Southport
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2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #141
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #42
Ben Davis Regional Rank #10
Ben Davis Sectional Rank #10
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 80.3%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Marion County Championship Wildcat Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional
Date 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15
Team Rating 1,065 970 932 999
Team Adjusted Rating 970 932 1,260 999 1,151
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Marion County Championship Wildcat Classic Conference Indiana Golden Bear Invitational Ben Davis Sectional Ben Davis Regional
498  Rocco Frederick 10 17:43 17:21 17:37 17:17 17:50 17:55 17:44 17:43
817  Richard McNamara 12 18:14 17:44 18:45 17:35 20:25 17:51
1,243  Daniel Sanchez 12 18:48 18:00 18:09 18:17 18:54 18:43 20:30
Xavier Alexander 10 19:01 18:46 19:03 19:13 19:03 18:53 19:07
Jean-Paul Mlulei 9 19:37 19:47 19:32
Samuel Mayer 12 19:46 19:33 18:54 19:49 20:51 19:02 20:08
Wajit Ali 9 19:48 20:23 30:48 20:17 19:59 19:28
David Sanchez 10 20:29 20:13 20:02 20:16 20:55 20:47
Jakob Asbury 10 21:22 22:19 21:21 21:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 80.3% 9.4 252 0.0 0.5 46.6 33.2
Sectionals 100% 4.7 145 49.7 30.6 19.7



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rocco Frederick 27.6% 113.9 27.6% 27.6%
Richard McNamara 0.1% 135.0 0.1% 0.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rocco Frederick 100% 37.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 1.0 100.0% 100.0%
Richard McNamara 100% 55.2 100.0% 100.0%
Daniel Sanchez 100% 69.3 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Rocco Frederick 14.2 0.2 3.0 6.9 11.0 13.6 13.1 11.6 10.4 8.8 7.0 5.5 4.1 2.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1
Richard McNamara 22.9 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.8 2.6 4.0 5.9 9.1 11.8 13.6 13.8 12.7
Daniel Sanchez 31.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0