Pittsburgh
Men - Women
2016 - 2017 - 2018
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RankNameGradeRating
197  Gillian Schriever JR 20:16
399  Miranda Salvo JR 20:41
477  Kelly Hayes SR 20:48
701  Sam Shields SO 21:08
776  Melanie Vlasic SR 21:13
798  Makenzie Zeh JR 21:15
802  Amy Kelly SR 21:15
1,042  Joslin Sellers SR 21:31
1,175  Rebecca Peters SR 21:39
1,736  Emily Loeffelholz SR 22:16
1,792  Anja Weiler SR 22:20
2,432  Mikaela Vlasic FR 23:09
National Rank #78 of 348
Mid-Atlantic Region Rank #7 of 38
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.4%
Most Likely Finish 6th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 26.0%
Top 10 in Regional 99.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Gillian Schriever Miranda Salvo Kelly Hayes Sam Shields Melanie Vlasic Makenzie Zeh Amy Kelly Joslin Sellers Rebecca Peters Emily Loeffelholz Anja Weiler
Joe Piane Invitational (Blue) 09/29 923 20:18 20:47 20:18 21:41 21:49 21:55 21:42 22:16
Pre-Nationals (Black) 10/14 1276 21:40 21:30 22:08 22:59
Pre-Nationals (Red) 10/14 925 20:07 20:33 20:57 21:13 22:07 21:16 21:14
ACC Championship 10/27 924 20:34 20:38 21:09 20:49 21:17 20:52 20:49 21:34 21:11 22:11
Mid-Atlantic Region Championships 11/10 830 20:13 20:27 20:52 20:42 21:06 20:53 20:51





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.4% 29.0 692 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1
Region Championship 100% 6.5 196 0.2 1.1 5.9 18.9 28.1 24.1 12.7 6.2 2.5 0.4 0.1 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gillian Schriever 30.1% 130.2
Miranda Salvo 1.3% 164.5
Kelly Hayes 0.7% 195.0
Sam Shields 0.4% 218.0
Melanie Vlasic 0.4% 231.0
Makenzie Zeh 0.4% 221.0
Amy Kelly 0.4% 223.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Gillian Schriever 15.8 1.0 1.5 2.2 2.5 3.1 3.5 3.6 3.1 3.4 3.5 3.4 3.8 4.2 4.1 4.1 4.1 4.8 4.0 4.6 3.7 2.6 3.4 3.5 3.2 2.9
Miranda Salvo 33.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.5 1.5 1.6 2.4 2.3 2.1 2.6
Kelly Hayes 37.8 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.3 1.3 2.0
Sam Shields 54.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2
Melanie Vlasic 59.6 0.1 0.1
Makenzie Zeh 63.2 0.1 0.1
Amy Kelly 62.5 0.1 0.1 0.1




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 0.2% 100.0% 0.2 0.2 2
3 1.1% 19.0% 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.9 0.2 3
4 5.9% 5.9 4
5 18.9% 18.9 5
6 28.1% 28.1 6
7 24.1% 24.1 7
8 12.7% 12.7 8
9 6.2% 6.2 9
10 2.5% 2.5 10
11 0.4% 0.4 11
12 0.1% 0.1 12
13 0.1% 0.1 13
14 14
15 15
16 16
17 17
18 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
Total 100% 0.4% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 99.6 0.2 0.2




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 2,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Texas 58.3% 1.0 0.6
Alabama 1.0% 1.0 0.0
Brown 0.4% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.6
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 2.0