Fishers
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #6
New Haven Semi-State Rank #1
Delta Regional Rank #1
Pendleton Heights Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 6th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 22.1%
Top 10 at State Finals 93.3%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg 4k Hamilton County State Preview Mason Invite Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Noblesville JV Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/5 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 209 225 200 197 226 549 684 235 227 747 521 332 259 229
Team Adjusted Rating 225 200 197 226 209 209 235 227 209 209 332 259 217
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg 4k Hamilton County State Preview Mason Invite Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Noblesville JV Invitational Pendleton Heights Sectional Delta Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
24  Sam Quagliaroli 10 15:53 15:39 15:40 15:38 15:51 15:59 15:50 15:52 16:03 16:11 15:50
56  Tate Meaux 12 16:17 15:57 16:20 16:23 16:09 16:07 16:14 16:09 16:15 16:28 16:41
68  Austin Wilson 12 16:21 16:23 16:35 16:19 16:26 16:26 16:36 16:37 17:26 16:33 16:14
86  Matthew Kim 11 16:28 16:38 16:44 17:03 16:46 16:52 16:59 16:47 17:06 16:28 16:21
166  Bryson Slagle 10 16:54 17:15 16:48 16:36 16:55 17:04 16:43 16:46 17:10 17:12
183  Caden Carpenter 12 16:59 16:26 16:44 16:51 16:39 16:49 16:55 16:58 17:47 17:14
240  Ethan Nix 12 17:09 17:14 17:08 16:40 17:34 17:39 17:28 17:00 16:59 17:15 17:05 17:05
247  Cooper Kane 12 17:10 17:00 17:02 16:54 16:34 17:13 17:19 17:05 17:35 17:19
265  Nate Thomas 9 17:12 16:57 17:11 16:45 17:03 17:04 17:31 17:58
296  Logan Arive 12 17:17 16:55 17:35 17:11 17:02 17:48 17:08 17:12 17:20
302  Parker Melling 10 17:17 17:39 17:19 17:04 17:01 17:31 17:15 17:12 17:10 17:54
327  Jaden Guffey 11 17:21 17:11 17:07 17:06 17:08 17:13 17:28 17:36 17:31
437  Dylan Wolf 10 17:36 18:28 17:51 17:34 17:24 17:31 17:30 17:49 17:37 17:37
458  Tommy Clark 12 17:39 18:07 17:01 17:44 17:44 17:32 17:41 17:43 17:38 17:50
471  Henry Wood 10 17:41 18:01 17:38 18:12 17:35 17:24 17:39 17:30 17:40 18:01
482  Cooper Mohr 10 17:42 17:43 17:53 18:02 17:38 17:29 17:37 17:36 17:39 17:54
497  Elza Niemeier 12 17:43 17:14 17:53 18:43 17:18 17:25 17:26 18:29
672  Grant Belush 12 18:01 18:06 17:43 17:53 18:24 17:38 18:12 17:36 18:04 18:33
682  Mason Smith 11 18:01 17:34 18:29
808  Wade Hillman-Strabbing 12 18:13 18:53 18:40 18:09 18:05 18:17 18:07 18:03
842  Carter Pritchett 12 18:17 18:01 18:28 18:43 18:08 18:04 18:24 18:17 18:09 18:19
872  Micah Young 12 18:19 17:37 17:41 18:15 18:14 18:30 18:33
890  John Myers 12 18:20 17:47 18:36 18:09 18:57 18:25 18:10 18:11 18:27 18:17
948  Hans Moore 11 18:25 18:37 18:18 18:42 18:21 18:44 18:17 18:16
956  Luke Godleski 12 18:26 18:06 18:20 18:54 18:00 18:08 18:26 18:33 18:12 19:04
1,172  Jonathon Albright 10 18:42 19:15 19:30 18:35 18:54 18:14 18:40 18:33 18:43
1,223  Declan Mohr 9 18:46 18:26 18:03 19:08 19:34 19:02 18:20 18:19 19:38
1,232  Zach Brown 11 18:47 18:20 19:05 19:00 19:15 19:07 18:14 18:28
1,264  Tyler Schiesser 12 18:49 18:04 18:47 19:20 18:41 18:28 18:45 19:32 18:07 19:06
1,393  Grayson Matthews 10 18:59 18:57 19:04 18:43 22:00 19:14 18:43 19:00 18:54
1,402  Mike Dowd 11 19:00 18:42 19:03 18:57 19:14 18:43 19:14 18:52 19:04 18:58
Jacob Dowd 11 19:07 18:14 19:54 19:17 18:53 18:33 19:24 19:37 18:44
Matthew Beard 11 19:17 18:02 19:44 20:13 19:25 19:06 18:58 19:11
Stephen Breck 11 19:27 19:47 19:27 19:11 19:58 19:30 18:42 19:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 6.9 238 0.6 2.0 5.9 13.6 28.8 17.9 11.8 7.7 5.0 3.2 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.2 62 83.9 13.7 1.9 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 27 98.4 1.6
Sectionals 100% 1.0 25 98.4 1.6



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.6 1.7 2.1 2.2 2.4 2.6 3.2 2.9 3.0 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.2 3.3 3.0 3.4 3.3 3.1 3.2 100.0%
Tate Meaux 100% 59.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 90.2%
Austin Wilson 100% 66.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 84.2%
Matthew Kim 100% 80.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 65.5%
Bryson Slagle 100% 123.0 3.2%
Caden Carpenter 100% 129.8 1.5%
Ethan Nix 100% 147.9 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 2.6 11.9 20.4 28.1 18.5 9.0 5.0 2.9 1.8 1.0 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Tate Meaux 100% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.4 6.6 7.0 8.7 8.7 8.2 8.1 7.0 6.9 5.9 4.9 4.4 3.9 3.1 2.4 2.0 1.6 1.3 1.1 0.9 0.7 0.5 100.0%
Austin Wilson 100% 11.7 0.1 0.3 1.6 3.5 5.0 5.5 6.9 7.2 7.3 7.3 7.4 7.1 6.1 5.3 5.3 4.0 3.5 3.1 2.8 1.9 1.9 1.5 1.3 1.0 100.0%
Matthew Kim 100% 16.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.0 2.6 3.5 4.4 4.9 5.4 5.6 6.2 6.2 6.0 5.8 5.1 5.3 4.6 4.4 3.8 3.4 2.8 2.6 100.0%
Bryson Slagle 100% 39.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.5 100.0%
Caden Carpenter 100% 45.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.7 1.0 100.0%
Ethan Nix 100% 60.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 1.0 61.5 31.9 5.3 1.0 0.3 0.0 100.0%
Tate Meaux 100% 3.9 0.1 7.4 22.7 23.0 18.3 13.0 8.5 4.3 2.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Austin Wilson 100% 4.7 3.3 13.3 18.7 20.2 17.6 12.8 8.3 4.1 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Matthew Kim 100% 6.5 0.6 2.6 6.7 13.1 17.1 19.6 18.5 13.8 6.6 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Bryson Slagle 100% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.2 6.3 16.2 25.7 17.6 10.4 7.5 5.3 3.3 2.6 1.3 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Caden Carpenter 100% 11.9 0.1 0.2 0.9 2.8 9.2 17.9 20.6 13.2 9.7 8.3 6.2 4.9 2.7 1.8 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Ethan Nix 100% 15.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.0 7.8 14.9 11.2 11.0 11.0 10.3 10.0 7.3 5.1 3.3 1.6 1.0 0.7 0.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 1.0 91.7 7.0 1.0 0.3 0.0
Tate Meaux 2.9 0.3 27.5 24.5 18.8 13.2 8.7 4.5 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0
Austin Wilson 3.7 0.1 14.1 21.6 20.0 17.3 13.0 8.5 4.0 1.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Matthew Kim 5.5 0.0 2.3 6.7 13.7 18.1 19.1 17.7 14.1 6.8 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
Bryson Slagle 9.9 0.1 0.6 2.1 6.0 16.4 26.0 17.1 10.7 7.7 5.4 3.5 2.4 1.3 0.5 0.1 0.0
Caden Carpenter 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.6 8.9 17.7 21.4 14.1 10.2 7.9 6.4 5.1 3.1 1.4 0.4 0.0 0.0
Ethan Nix 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 2.5 7.9 15.3 12.5 11.3 12.7 11.2 11.3 8.8 4.2 1.3 0.2 0.0