% 9.3 11
12 5.8% 5.8 12
13 4.6% 4.6 13
14 2.0% 2.0 14
15 1.3% 1.3 15
16 0.7% 0.7 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 0.2% 0.2 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
Total 100% 1.2% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 98.9 0.0 1.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Florida State 4.9% 1.0 0.0
Tulsa 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Vanderbilt 0.5% 1.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Northern Illinois 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.1
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0