Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2022 - 2023 - 2024
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State Rank #2
Shelbyville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 2nd place at State Finals
State Champion 14.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 84.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 97.2%
Advance to State Finals 99.9%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference
Date 8/19 8/26 9/2 9/9 9/16 9/23
Team Rating 175 333 151 164 527 714 180
Team Adjusted Rating 161 151 164 301 175 180
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington North Invitational Hamilton County Rick Weinheimer Classic Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invite Hoosier Crossroads Conference
25  Caden Click 12 16:02 15:41 16:08 16:16 15:58
31  Ronnie Neal 11 16:07 16:07 16:04 16:13 17:18 16:01
54  Sam Rinker 12 16:19 16:26 15:55 16:18 16:26
65  John Libs 10 16:24 17:02 16:10 16:20 16:18 16:28
83  Jack Strong 11 16:31 15:57 16:29 16:05 17:18 16:44
131  Alec Moor 12 16:45 16:18 16:55 16:40 17:32 16:34
159  Luke Mumaw 12 16:52 17:41 16:52 16:44 16:43 16:51
180  Caden Jackson 11 16:54 16:41 16:55 16:51 16:47 17:16
212  Jack Shinneman 11 16:58 17:29 16:55 17:00 16:51 16:52
278  Cooper Click 10 17:11 17:47 17:09 17:05 17:03 17:09
302  Jude Naville 11 17:15 17:34 17:07 17:07 17:17 17:15 17:24 17:04
374  Grant Cummings 12 17:27 18:03 17:11 17:25 17:23 17:17 17:36
399  Noah Melton 10 17:30 17:06 17:35 17:22 17:38 17:30 17:31
407  Banner Barnes 9 17:31 17:23 17:26 19:09 17:31 17:31 17:38
760  Josh Moller 9 18:08 17:41 17:50 17:52 18:25 18:25 18:30
780  Jack Rush 9 18:10 18:28 17:59 17:52 18:08 18:12 18:19
836  Bradyn Livingston 11 18:15 18:21 17:52 17:43 18:11 18:35 18:22 18:27
1,097  Bode Barnes 11 18:41 18:41 18:38 19:19 18:22 18:33 18:49
1,172  Ryan Clark 11 18:46 18:56 18:46 18:52 18:27 18:43 18:48
1,283  Luke Conrad 10 18:55 18:19 18:49 18:59 18:57 18:54 19:17
1,292  Tyler Stallings 9 18:57 19:25 18:47 18:49 18:40 19:09
Grant Warnock 10 19:02 18:58 19:05 19:01 18:42 19:09 19:08 19:07
Isaiah Rhamy 10 19:02 19:03 19:23 19:01 18:49 19:00
Brady Shoffner 19:03 19:01 20:31 19:04 18:51 19:15
Matthew Huseman 9 19:08 18:50 19:29 18:54 19:06 19:19




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 99.9% 3.4 183 14.3 34.3 19.2 10.2 7.0 4.7 2.9 2.2 1.7 0.9 1.2 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2
Regionals 100% 1.5 64 72.0 15.8 8.0 3.4 0.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.3 35 78.7 16.1 5.3



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caden Click 100.0% 28.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.3 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.0 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.4 2.6 2.8 2.1 2.3 3.1 2.6 3.1 2.6 3.6 2.7 50.0% 100.0%
Ronnie Neal 100% 35.0 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.1 1.2 1.2 1.2 1.6 1.6 1.7 2.4 1.9 2.9 1.9 2.0 100.0% 100.0%
Sam Rinker 100% 55.9 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.8 0.8 0.6 0.5 100.0% 99.4%
John Libs 99.9% 67.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0% 98.3%
Jack Strong 99.9% 87.6 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0% 93.8%
Alec Moor 99.9% 130.8 0.0% 63.6%
Luke Mumaw 99.9% 153.8 0.0% 42.9%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caden Click 100% 5.7 0.2 4.2 9.8 13.6 13.8 12.1 11.0 9.4 7.6 4.8 3.9 3.3 2.0 1.6 0.7 0.8 0.7 0.2 0.5 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Ronnie Neal 100% 7.2 0.1 1.5 4.2 8.7 10.6 12.0 11.4 10.6 8.4 7.4 5.5 4.5 3.2 3.1 2.5 1.8 1.8 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Sam Rinker 100% 12.8 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 3.9 5.4 5.7 6.8 8.7 8.0 8.1 7.4 6.7 5.9 5.6 3.9 3.9 2.7 2.7 1.9 1.4 1.7 0.9 100.0%
John Libs 100% 15.5 0.1 0.5 1.0 1.9 2.2 3.3 4.8 6.0 7.2 6.2 7.5 6.4 7.1 6.9 6.0 5.4 4.3 3.9 3.2 2.7 2.3 2.0 100.0%
Jack Strong 100% 20.4 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 0.9 1.4 1.8 2.9 3.0 4.5 4.9 4.9 5.9 5.6 5.8 5.5 6.2 5.3 5.2 4.2 4.1 100.0%
Alec Moor 100% 32.5 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 0.8 0.8 1.3 1.8 2.6 2.1 2.6 3.0 4.0 3.3 100.0%
Luke Mumaw 100% 39.9 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.8 1.2 0.7 1.9 1.9 1.8 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Caden Click 2.9 0.6 7.4 48.4 27.8 8.7 3.0 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.2
Ronnie Neal 3.6 0.1 3.0 24.7 38.6 17.4 7.3 3.8 2.4 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1
Sam Rinker 5.9 0.1 1.3 5.6 23.3 20.9 15.1 9.2 7.8 5.9 4.2 2.4 1.6 1.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1
John Libs 7.5 0.3 1.6 8.9 16.5 17.7 11.2 11.4 9.3 6.9 5.8 3.7 2.5 1.5 1.2 0.6 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1
Jack Strong 10.3 0.2 1.6 3.5 8.7 12.4 11.8 9.3 10.6 10.5 7.7 6.6 5.3 3.1 2.5 2.3 1.6 0.9 0.9 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.1
Alec Moor 16.1 0.3 1.6 2.9 4.1 4.4 5.2 5.7 7.9 8.7 8.9 7.6 8.1 7.0 7.3 5.3 4.4 4.3 2.7 2.0
Luke Mumaw 18.9 0.2 0.5 0.9 1.9 2.6 3.5 5.1 5.9 7.3 7.0 7.7 8.5 8.4 7.7 7.0 7.0 7.8 4.2