McCutcheon
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #63
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #11
Harrison (WL) Regional Rank #3
Harrison (WL) Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 11th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.6%
Advance to Semi-State 99.9%
Advance to Regional 99.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Maverick Stampede Tippecanoe City/County Harrison Raider Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/27 8/30 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 679 698 632 637 581 716 735 809 738 739
Team Adjusted Rating 698 632 637 581 716 697 809 738 739
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Maverick Stampede Tippecanoe City/County Harrison Raider Invitational Wildcat Classic New Prairie Invitational North Central Conference Harrison (WL) Sectional Harrison (WL) Regional New Prairie Semi-State
323  Luke Persin 11 17:20 17:53 17:48 17:14 17:22 17:15 17:23 17:34 17:45 17:27 17:11
456  Cary Swick 12 17:39 18:07 17:46 17:36 17:38 17:34 17:18 17:46 18:01 17:36 17:38
511  Keondre Garing 12 17:44 18:09 17:44 17:39 17:25 17:24 17:41 17:32 18:21 18:21 17:46
604  Dan Sanson 12 17:54 17:25 17:24 17:26 17:31 17:20 18:20 18:07 18:16 18:28
639  Brooks Burnette 11 17:57 18:22 18:06 18:02 18:11 19:03 18:20 18:31 17:58 17:38 18:14
889  Drew Holdman 12 18:20 18:16 18:14 18:06 18:07 17:47 18:42 18:02 18:23 18:41 19:22
1,120  Mason Lee 10 18:38 18:31 18:38 18:52 18:45 18:41 18:22 18:31 18:51 18:34
1,390  Kris Semmes 9 18:59 19:17 19:02 18:43 18:58 18:59
Hudson Burnette 10 19:18 20:31 19:22 18:57 19:54 18:42 19:39
Noah Yenerich 11 19:20 19:09 18:58 19:20 19:13 20:31 19:15
Ian Baker 10 19:28 18:39
Jack Rabideau 12 19:42 18:49 19:52 20:03
Connor Felty 10 19:49 18:54 18:57 19:51 19:59 20:01 19:52




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.6% 23.8 609 0.0 0.1 0.5
Semi-State 99.9% 12.9 340 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.9 6.4 12.0 12.1 12.1 11.1 11.3 9.7 8.6 5.8 3.7 1.9 0.8
Regionals 99.9% 3.1 71 2.2 13.8 58.6 23.2 2.2
Sectionals 100% 3.1 79 2.7 14.4 56.0 23.9 3.0 0.1



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Persin 0.8% 131.0 0.3% 0.3%
Cary Swick 0.6% 155.8 0.0% 0.0%
Keondre Garing 0.6% 167.8 0.0% 0.0%
Dan Sanson 0.6% 176.4 0.0% 0.0%
Brooks Burnette 0.6% 178.6 0.0% 0.0%
Drew Holdman 0.6% 195.5 0.0% 0.0%
Mason Lee 0.6% 202.3 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Persin 100% 54.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Cary Swick 100% 81.1 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Keondre Garing 100% 89.7 100.0% 100.0%
Dan Sanson 100.0% 105.9 71.4% 99.3%
Brooks Burnette 100.0% 110.8 28.6% 98.9%
Drew Holdman 99.9% 141.2 0.0% 70.3%
Mason Lee 99.9% 154.6 0.0% 21.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Persin 100% 7.9 0.0 0.1 1.4 5.6 9.0 16.6 19.7 17.9 12.7 7.7 3.9 2.2 1.5 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Cary Swick 100% 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.6 5.2 9.3 11.5 12.0 10.7 9.1 7.5 6.9 4.8 4.1 3.7 2.8 2.2 1.7 1.4 0.9 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Keondre Garing 100% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.2 4.2 6.2 8.5 8.9 9.1 8.7 7.7 7.3 6.5 5.6 4.7 4.1 3.3 2.7 2.3 1.8 100.0% 100.0%
Dan Sanson 100% 20.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.9 3.4 4.3 5.0 5.7 6.3 6.7 6.4 7.1 6.7 6.3 6.0 5.7 5.2 100.0% 100.0%
Brooks Burnette 100% 22.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 1.9 2.8 3.5 4.5 4.8 5.7 5.6 6.0 6.5 6.4 6.1 6.5 6.1 100.0% 100.0%
Drew Holdman 100.0% 33.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.7 0.7 1.2 1.4 71.4% 99.9%
Mason Lee 99.9% 40.8 0.0 0.1 0.0% 95.2%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Luke Persin 7.9 0.0 0.1 1.2 6.1 8.5 16.5 20.4 18.0 13.2 7.4 3.9 2.3 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cary Swick 12.7 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.6 5.5 9.4 11.8 12.1 11.6 10.0 8.1 6.6 5.4 4.4 3.2 2.4 2.0 1.5 0.9 0.6 0.4
Keondre Garing 14.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 4.0 6.9 8.4 10.3 9.8 9.7 8.5 7.9 6.8 5.8 4.8 3.6 3.0 2.6 1.6 1.2
Dan Sanson 19.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.6 4.6 6.0 7.0 7.3 8.0 7.9 8.0 7.6 7.0 6.2 5.8 4.8
Brooks Burnette 20.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.1 2.0 3.2 4.0 4.9 6.7 6.8 7.3 7.8 7.9 7.9 7.1 6.8 6.2
Drew Holdman 30.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.4
Mason Lee 34.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1