UCLA
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
18  Robert Brandt JR 31:07
45  Garrett Reynolds SO 31:29
124  Jackson Marshall JR 31:53
158  Myles Smith SR 32:01
181  Daniel De La Torre SR 32:05
222  Colin Burke SO 32:13
268  George Gleason SO 32:21
287  Richard Ho SR 32:24
339  John Carter Blunt FR 32:31
434  Millen Trujillo SO 32:42
562  Chris Morzenti FR 32:57
770  Andrew Ehrenberg FR 33:19
1,024  Tyler Janes FR 33:40
1,056  Cole Smith JR 33:42
1,130  Riley Kelly FR 33:49
1,150  Scott Snow JR 33:51
1,650  Maxwell Davis SR 34:33
National Rank #11 of 315
West Region Rank #4 of 33
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 94.3%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Nationals


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 5.8%
Top 10 at Nationals 42.4%
Top 20 at Nationals 90.8%


Regional Champion 2.2%
Top 5 in Regional 84.8%
Top 10 in Regional 100.0%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Robert Brandt Garrett Reynolds Jackson Marshall Myles Smith Daniel De La Torre Colin Burke George Gleason Richard Ho John Carter Blunt Millen Trujillo Chris Morzenti
Roy Griak Invitational 09/23 369 31:01 30:59 31:51 31:55 32:06 35:03 32:39 32:23 33:03 32:36
Mustang Challenge 09/30 1123 32:59
Nuttycombe Invitational 10/13 391 31:03 31:27 31:49 32:07 32:05 31:54 32:25
Santa Clara Bronco Invitational 10/14 952 32:26 32:20 32:44
Pac-12 Championship 10/27 411 31:18 31:34 31:45 31:54 32:14 32:04 32:08 32:27 32:12 33:17
West Region Championships 11/10 472 31:28 31:58 31:58 31:52 31:57 32:02 32:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 94.3% 11.7 353 0.1 0.9 1.8 3.1 5.1 7.0 7.9 8.3 8.4 7.6 7.2 6.8 6.6 5.3 4.4 3.6 3.1 2.3 1.9 0.9 0.6 0.9 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 4.1 117 2.2 8.9 26.0 29.6 18.2 8.9 4.0 2.0 0.3 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Brandt 99.4% 19.1 0.2 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.2 2.5 2.6 3.4 3.9 3.4 3.6 4.7 3.2 3.2 3.3 3.4 2.6 2.5 2.5 1.9 2.1 1.7 1.8 1.8 1.6
Garrett Reynolds 96.2% 48.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.4 1.3 1.5 1.5 1.7
Jackson Marshall 94.4% 101.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Myles Smith 94.4% 122.8
Daniel De La Torre 94.3% 132.4
Colin Burke 94.3% 157.6
George Gleason 94.3% 173.4


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Robert Brandt 3.3 14.8 17.6 14.7 9.7 8.5 5.4 3.9 2.6 2.2 2.1 1.5 2.3 1.7 1.6 1.3 1.2 1.3 0.8 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.5 0.6 0.4 0.5
Garrett Reynolds 11.1 0.5 1.7 3.6 6.2 7.7 5.6 5.1 5.5 5.2 4.7 3.9 3.9 3.1 3.7 2.5 3.0 2.1 2.0 2.4 2.3 1.9 2.0 1.6 1.8 1.2
Jackson Marshall 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.8 1.1 1.7 1.5 1.7 2.8 2.2 2.5 2.1 3.3 3.1 3.1 3.7 3.6 3.3 2.8 2.5
Myles Smith 33.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.5 1.7 2.3 2.4 1.8 2.3 2.3 3.1 2.4
Daniel De La Torre 36.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.8 0.8 1.4 1.1 1.5 1.1 2.1 2.0 2.1 2.4
Colin Burke 43.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.8 1.3 0.7 1.3
George Gleason 50.3 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 2.2% 100.0% 2.2 2.2 1
2 8.9% 100.0% 8.9 8.9 2
3 26.0% 100.0% 0.6 1.7 2.2 5.4 11.4 3.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 26.0 3
4 29.6% 100.0% 0.2 0.6 1.7 4.6 8.2 4.2 3.1 2.2 2.0 1.3 1.1 0.8 29.6 4
5 18.2% 95.9% 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.6 2.7 3.1 3.4 2.2 2.1 1.8 0.8 17.4 5
6 8.9% 82.6% 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.4 1.5 1.6 1.9 1.6 7.4 6
7 4.0% 58.8% 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.6 1.0 1.7 2.4 7
8 2.0% 28.2% 0.2 0.4 1.4 0.6 8
9 0.3% 0.3 9
10 0.1% 0.1 10
11 11
12 12
13 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
Total 100% 94.3% 2.2 8.9 0.6 1.8 2.8 7.1 16.2 12.4 6.5 6.4 6.2 6.8 5.5 5.4 5.8 5.7 11.1 83.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Michigan State 99.4% 1.0 1.0
Air Force 98.3% 1.0 1.0
Iona 97.0% 1.0 1.0
Iowa State 95.0% 1.0 1.0
Oregon 88.4% 1.0 0.9
Minnesota 88.2% 2.0 1.8
Washington 71.7% 2.0 1.4
North Carolina St. 69.1% 1.0 0.7
Illinois 56.1% 1.0 0.6
Washington St. 42.1% 2.0 0.8
Eastern Kentucky 38.0% 1.0 0.4
Penn 37.5% 1.0 0.4
Boise State 37.1% 1.0 0.4
Navy 32.9% 1.0 0.3
Wisconsin 26.1% 1.0 0.3
Florida State 23.7% 1.0 0.2
Purdue 22.8% 1.0 0.2
San Francisco 20.6% 2.0 0.4
Tulsa 7.9% 1.0 0.1
Eastern Michigan 4.6% 1.0 0.0
Columbia 4.0% 1.0 0.0
Virginia 3.8% 1.0 0.0
Indiana 1.0% 1.0 0.0
California 0.4% 2.0 0.0
Kentucky 0.3% 1.0 0.0
Total 12.9
Minimum 7.0
Maximum 18.0