All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
102 | |
190 |
167 |
130 |
91 |
537 |
140 |
103 |
514 |
177 |
80 |
113 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
156 |
167 |
130 |
91 |
102 |
140 |
103 |
102 |
177 |
80 |
113 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird Invite (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 22 |
Samuel Spees |
11 |
15:52 |
16:12 |
16:19 |
16:07 |
15:59 |
16:00 |
|
16:03 |
16:06 |
|
16:13 |
15:58 |
15:45 |
| 27 |
Matthew Helton |
12 |
15:56 |
16:04 |
15:55 |
16:00 |
15:44 |
15:45 |
|
15:57 |
15:54 |
|
16:19 |
15:49 |
16:08 |
| 34 |
Ryan Handy |
12 |
16:02 |
16:16 |
|
16:41 |
16:00 |
15:55 |
|
16:11 |
16:06 |
|
16:22 |
15:53 |
15:58 |
| 36 |
Evan Mayo |
11 |
16:05 |
16:30 |
16:20 |
16:25 |
16:27 |
16:05 |
|
16:15 |
15:55 |
|
16:15 |
15:56 |
16:10 |
| 42 |
Jack Turnbull |
10 |
16:09 |
16:45 |
16:26 |
16:15 |
16:21 |
16:03 |
|
16:20 |
16:04 |
|
16:21 |
16:01 |
16:09 |
| 89 |
Will Nobbe |
12 |
16:30 |
16:00 |
16:35 |
16:29 |
16:32 |
16:40 |
|
16:32 |
16:31 |
|
16:18 |
16:21 |
17:00 |
| 201 |
Elijah Bineyard |
11 |
17:02 |
17:08 |
16:55 |
16:58 |
16:46 |
16:57 |
|
16:57 |
17:04 |
17:10 |
16:57 |
17:02 |
17:23 |
| 227 |
Skyler Cole |
12 |
17:07 |
16:52 |
17:01 |
17:06 |
16:49 |
17:00 |
|
17:06 |
17:15 |
17:19 |
|
|
|
| 256 |
Elijah Weaver |
9 |
17:11 |
|
17:00 |
17:10 |
16:56 |
17:18 |
17:04 |
17:08 |
17:17 |
17:23 |
|
|
|
| 268 |
Trey Martin |
12 |
17:13 |
17:15 |
17:15 |
17:00 |
17:00 |
17:13 |
|
17:44 |
17:04 |
17:17 |
|
|
|
| 303 |
Dominick Dell |
11 |
17:17 |
17:31 |
17:22 |
17:15 |
17:24 |
17:15 |
17:20 |
17:13 |
17:12 |
17:21 |
|
|
|
| 348 |
Joe Spees |
11 |
17:24 |
17:02 |
17:28 |
17:22 |
17:03 |
17:20 |
17:24 |
17:43 |
17:29 |
|
|
|
|
| 357 |
Owen Haan |
9 |
17:26 |
|
17:18 |
17:14 |
17:55 |
17:26 |
17:18 |
17:20 |
17:32 |
17:31 |
|
|
|
| 420 |
Michael Schilson |
11 |
17:34 |
17:05 |
|
|
18:15 |
17:43 |
17:41 |
17:37 |
17:17 |
17:22 |
|
|
|
| 468 |
Charlie Fisher |
12 |
17:40 |
17:55 |
17:47 |
17:50 |
17:31 |
17:37 |
17:47 |
17:54 |
17:22 |
|
|
|
|
| 566 |
Jackson Nobbe |
9 |
17:50 |
|
17:59 |
17:28 |
17:33 |
18:00 |
17:57 |
17:59 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 601 |
Camden Stockwell |
10 |
17:53 |
|
17:48 |
17:41 |
17:46 |
17:55 |
17:50 |
17:56 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 645 |
Nolan White |
10 |
17:58 |
|
17:55 |
17:43 |
17:34 |
17:49 |
18:31 |
18:21 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
|
| 660 |
Brayden Kenworthy |
12 |
17:59 |
18:17 |
17:58 |
17:46 |
17:59 |
17:59 |
17:41 |
18:07 |
18:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 753 |
Jude Watters |
12 |
18:08 |
18:25 |
18:50 |
17:44 |
17:43 |
17:40 |
18:15 |
18:10 |
18:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 779 |
Gavin McGormley |
9 |
18:11 |
|
18:04 |
17:58 |
17:37 |
18:22 |
18:00 |
18:18 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
|
| 809 |
Grant Gogis |
11 |
18:13 |
18:03 |
18:34 |
18:40 |
18:17 |
18:28 |
18:09 |
18:07 |
17:41 |
|
|
|
|
| 880 |
Niyan Patel |
12 |
18:20 |
18:15 |
18:05 |
18:30 |
18:20 |
|
|
18:38 |
18:09 |
|
|
|
|
| 922 |
Noah Berg |
10 |
18:23 |
|
18:13 |
18:19 |
18:20 |
|
|
18:39 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 924 |
Nolan Toney |
11 |
18:23 |
18:18 |
18:25 |
18:11 |
20:03 |
18:21 |
|
18:21 |
18:10 |
|
|
|
|
| 965 |
Jack Mybeck |
10 |
18:26 |
18:31 |
|
18:58 |
18:19 |
18:51 |
18:22 |
18:16 |
18:17 |
|
|
|
|
| 985 |
Oscar Moosbrugger |
11 |
18:28 |
|
18:12 |
18:59 |
18:16 |
18:13 |
|
18:20 |
19:03 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,150 |
Evan Wiesler |
11 |
18:40 |
|
18:46 |
18:55 |
19:03 |
18:35 |
18:16 |
18:47 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,239 |
Luke Smith |
11 |
18:47 |
19:12 |
18:36 |
18:24 |
18:32 |
18:35 |
19:13 |
19:02 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,266 |
Logan Gogis |
11 |
18:49 |
|
18:42 |
|
19:03 |
18:50 |
18:55 |
18:47 |
18:42 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,295 |
Soren Johnson |
9 |
18:52 |
|
18:59 |
19:05 |
18:33 |
18:48 |
18:38 |
18:48 |
19:24 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,297 |
Sam Randle |
12 |
18:52 |
|
18:51 |
18:46 |
18:50 |
18:24 |
18:20 |
19:42 |
19:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,314 |
Ryan Lange |
9 |
18:53 |
|
18:46 |
18:45 |
18:45 |
18:53 |
19:06 |
18:56 |
18:59 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,321 |
Joseph Janicek |
10 |
18:54 |
|
18:46 |
19:03 |
18:44 |
18:57 |
18:48 |
19:15 |
18:44 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,347 |
Hunter Striebel |
10 |
18:55 |
|
18:44 |
19:01 |
18:50 |
18:52 |
18:49 |
19:03 |
19:05 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,374 |
Ryan Luke |
12 |
18:58 |
19:25 |
19:24 |
|
18:58 |
|
19:26 |
18:50 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
Joel Albrecht |
12 |
19:01 |
18:53 |
19:39 |
18:43 |
19:41 |
18:36 |
19:47 |
18:44 |
18:52 |
|
|
|
|
|
Thomas Wallbank |
12 |
19:04 |
|
18:53 |
|
18:49 |
19:07 |
19:00 |
19:08 |
19:19 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
100% |
2.8 |
125 |
16.0 |
33.5 |
23.7 |
15.6 |
8.5 |
2.1 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Semi-State |
100% |
2.5 |
89 |
16.1 |
37.8 |
28.8 |
16.1 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.0 |
21 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
15 |
100.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
21.9 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
2.2 |
2.3 |
2.9 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
3.4 |
3.3 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
3.2 |
|
98.9% |
| Matthew Helton |
100% |
26.8 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.6 |
1.7 |
2.1 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
3.2 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
3.2 |
|
97.2% |
| Ryan Handy |
100% |
34.4 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.1 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
|
92.3% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
38.2 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.7 |
|
88.6% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
45.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
|
78.5% |
| Will Nobbe |
100% |
82.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
18.6% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
135.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
12.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
2.0 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
5.2 |
6.2 |
6.6 |
6.8 |
7.0 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
5.4 |
4.8 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
2.5 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Helton |
100% |
14.6 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
2.2 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
4.3 |
5.0 |
6.0 |
6.4 |
6.7 |
7.0 |
6.8 |
6.3 |
6.2 |
5.9 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
4.0 |
3.1 |
2.6 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Handy |
100% |
18.5 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
2.7 |
3.6 |
4.4 |
5.2 |
5.5 |
6.2 |
5.8 |
6.5 |
6.4 |
6.2 |
5.7 |
5.0 |
4.8 |
4.3 |
3.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
20.2 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
5.9 |
6.1 |
6.2 |
6.2 |
6.1 |
5.6 |
5.4 |
4.6 |
4.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
23.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.9 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
3.8 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.7 |
5.5 |
6.0 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
5.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Will Nobbe |
100% |
40.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
74.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.7% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
100% |
1.5 |
35.1 |
30.1 |
18.8 |
9.4 |
4.2 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Helton |
100% |
2.4 |
14.4 |
25.5 |
24.4 |
17.3 |
10.2 |
5.1 |
2.1 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Ryan Handy |
100% |
3.9 |
3.3 |
9.3 |
16.7 |
22.1 |
21.2 |
14.9 |
7.9 |
2.7 |
1.5 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Evan Mayo |
100% |
4.6 |
1.5 |
5.4 |
11.2 |
18.0 |
22.3 |
20.9 |
12.6 |
5.0 |
2.2 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Jack Turnbull |
100% |
5.8 |
0.3 |
1.5 |
4.0 |
8.9 |
16.2 |
24.2 |
25.3 |
10.1 |
5.8 |
2.3 |
0.9 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Will Nobbe |
100% |
9.5 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
4.3 |
18.0 |
16.8 |
18.6 |
14.5 |
9.8 |
7.8 |
4.2 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Elijah Bineyard |
100% |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
2.0 |
3.4 |
4.9 |
6.8 |
8.6 |
9.8 |
11.0 |
11.9 |
9.3 |
8.2 |
6.7 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Samuel Spees |
1.0 |
61.3 |
25.5 |
9.3 |
3.2 |
0.6 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matthew Helton |
1.6 |
27.5 |
40.2 |
20.1 |
9.4 |
2.8 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Ryan Handy |
2.7 |
7.0 |
19.0 |
33.5 |
26.4 |
13.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
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| Evan Mayo |
3.3 |
3.3 |
11.4 |
25.4 |
35.6 |
22.6 |
1.4 |
0.3 |
0.0 |
|
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| Jack Turnbull |
4.2 |
0.9 |
3.7 |
11.1 |
24.1 |
54.9 |
4.4 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
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| Will Nobbe |
5.8 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
1.7 |
62.7 |
20.8 |
14.6 |
0.1 |
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| Elijah Bineyard |
8.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
4.6 |
11.5 |
69.2 |
10.9 |
2.7 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
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|
