Rochester
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #88
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #17
Culver Academies Regional Rank #3
Manchester Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 17th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 89.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Rochester Invitational North Miami Invitational Manchester Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/20 8/23 9/3 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 800 964 1,016 908 988 926 910 890 1,067
Team Adjusted Rating 819 852 782 868 824 810 772 788
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Rochester Invitational North Miami Invitational Manchester Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Three Rivers Conference Manchester Sectional Culver Academies Regional New Prairie Semi-State
364  Chris Rohr 12 17:27 17:40 17:18 17:25 17:21 17:37 17:37 17:44 17:42 17:09 17:29
480  Hayden Shuck 17:42 17:42
544  Wesley Steininger 11 17:48 18:01 17:26 17:36 17:43 18:05 17:46 17:56 17:55 17:47
776  Grant Bailey 9 18:10 18:30 18:20 18:07 18:29 18:13 17:57 17:54
1,362  Adrian Ochoa 10 18:57 18:36 19:22 19:19 19:44 18:42 19:03 18:57 18:55 19:04 18:47
Reece Johnson 10 19:09 19:29 19:45 19:17 19:12 18:58 18:57 19:11 19:06
Lane Shank 11 19:46 20:08 19:31 20:26 21:44 19:55 19:58 19:41 19:32 19:26 20:16




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 89.7% 16.7 404 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.7 5.4 9.3 13.4 17.4 15.7 13.3 6.9
Regionals 100% 3.7 120 14.3 37.5 23.8 14.1 7.2 2.9 0.2
Sectionals 100% 2.9 79 10.6 88.4 1.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Rohr 0.0% 136.5 0.1% 0.1%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Rohr 100.0% 62.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.9% 100.0%
Hayden Shuck 98.3% 85.5 0.0 83.8% 96.8%
Wesley Steininger 96.0% 94.3 61.1% 90.8%
Grant Bailey 89.7% 129.6 0.7% 31.7%
Adrian Ochoa 89.7% 163.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Rohr 100% 12.4 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.4 4.7 5.9 7.5 8.6 9.4 11.0 9.9 8.2 6.8 5.5 4.4 3.0 1.9 1.4 1.1 0.7 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Hayden Shuck 100% 18.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.7 3.8 4.8 6.3 7.4 8.0 8.5 8.4 8.2 7.3 6.8 5.6 5.0 4.3 100.0%
Wesley Steininger 100% 21.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.2 2.2 3.4 4.4 5.7 6.0 7.0 7.8 7.8 8.2 7.9 8.0 7.2 100.0%
Grant Bailey 100% 30.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.4 3.4 100.0%
Adrian Ochoa 100% 49.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Chris Rohr 8.9 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.9 4.7 6.5 8.2 11.4 14.7 15.8 13.9 8.8 5.9 3.0 0.8 0.1 0.0
Hayden Shuck 12.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 2.1 3.6 6.2 9.9 14.2 15.1 17.6 16.9 9.0 2.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
Wesley Steininger 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.6 5.2 8.4 12.7 15.6 21.1 21.9 7.6 1.9 0.3 0.0
Grant Bailey 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 2.1 7.8 27.7 29.9 17.8 8.8 3.9 0.7 0.2 0.0
Adrian Ochoa 24.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.4 11.0 13.5 17.4 19.8