Seymour
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #107
Brown County Semi-State Rank #23
Columbus North Regional Rank #5
Brown County Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 20th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 95.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Seymour Invitational Franklin Invitational Eagle Classic Ray Gerkin Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Brown County Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/18 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 880 963 941 949 862 900 896 790 814 969
Team Adjusted Rating 963 941 949 862 900 896 790 814 969
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Seymour Invitational Franklin Invitational Eagle Classic Ray Gerkin Invitational Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Hills Conference Brown County Sectional Columbus North Regional Brown County Semi-State
138  Jude Bane 12 16:47 16:37 16:47 16:52 16:52 16:32 16:45 17:06 16:41 16:49 16:51
952  Carter Murphy 12 18:25 19:37 18:41 18:26 18:57 18:30 18:04 18:13 18:32 18:07 18:53
981  Sam Rockey 11 18:27 18:17 20:25 19:03 18:50 18:41 19:03 18:21 18:03 18:17 18:45
1,034  Wes Proffer 10 18:31 18:28 18:41 18:39 19:32 18:21 18:30 18:47 18:07 18:23 19:18
1,271  Micah Jablonski 9 18:49 18:35 18:48 18:21 18:39 19:02 19:32 19:09 18:58 18:39
1,312  Kylan Ellerbe 10 18:53 19:52 19:27 18:54 18:53 18:57 18:49 18:29 18:37 19:00
1,395  Ty Tormoehlen 10 18:59 17:55 19:20 20:21 19:20 19:31 19:36 19:27 19:10 18:40 19:28
Landon Rivera 9 19:37 19:40 19:27 19:35 19:39 19:27 19:53
Will Proffer 10 20:03 19:16 19:19 19:58 22:27 20:53 19:12
JJ Meyers 10 20:27 19:55 20:16 22:48 20:22
Lucas Jablonski 11 20:38 19:54 20:27 20:55 20:46 20:36 20:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 95.5% 19.6 463 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.5 6.1 17.5 68.2
Regionals 100% 4.7 126 0.1 7.1 22.1 66.3 3.7 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.9 86 14.2 83.5 2.2



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jude Bane 18.5% 98.1 18.5% 18.5%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jude Bane 100% 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.5 1.8 2.3 3.6 4.4 5.3 100.0% 100.0%
Carter Murphy 95.8% 142.2 5.3% 46.2%
Sam Rockey 95.7% 144.2 4.5% 39.8%
Wes Proffer 95.6% 147.9 1.1% 28.1%
Micah Jablonski 95.5% 160.1 0.0% 2.3%
Kylan Ellerbe 95.5% 161.9 0.0% 1.2%
Ty Tormoehlen 95.5% 164.6 0.0% 0.3%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jude Bane 100% 8.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.0 7.5 28.4 20.1 15.1 18.8 4.6 2.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Carter Murphy 100% 30.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 5.0 6.0 6.4 100.0%
Sam Rockey 100% 31.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 3.3 4.5 5.0 100.0%
Wes Proffer 100% 34.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.2 2.7 100.0%
Micah Jablonski 100% 48.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kylan Ellerbe 100% 50.3 0.0 100.0%
Ty Tormoehlen 100% 53.8 0.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Jude Bane 7.5 0.0 0.3 1.0 6.8 30.5 21.5 16.5 23.5 0.0
Carter Murphy 16.5 0.1 0.2 2.3 13.4 13.6 13.6 12.9 11.4 9.8 7.8 6.1 4.4 2.6 1.2 0.4
Sam Rockey 17.0 0.0 0.2 1.4 10.2 11.9 13.2 12.6 11.8 10.0 8.7 7.0 5.8 3.6 2.3 0.8
Wes Proffer 18.5 0.0 0.4 4.1 7.2 10.0 11.1 11.0 11.9 11.1 10.6 8.2 6.8 4.2 2.1
Micah Jablonski 24.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.5 2.4 4.0 5.7 7.7 11.1 13.8 14.9
Kylan Ellerbe 25.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.4 3.1 5.0 7.8 10.4 14.8
Ty Tormoehlen 26.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 2.0 3.5 5.7 8.8