All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Franklin Invite |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Flashrock Invite |
Ted Fox Invite |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
258 | |
309 |
297 |
239 |
620 |
490 |
600 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
241 |
297 |
239 |
258 |
251 |
258 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Franklin Invite |
State Preview |
Eagle Classic |
Ben Davis Invite |
Flashrock Invite |
Ted Fox Invite |
|---|
| 18 |
Kyle Montgomery |
12 |
15:54 |
15:57 |
16:16 |
15:52 |
15:43 |
|
|
|
| 33 |
Gavin Rockwell |
12 |
16:07 |
16:07 |
|
16:30 |
15:56 |
|
|
|
| 161 |
Curtis Williams |
11 |
16:52 |
17:27 |
16:43 |
16:51 |
16:47 |
|
|
|
| 174 |
Cameron Cox |
10 |
16:54 |
16:50 |
16:52 |
17:10 |
16:54 |
|
16:46 |
|
| 200 |
Rylan Mullins |
12 |
16:57 |
17:13 |
16:30 |
16:59 |
17:00 |
|
|
|
| 237 |
Jayden Salo |
9 |
17:03 |
|
17:13 |
17:06 |
16:56 |
|
16:59 |
|
| 328 |
Michael Leavitt |
10 |
17:20 |
17:49 |
17:11 |
17:21 |
17:09 |
|
17:23 |
17:18 |
| 467 |
Yared Seyoum |
9 |
17:38 |
|
17:18 |
18:06 |
17:23 |
|
17:56 |
17:36 |
| 482 |
Nathan Hollcraft |
12 |
17:39 |
17:45 |
17:20 |
17:28 |
17:37 |
|
17:38 |
18:34 |
| 500 |
Ethan Holbrook |
9 |
17:41 |
|
18:04 |
17:52 |
|
17:29 |
17:30 |
17:33 |
| 520 |
Baylor Winkelmann |
10 |
17:43 |
18:29 |
17:21 |
17:32 |
18:00 |
|
17:30 |
17:52 |
| 526 |
Isaac Schemmel |
10 |
17:44 |
18:16 |
17:42 |
17:35 |
|
17:37 |
17:54 |
17:35 |
| 527 |
Mason Vrshek |
11 |
17:44 |
18:11 |
17:36 |
17:46 |
|
17:09 |
18:21 |
17:31 |
| 610 |
Will Cuskaden |
9 |
17:53 |
|
17:57 |
17:57 |
|
17:50 |
17:35 |
18:02 |
| 647 |
Christian Langrel |
10 |
17:57 |
18:39 |
17:38 |
18:01 |
|
17:44 |
17:59 |
17:59 |
| 654 |
Gabe Sunga |
9 |
17:58 |
|
17:48 |
17:58 |
|
18:04 |
17:40 |
18:22 |
| 738 |
Craig Salo |
9 |
18:06 |
|
17:59 |
18:01 |
|
18:02 |
|
18:21 |
| 799 |
Landon Kyle |
9 |
18:12 |
|
17:59 |
18:26 |
|
18:26 |
|
17:52 |
| 855 |
Atticus Sauer |
11 |
18:18 |
17:54 |
18:12 |
18:25 |
|
18:18 |
|
18:26 |
| 961 |
Sam Heineman |
11 |
18:28 |
19:10 |
18:10 |
18:20 |
|
18:33 |
|
18:25 |
| 966 |
Nathan Sequeira |
10 |
18:28 |
|
18:12 |
18:18 |
|
18:40 |
|
18:39 |
| 1,016 |
Riley Dodson |
9 |
18:33 |
|
18:34 |
18:51 |
|
18:11 |
|
18:33 |
|
Elliot Fisher |
9 |
19:06 |
|
19:10 |
18:59 |
|
23:10 |
|
19:05 |
|
Jack Bischoff |
11 |
19:06 |
19:10 |
19:05 |
18:50 |
|
18:52 |
|
19:31 |
|
Croix Smith |
9 |
19:17 |
|
19:05 |
19:30 |
|
19:01 |
|
19:34 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
83.6% |
10.4 |
305 |
|
1.2 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
4.9 |
5.9 |
5.9 |
6.4 |
7.4 |
7.1 |
6.1 |
7.3 |
5.3 |
5.2 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
2.6 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.3 |
132 |
2.0 |
7.7 |
15.9 |
24.4 |
33.7 |
13.8 |
2.4 |
0.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
31 |
99.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
18.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.8 |
3.2 |
3.8 |
4.0 |
3.8 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
3.6 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
3.3 |
2.6 |
3.5 |
2.5 |
3.3 |
2.4 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
35.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
1.3 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.3 |
2.3 |
2.5 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Curtis Williams |
84.4% |
147.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.9% |
39.6% |
| Cameron Cox |
83.9% |
152.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.8% |
35.4% |
| Rylan Mullins |
83.8% |
162.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
1.5% |
28.2% |
| Jayden Salo |
83.6% |
181.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
12.1% |
| Michael Leavitt |
83.6% |
208.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kyle Montgomery |
100% |
3.4 |
1.9 |
13.6 |
28.0 |
18.6 |
12.2 |
9.0 |
4.8 |
3.6 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Gavin Rockwell |
100% |
7.4 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
2.9 |
9.0 |
11.9 |
10.9 |
11.2 |
9.3 |
8.0 |
6.4 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
3.8 |
3.3 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Curtis Williams |
100% |
40.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Cameron Cox |
100% |
42.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Rylan Mullins |
100% |
46.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Jayden Salo |
100% |
55.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Michael Leavitt |
100% |
75.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kyle Montgomery |
1.0 |
91.5 |
8.1 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Gavin Rockwell |
1.5 |
7.0 |
80.2 |
10.2 |
1.6 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Curtis Williams |
8.6 |
|
|
1.8 |
4.3 |
7.5 |
7.7 |
9.9 |
11.6 |
12.0 |
13.7 |
10.5 |
8.9 |
5.1 |
3.9 |
1.9 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Cameron Cox |
9.1 |
|
|
1.2 |
3.0 |
5.6 |
6.1 |
9.0 |
11.9 |
12.6 |
13.4 |
11.8 |
9.3 |
7.0 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
1.1 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Rylan Mullins |
10.2 |
|
|
0.5 |
1.9 |
3.2 |
4.9 |
6.6 |
8.3 |
10.5 |
11.0 |
13.5 |
13.1 |
11.1 |
7.0 |
4.3 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
| Jayden Salo |
12.4 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.0 |
2.7 |
5.5 |
7.3 |
10.2 |
12.8 |
16.8 |
13.8 |
10.6 |
6.1 |
3.6 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
| Michael Leavitt |
17.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
4.2 |
7.0 |
11.1 |
12.7 |
12.9 |
11.0 |
9.3 |
7.4 |
5.4 |
4.5 |
3.3 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
|
