All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Huntington North Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/19 |
8/26 |
9/2 |
9/9 |
9/16 |
9/23 |
9/30 |
10/4 |
10/14 |
10/21 |
10/28 |
| Team Rating |
226 | |
327 |
159 |
165 |
517 |
699 |
188 |
158 |
552 |
253 |
277 |
274 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
204 |
159 |
165 |
307 |
226 |
188 |
158 |
226 |
253 |
277 |
247 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Huntington North Invitational |
Hamilton County |
Rick Weinheimer Classic |
Wildcat Classic |
Flashrock Invite |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike XC Town Twilight |
HSE/Noblesville JV Invite |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 34 |
Caden Click |
12 |
16:09 |
15:41 |
|
16:10 |
16:17 |
|
|
16:00 |
15:53 |
|
17:12 |
16:21 |
16:12 |
| 46 |
Sam Rinker |
12 |
16:15 |
16:26 |
|
15:58 |
16:18 |
|
|
16:28 |
16:02 |
|
16:18 |
16:19 |
16:11 |
| 91 |
John Libs |
10 |
16:32 |
17:02 |
16:09 |
16:22 |
16:19 |
|
|
16:29 |
16:33 |
|
16:37 |
16:35 |
16:41 |
| 96 |
Ronnie Neal |
11 |
16:33 |
16:07 |
|
16:06 |
16:14 |
17:16 |
|
16:03 |
16:38 |
|
16:30 |
17:05 |
|
| 152 |
Jack Strong |
11 |
16:46 |
15:57 |
|
16:31 |
16:06 |
17:17 |
|
16:45 |
15:56 |
|
16:42 |
16:58 |
17:28 |
| 164 |
Alec Moor |
12 |
16:48 |
16:18 |
|
16:56 |
16:40 |
17:30 |
|
16:35 |
16:42 |
|
16:33 |
16:53 |
16:58 |
| 206 |
Luke Mumaw |
12 |
16:55 |
17:41 |
16:50 |
16:45 |
16:42 |
|
|
16:52 |
16:54 |
|
16:59 |
17:03 |
17:00 |
| 228 |
Jack Shinneman |
11 |
16:59 |
17:29 |
16:54 |
17:01 |
16:51 |
|
|
16:53 |
17:10 |
|
|
|
17:59 |
| 243 |
Caden Jackson |
11 |
17:02 |
16:41 |
16:53 |
16:52 |
16:47 |
|
|
17:17 |
17:11 |
17:01 |
|
|
|
| 251 |
Cooper Click |
10 |
17:05 |
17:47 |
17:07 |
17:06 |
17:02 |
|
|
17:10 |
16:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 301 |
Jude Naville |
11 |
17:14 |
17:34 |
17:05 |
17:08 |
17:16 |
17:14 |
17:22 |
17:04 |
17:13 |
17:16 |
|
|
|
| 367 |
Grant Cummings |
12 |
17:22 |
18:03 |
17:09 |
17:25 |
17:23 |
17:16 |
|
17:36 |
17:14 |
17:22 |
|
|
|
| 492 |
Noah Melton |
10 |
17:37 |
17:06 |
|
17:36 |
17:22 |
17:36 |
17:28 |
17:31 |
18:03 |
17:40 |
|
|
|
| 496 |
Banner Barnes |
9 |
17:37 |
|
17:21 |
17:26 |
19:07 |
17:29 |
17:29 |
17:39 |
18:08 |
17:40 |
|
|
|
| 827 |
Josh Moller |
9 |
18:11 |
|
17:38 |
17:50 |
17:51 |
18:22 |
18:22 |
18:29 |
18:13 |
19:31 |
|
|
|
| 829 |
Jack Rush |
9 |
18:11 |
|
18:24 |
17:59 |
17:51 |
18:05 |
18:09 |
18:18 |
18:15 |
18:15 |
|
|
|
| 870 |
Bradyn Livingston |
11 |
18:15 |
18:21 |
17:49 |
17:43 |
18:10 |
18:32 |
18:19 |
18:26 |
18:14 |
18:14 |
|
|
|
| 1,124 |
Bode Barnes |
11 |
18:36 |
18:41 |
18:34 |
19:17 |
18:20 |
18:30 |
|
18:47 |
18:22 |
18:33 |
|
|
|
| 1,176 |
Ryan Clark |
11 |
18:40 |
18:56 |
18:42 |
18:51 |
18:25 |
|
18:40 |
18:47 |
18:32 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
| 1,294 |
Tyler Stallings |
9 |
18:50 |
|
19:19 |
18:46 |
18:47 |
|
18:37 |
19:07 |
18:38 |
18:46 |
|
|
|
|
Isaiah Rhamy |
10 |
19:01 |
|
18:59 |
19:21 |
18:59 |
|
18:45 |
18:58 |
19:06 |
18:58 |
|
|
|
|
Luke Conrad |
10 |
19:02 |
18:19 |
18:44 |
18:58 |
18:54 |
|
18:50 |
19:15 |
19:04 |
19:07 |
|
|
|
|
Matt Huseman |
9 |
19:03 |
|
18:46 |
19:27 |
18:52 |
|
19:02 |
19:17 |
19:03 |
18:53 |
|
|
|
|
Grant Warnock |
10 |
19:07 |
18:58 |
19:00 |
19:00 |
18:40 |
19:05 |
19:04 |
19:05 |
19:17 |
19:27 |
|
|
|
|
Brady Shoffner |
10 |
19:16 |
|
18:56 |
20:28 |
19:01 |
|
18:47 |
19:13 |
19:46 |
19:46 |
|
|
|
|
Kasen Pepperman |
11 |
19:25 |
|
19:54 |
|
20:05 |
|
19:37 |
19:20 |
19:07 |
19:00 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 2,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
100% |
6.9 |
244 |
2.7 |
9.6 |
11.3 |
10.9 |
10.8 |
10.0 |
8.0 |
6.6 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
2.6 |
1.4 |
2.5 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.3 |
84 |
34.2 |
28.5 |
20.6 |
11.0 |
5.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.0 |
47 |
36.1 |
32.8 |
31.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Caden Click |
100% |
38.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
1.3 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.3 |
1.7 |
1.7 |
2.4 |
2.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Rinker |
100% |
49.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
|
99.7% |
| John Libs |
100% |
93.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
0.2 |
|
89.7% |
| Ronnie Neal |
100% |
98.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
87.4% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
142.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
51.4% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
150.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.8% |
| Luke Mumaw |
100% |
170.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
24.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Caden Click |
100% |
5.9 |
|
3.1 |
11.6 |
11.8 |
13.9 |
11.2 |
11.5 |
8.4 |
7.0 |
4.9 |
4.4 |
3.1 |
1.9 |
1.6 |
1.4 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Sam Rinker |
100% |
7.8 |
|
0.7 |
3.9 |
6.5 |
7.6 |
11.7 |
11.3 |
10.5 |
8.0 |
6.8 |
5.8 |
5.0 |
3.5 |
3.9 |
2.6 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| John Libs |
100% |
19.5 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.3 |
2.6 |
4.0 |
4.3 |
3.8 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.3 |
4.8 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.7 |
4.1 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
3.6 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Ronnie Neal |
100% |
19.9 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
4.6 |
4.9 |
5.3 |
4.1 |
4.4 |
3.9 |
4.0 |
4.0 |
3.5 |
3.5 |
3.4 |
3.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Jack Strong |
100% |
35.1 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.8 |
0.8 |
1.4 |
2.1 |
1.9 |
2.0 |
2.2 |
2.6 |
2.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Alec Moor |
100% |
37.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.0 |
1.0 |
0.7 |
1.5 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
1.9 |
1.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Luke Mumaw |
100% |
45.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Caden Click |
2.9 |
|
4.4 |
49.3 |
24.5 |
9.4 |
4.4 |
2.6 |
1.9 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sam Rinker |
3.8 |
|
1.3 |
19.5 |
34.5 |
15.8 |
9.1 |
5.2 |
4.7 |
2.6 |
2.6 |
1.8 |
1.2 |
0.7 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
| John Libs |
9.6 |
|
|
0.2 |
0.9 |
7.5 |
9.8 |
9.3 |
8.5 |
9.4 |
8.1 |
8.0 |
6.9 |
6.4 |
5.0 |
5.3 |
4.8 |
2.6 |
3.3 |
1.9 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
| Ronnie Neal |
10.2 |
|
|
0.1 |
0.9 |
6.3 |
7.3 |
9.8 |
8.3 |
7.8 |
8.5 |
7.8 |
5.5 |
7.1 |
6.5 |
6.0 |
4.1 |
5.4 |
3.3 |
2.3 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
|
| Jack Strong |
17.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
2.4 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.4 |
4.2 |
4.9 |
5.8 |
5.8 |
7.4 |
7.3 |
8.2 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
8.0 |
6.3 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
1.8 |
| Alec Moor |
18.2 |
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.7 |
2.2 |
3.3 |
3.2 |
4.2 |
4.2 |
5.3 |
5.9 |
7.0 |
9.0 |
8.9 |
8.5 |
9.1 |
7.8 |
6.9 |
4.3 |
3.2 |
| Luke Mumaw |
21.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.0 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
4.6 |
5.1 |
7.6 |
8.3 |
10.3 |
11.4 |
12.1 |
8.5 |
8.9 |
|
