All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
| Team Rating |
204 | |
155 |
218 |
718 |
234 |
196 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
155 |
210 |
204 |
234 |
196 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Wildcat Classic |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
|---|
| 4 |
Sam Quagliaroli |
11 |
15:22 |
15:34 |
15:06 |
15:19 |
|
15:25 |
15:36 |
| 6 |
Matthew Kim |
12 |
15:42 |
15:55 |
15:34 |
15:40 |
|
15:49 |
15:36 |
| 114 |
Parker Melling |
11 |
16:40 |
16:25 |
16:37 |
16:51 |
|
16:46 |
16:38 |
| 122 |
Nate Thomas |
10 |
16:43 |
16:45 |
16:03 |
|
|
17:17 |
16:40 |
| 166 |
Bryson Slagle |
11 |
16:53 |
16:40 |
16:51 |
|
|
17:04 |
16:52 |
| 175 |
Henry Wood |
11 |
16:54 |
17:14 |
16:56 |
16:50 |
|
16:49 |
16:47 |
| 208 |
Cooper Mohr |
11 |
16:58 |
17:24 |
16:54 |
16:50 |
|
17:04 |
16:48 |
| 260 |
Dylan Wolf |
11 |
17:08 |
17:17 |
16:59 |
17:14 |
|
17:10 |
16:59 |
| 356 |
Jaden Guffey |
12 |
17:24 |
17:13 |
|
17:19 |
|
17:42 |
17:24 |
| 379 |
Reece Torres |
9 |
17:27 |
|
17:50 |
19:02 |
17:25 |
17:23 |
17:16 |
| 559 |
Declan Mohr |
10 |
17:48 |
17:52 |
18:23 |
19:49 |
17:49 |
17:35 |
17:20 |
| 620 |
Kevin Davalos |
12 |
17:55 |
|
17:51 |
17:58 |
|
|
|
| 622 |
Jonathon Albright |
11 |
17:55 |
18:26 |
18:21 |
17:39 |
17:43 |
17:49 |
17:53 |
| 767 |
Hans Moore |
12 |
18:09 |
18:16 |
18:05 |
17:47 |
17:59 |
|
18:36 |
| 790 |
Dalton Keele |
10 |
18:11 |
|
18:06 |
|
18:14 |
|
|
| 856 |
Mason Lapp |
10 |
18:18 |
|
18:13 |
18:25 |
18:05 |
|
18:26 |
| 963 |
Carter Clendenen |
11 |
18:28 |
|
18:19 |
18:05 |
18:49 |
|
18:37 |
| 1,047 |
Aidan Shiveley |
12 |
18:36 |
|
18:23 |
18:28 |
18:37 |
|
18:57 |
| 1,119 |
Simeon Brown |
9 |
18:43 |
|
18:56 |
18:26 |
19:02 |
|
18:31 |
| 1,213 |
Caleb Lotter |
12 |
18:50 |
|
18:47 |
18:50 |
19:00 |
|
18:42 |
| 1,225 |
Kaiser Shockley |
9 |
18:51 |
|
19:07 |
18:33 |
|
|
18:53 |
| 1,285 |
Kale Ormes |
9 |
18:56 |
|
18:54 |
|
19:02 |
|
18:49 |
| 1,304 |
Grayson Matthews |
11 |
18:58 |
18:43 |
19:08 |
19:02 |
|
|
|
|
Patrick Johnson |
12 |
19:02 |
|
19:04 |
19:03 |
|
|
18:59 |
|
Ajuna Muzoora |
9 |
19:09 |
|
18:57 |
19:35 |
|
|
19:01 |
|
Noah Coles |
9 |
19:23 |
|
19:44 |
18:40 |
|
|
19:34 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
98.6% |
6.1 |
238 |
2.0 |
9.5 |
13.5 |
14.9 |
12.3 |
9.5 |
9.1 |
6.6 |
4.9 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
2.8 |
2.7 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.8 |
95 |
12.5 |
35.4 |
24.0 |
17.2 |
9.7 |
1.3 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.2 |
50 |
11.3 |
54.9 |
33.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
3.0 |
12.6 |
16.8 |
19.8 |
18.7 |
12.5 |
7.8 |
4.5 |
2.3 |
1.4 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Matthew Kim |
100% |
9.4 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.7 |
4.6 |
7.7 |
8.6 |
8.6 |
8.0 |
7.7 |
6.3 |
5.5 |
5.8 |
4.3 |
4.2 |
3.7 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Parker Melling |
98.7% |
114.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7.1% |
78.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
98.6% |
123.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
70.3% |
| Bryson Slagle |
98.6% |
156.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
39.1% |
| Henry Wood |
98.6% |
159.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
35.9% |
| Cooper Mohr |
98.6% |
171.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
24.6% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
100% |
1.0 |
95.1 |
3.7 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Matthew Kim |
100% |
1.8 |
0.9 |
61.8 |
18.2 |
9.5 |
4.9 |
2.0 |
1.5 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Parker Melling |
100% |
27.5 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
2.4 |
2.6 |
2.3 |
3.6 |
2.9 |
4.5 |
5.4 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
100% |
30.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
2.5 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
2.6 |
3.0 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Bryson Slagle |
100% |
41.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
1.6 |
|
100.0% |
| Henry Wood |
100% |
43.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Cooper Mohr |
100% |
48.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Sam Quagliaroli |
1.0 |
98.0 |
1.9 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Matthew Kim |
1.6 |
1.4 |
86.8 |
7.5 |
2.9 |
1.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Parker Melling |
13.6 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
1.7 |
2.9 |
4.2 |
4.8 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
7.9 |
9.2 |
7.4 |
7.7 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
7.0 |
5.5 |
3.9 |
3.0 |
2.2 |
1.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
| Nate Thomas |
14.7 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
1.3 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
3.9 |
5.1 |
5.3 |
7.4 |
8.3 |
8.1 |
8.8 |
9.3 |
7.6 |
6.4 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
4.5 |
2.7 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
0.6 |
| Bryson Slagle |
19.6 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.8 |
2.4 |
3.6 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
6.7 |
7.2 |
9.1 |
10.1 |
9.0 |
9.1 |
9.2 |
8.1 |
4.6 |
| Henry Wood |
19.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
3.6 |
4.7 |
5.3 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
8.1 |
8.7 |
8.9 |
9.0 |
9.7 |
6.5 |
6.3 |
| Cooper Mohr |
21.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.6 |
2.5 |
2.7 |
4.5 |
5.6 |
5.9 |
7.3 |
9.7 |
9.2 |
11.6 |
9.9 |
9.9 |
|
