Merrillville
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #120
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #26
Crown Point Regional Rank #7
Hebron Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 3.9%
Advance to Regional 80.9%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Tim Adams Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 954 1,120 951 1,035 997 1,056 1,016 970
Team Adjusted Rating 1,023 951 1,035 920 982 1,016 970
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Tim Adams Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference Hebron Sectional Crown Point Regional New Prairie Semi-State
197  David Walton 12 17:01 18:14 17:27 17:06 17:14 17:07 17:24 17:40 17:19 16:52
279  Jayden Ramos 11 17:15 17:35 17:14 17:23 17:11 17:08 17:20 17:29 17:05
692  Carmelo Quintero 10 18:02 18:24 17:36 18:22 17:49 17:53 18:05 18:27 18:06
Kenvar Pujoe 12 19:38 20:16 19:45 19:40 19:44 19:24
Aiden Chavez 9 20:03 22:12 20:53 20:54 20:36 20:06 19:36 19:55
Anthony Madrigal 11 20:34 20:13 20:50 19:30 19:45 20:33 21:18 21:05
Reuben Martinez 12 21:08 20:36 21:14 20:56 20:58 22:11 21:08 21:07
Josiah Edmonds 10 21:25 21:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 3.9% 15.8 385 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0
Regionals 80.9% 6.6 156 0.0 0.1 3.8 32.5 38.8 5.8
Sectionals 100% 5.0 120 0.6 24.5 55.9 15.7 3.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Walton 14.7% 117.4 14.7% 14.7%
Jayden Ramos 1.2% 131.3 1.2% 1.2%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Walton 100.0% 31.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.4 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.7 3.0 3.2 3.1 3.3 3.3 100.0% 100.0%
Jayden Ramos 100.0% 46.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 0.7 100.0% 100.0%
Carmelo Quintero 26.3% 107.7 23.3% 25.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Walton 100% 8.4 0.0 0.2 2.0 6.6 11.1 12.3 12.7 11.9 10.4 8.7 6.6 4.8 3.7 2.5 2.1 1.4 1.1 0.8 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Jayden Ramos 100% 13.6 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.2 6.1 6.8 7.6 8.7 8.6 8.0 7.8 7.4 6.7 5.2 4.6 3.9 2.8 2.3 1.8 1.3 1.0 100.0% 100.0%
Carmelo Quintero 100% 33.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.2 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
David Walton 3.4 0.0 4.3 37.2 24.3 13.2 8.4 5.3 3.1 2.0 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0
Jayden Ramos 6.5 0.2 2.9 12.5 14.7 13.7 12.5 11.8 9.6 7.2 5.0 3.8 2.5 1.8 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0
Carmelo Quintero 20.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.0 1.5 2.6 3.9 5.1 7.0 8.9 11.3 13.1 12.5 10.5 8.2 6.6