Fishers
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #4
Shelbyville Regional Rank #2
Noblesville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 4th place at State Finals
State Champion 2.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 52.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 85.9%
Advance to State Finals 98.6%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County State Preview Wildcat Classic Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference
Date 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 204 155 218 718 234 196
Team Adjusted Rating 155 210 204 234 196
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Hamilton County State Preview Wildcat Classic Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference
Sam Quagliaroli 11 15:22 15:34 15:06 15:19 15:25 15:36
Matthew Kim 12 15:42 15:55 15:34 15:40 15:49 15:36
114  Parker Melling 11 16:40 16:25 16:37 16:51 16:46 16:38
122  Nate Thomas 10 16:43 16:45 16:03 17:17 16:40
166  Bryson Slagle 11 16:53 16:40 16:51 17:04 16:52
175  Henry Wood 11 16:54 17:14 16:56 16:50 16:49 16:47
208  Cooper Mohr 11 16:58 17:24 16:54 16:50 17:04 16:48
260  Dylan Wolf 11 17:08 17:17 16:59 17:14 17:10 16:59
356  Jaden Guffey 12 17:24 17:13 17:19 17:42 17:24
379  Reece Torres 9 17:27 17:50 19:02 17:25 17:23 17:16
559  Declan Mohr 10 17:48 17:52 18:23 19:49 17:49 17:35 17:20
620  Kevin Davalos 12 17:55 17:51 17:58
622  Jonathon Albright 11 17:55 18:26 18:21 17:39 17:43 17:49 17:53
767  Hans Moore 12 18:09 18:16 18:05 17:47 17:59 18:36
790  Dalton Keele 10 18:11 18:06 18:14
856  Mason Lapp 10 18:18 18:13 18:25 18:05 18:26
963  Carter Clendenen 11 18:28 18:19 18:05 18:49 18:37
1,047  Aidan Shiveley 12 18:36 18:23 18:28 18:37 18:57
1,119  Simeon Brown 9 18:43 18:56 18:26 19:02 18:31
1,213  Caleb Lotter 12 18:50 18:47 18:50 19:00 18:42
1,225  Kaiser Shockley 9 18:51 19:07 18:33 18:53
1,285  Kale Ormes 9 18:56 18:54 19:02 18:49
1,304  Grayson Matthews 11 18:58 18:43 19:08 19:02
Patrick Johnson 12 19:02 19:04 19:03 18:59
Ajuna Muzoora 9 19:09 18:57 19:35 19:01
Noah Coles 9 19:23 19:44 18:40 19:34




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 98.6% 6.1 238 2.0 9.5 13.5 14.9 12.3 9.5 9.1 6.6 4.9 3.9 4.0 2.8 2.7 1.3 0.9 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.8 95 12.5 35.4 24.0 17.2 9.7 1.3 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.2 50 11.3 54.9 33.8



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 3.0 12.6 16.8 19.8 18.7 12.5 7.8 4.5 2.3 1.4 0.8 0.9 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Matthew Kim 100% 9.4 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.6 7.7 8.6 8.6 8.0 7.7 6.3 5.5 5.8 4.3 4.2 3.7 3.0 2.8 1.8 2.2 1.8 1.3 1.4 1.0 1.3 0.9 100.0% 100.0%
Parker Melling 98.7% 114.7 7.1% 78.0%
Nate Thomas 98.6% 123.0 0.0% 70.3%
Bryson Slagle 98.6% 156.5 0.0% 39.1%
Henry Wood 98.6% 159.8 0.0% 35.9%
Cooper Mohr 98.6% 171.5 0.0% 24.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 100% 1.0 95.1 3.7 1.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Matthew Kim 100% 1.8 0.9 61.8 18.2 9.5 4.9 2.0 1.5 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Parker Melling 100% 27.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 1.3 1.7 1.3 2.3 2.4 2.6 2.3 3.6 2.9 4.5 5.4 3.7 3.8 100.0%
Nate Thomas 100% 30.2 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.3 1.2 2.5 2.8 3.0 2.6 3.0 3.0 3.1 4.1 100.0%
Bryson Slagle 100% 41.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.9 1.1 0.8 1.3 1.4 1.6 100.0%
Henry Wood 100% 43.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.5 0.5 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.3 100.0%
Cooper Mohr 100% 48.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.9 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Sam Quagliaroli 1.0 98.0 1.9 0.2
Matthew Kim 1.6 1.4 86.8 7.5 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.2 0.1
Parker Melling 13.6 0.2 0.3 1.0 1.7 2.9 4.2 4.8 6.2 7.5 7.9 9.2 7.4 7.7 7.6 7.7 7.0 5.5 3.9 3.0 2.2 1.4 0.5 0.6
Nate Thomas 14.7 0.1 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.0 2.2 3.9 5.1 5.3 7.4 8.3 8.1 8.8 9.3 7.6 6.4 6.0 6.7 4.5 2.7 1.8 1.4 0.6
Bryson Slagle 19.6 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.4 3.6 4.6 5.1 6.7 7.2 9.1 10.1 9.0 9.1 9.2 8.1 4.6
Henry Wood 19.9 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.5 2.2 3.6 4.7 5.3 7.7 7.1 8.1 8.7 8.9 9.0 9.7 6.5 6.3
Cooper Mohr 21.9 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.8 0.4 1.1 1.6 2.5 2.7 4.5 5.6 5.9 7.3 9.7 9.2 11.6 9.9 9.9