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State Rank #33
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #7
Chesterton Regional Rank #4
New Prairie Sectional Rank #4
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 45.5%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 499 535 415 401 424 439 967 527 506 506 635
Team Adjusted Rating 535 415 401 424 439 511 527 506 506 635
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Larry James Invitational Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Highland Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
59  Shane Conroy 10 16:19 16:29 16:06 16:22 16:07 16:20 15:59 16:27 16:21 16:25 16:35
181  Noah Bosstel 11 16:58 17:53 16:59 16:51 16:30 16:52 17:02 17:03 17:01 16:55 17:14
387  Chase Reyes 12 17:28 17:27 17:55 16:59 17:07 17:09 17:06 17:37 17:28 17:37 18:21
389  Ethan Miller 12 17:28 16:51 18:10 17:13 17:20 17:09 17:39 17:27 17:30 17:30 17:31
628  Weston Stilwell 9 17:55 17:53 17:41 17:41 17:40 17:36 18:05 17:57 17:58 18:01 18:32
634  Josh Bosstel 10 17:56 18:46 17:40 17:39 17:41 18:00 17:35 18:23 18:35 17:54 17:48 18:14
940  Landon Miller 10 18:24
996  Aiden Farley 10 18:29 18:44 18:49 18:24 18:24 18:43 18:34 18:33 18:15
1,255  Ben Lagunas 10 18:48 19:22 18:53 18:47 18:21 19:02 18:44 19:11 18:45
1,386  Ethan Walsh 9 18:59 19:32 18:45 19:04 18:40 19:05 19:04
Cooper Wilkins 9 19:05 19:23 19:02 19:13 19:00 18:54 18:44 19:42




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 45.5% 21.6 517 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 3.2 4.8 6.8 8.7 9.9 8.1
Semi-State 100% 6.7 212 0.7 3.0 7.0 12.6 22.2 24.4 17.1 9.1 2.5 0.9 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 3.8 91 0.1 1.4 15.3 81.6 1.6
Sectionals 100% 3.8 79 0.0 1.4 16.7 81.9



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 99.6% 62.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 99.3% 99.6%
Noah Bosstel 48.9% 119.7 6.3% 21.7%
Chase Reyes 45.5% 166.7 0.0% 0.1%
Ethan Miller 45.5% 166.8 0.0% 0.1%
Weston Stilwell 45.5% 190.0 0.0% 0.0%
Josh Bosstel 45.5% 190.1 0.0% 0.0%
Landon Miller 45.5% 203.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 100% 6.3 1.5 4.1 7.5 10.2 11.7 11.7 10.6 9.5 8.0 6.4 4.9 4.0 2.7 2.2 1.6 1.2 0.9 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Noah Bosstel 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.9 2.1 2.8 3.2 3.2 3.4 3.4 3.6 4.2 4.1 4.1 100.0%
Chase Reyes 100% 65.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 99.9%
Ethan Miller 100% 65.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
Weston Stilwell 100% 109.2 89.9%
Josh Bosstel 100% 110.1 88.9%
Landon Miller 100% 144.8 16.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 100% 3.1 3.6 14.1 30.4 16.3 13.3 9.2 6.2 4.0 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Noah Bosstel 100% 12.6 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.3 2.9 5.1 8.6 11.7 12.3 12.2 10.7 8.9 7.7 5.9 4.7 3.0 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Chase Reyes 100% 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.7 3.7 5.4 6.9 8.4 10.0 10.7 11.7 11.3 100.0%
Ethan Miller 100% 22.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.9 2.5 3.5 5.1 6.9 8.3 9.8 10.7 10.9 11.5 100.0%
Weston Stilwell 100% 32.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.5 1.1 100.0%
Josh Bosstel 100% 33.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 1.0 100.0%
Landon Miller 100% 45.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Shane Conroy 3.0 3.5 14.3 31.5 15.6 13.8 9.5 6.3 3.8 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Noah Bosstel 11.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 2.2 5.9 10.6 15.7 14.2 14.9 11.1 9.1 7.7 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.0
Chase Reyes 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.8 2.6 3.8 7.1 9.8 11.3 13.0 17.7 16.8 7.0 3.9 2.1 1.2
Ethan Miller 19.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.7 2.7 3.8 6.6 9.4 11.4 13.4 17.5 17.3 7.7 3.6 1.9 1.2
Weston Stilwell 25.7 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.0 2.1 6.9 9.5 10.7 11.3
Josh Bosstel 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.6 6.7 9.5 10.4 11.3
Landon Miller 30.8 0.0 0.1