Franklin Central
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #7
Shelbyville Regional Rank #3
Mt. Vernon (Fortville) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 9th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 23.8%
Top 10 at State Finals 63.4%
Advance to State Finals 95.5%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invite Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference
Date 8/13 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 245 783 215 413 221 879 258
Team Adjusted Rating 228 215 253 221 245 258
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff Marion County Brownsburg Invitational Eagle Classic Ben Davis Invite Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference
30  Evan Farmer 11 16:07 16:07 16:03 16:04 16:15
39  Joseph Ashman 12 16:11 16:28 16:06 16:08 16:07
69  Justin Reedus 10 16:26 16:36 16:14 16:19 16:33
165  Emilio Leal 11 16:53 16:46 16:54 17:00 16:41 17:02
205  Drew Wright 10 16:57 17:32 16:41 16:45 16:57 16:58 17:00
215  Kade McDermott 12 16:59 16:52 17:02 17:01 17:08 16:51
236  Ian Tharp 9 17:03 17:05 17:04 16:58 17:03
368  Usman Azimi 12 17:26 17:26 17:41 17:11 17:11 17:35 17:27
412  Cooper Trout 10 17:31 17:08 17:35 17:20 17:42 17:48
665  Josh Lasley 10 17:59 19:30 17:39 18:03 18:13 18:05 17:46 17:37
1,228  Julian Denney 11 18:51 19:11 19:47 18:43 18:38 18:42 18:43
Jason Decker 9 19:01 19:11 18:48 18:53 18:39 19:48 19:02
Elliott McVey 9 19:16 18:51 19:09 19:48 18:45 19:32 19:26
Andrew Gray 9 19:24 19:32 20:05 19:22 19:19 18:47




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 95.5% 8.8 281 0.3 2.2 5.9 7.3 8.2 8.1 7.9 8.0 8.3 7.3 7.5 5.8 4.8 4.0 4.0 2.2 1.8 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.5 111 5.9 18.1 27.3 25.7 18.5 3.8 0.8
Sectionals 100% 1.1 36 95.3 3.7 1.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Farmer 100.0% 35.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.6 1.2 0.8 1.4 1.2 1.4 1.7 1.5 1.7 2.1 2.3 3.0 1.8 2.1 98.9% 100.0%
Joseph Ashman 100.0% 42.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.7 1.0 0.9 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.5 1.0 1.7 1.8 98.9% 100.0%
Justin Reedus 99.0% 72.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 76.9% 98.0%
Emilio Leal 95.5% 155.1 1.1% 39.9%
Drew Wright 95.5% 168.9 0.0% 25.9%
Kade McDermott 95.5% 172.4 0.0% 23.4%
Ian Tharp 95.5% 183.1 0.0% 11.5%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Farmer 100% 7.3 0.4 1.8 6.2 8.6 10.5 9.9 9.9 9.7 9.8 8.5 6.4 4.1 3.5 3.3 2.1 1.9 1.1 0.6 0.6 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Joseph Ashman 100% 9.0 0.1 1.0 2.9 4.6 5.8 8.8 8.5 9.4 9.5 10.2 7.5 6.0 5.9 4.0 3.8 2.9 2.2 2.1 1.3 1.1 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.4 100.0%
Justin Reedus 100% 16.7 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.0 2.3 2.5 3.8 4.6 5.2 6.0 6.9 6.4 6.1 5.5 6.2 5.0 5.6 4.6 4.4 3.0 3.0 2.3 100.0%
Emilio Leal 100% 40.8 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.0 100.0%
Drew Wright 100% 47.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 100.0%
Kade McDermott 100% 48.6 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.5 0.6 100.0%
Ian Tharp 100% 55.3 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Evan Farmer 2.2 18.1 28.1 22.6 16.0 9.7 4.4 1.2 0.1
Joseph Ashman 2.9 7.9 20.2 24.3 19.2 16.5 9.3 2.0 0.5 0.2
Justin Reedus 5.8 0.3 0.7 3.2 10.9 16.0 22.4 30.0 11.1 3.3 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.2
Emilio Leal 10.5 0.3 0.2 2.0 10.3 16.0 14.5 12.6 10.8 9.0 6.2 4.7 3.8 3.8 1.7 1.5 1.2 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.2
Drew Wright 12.3 0.3 0.8 4.8 8.8 10.8 10.1 11.0 11.3 8.1 7.8 5.9 5.2 4.9 3.6 2.6 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.4
Kade McDermott 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 3.2 7.6 9.1 10.0 10.5 8.8 8.7 7.8 6.6 5.8 5.1 4.0 3.8 3.0 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.6
Ian Tharp 15.1 0.1 0.9 2.5 4.5 7.0 8.1 8.3 9.8 8.4 8.4 7.7 6.5 6.0 5.2 5.7 4.4 2.8 2.0 0.9