All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Brownsburg Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
10/18 |
10/25 |
11/1 |
| Team Rating |
235 | |
190 |
209 |
238 |
295 |
245 |
237 |
563 |
254 |
227 |
271 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
190 |
209 |
238 |
295 |
245 |
237 |
235 |
254 |
227 |
271 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Brownsburg Invitational (4k) |
Hamilton County |
State Preview |
Golden Bear Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
Noblesville Sectional |
Shelbyville Regional |
State Finals |
|---|
| 45 |
Reece Torres |
11 |
16:09 |
16:47 |
16:08 |
16:26 |
16:41 |
16:37 |
16:21 |
15:56 |
|
16:34 |
16:00 |
16:25 |
| 47 |
Nate Thomas |
12 |
16:09 |
15:51 |
16:08 |
16:03 |
16:01 |
16:22 |
16:00 |
16:45 |
|
16:03 |
16:03 |
16:11 |
| 95 |
Declan Mohr |
12 |
16:29 |
17:12 |
16:00 |
16:08 |
16:23 |
16:22 |
16:34 |
16:18 |
|
16:37 |
16:34 |
16:54 |
| 169 |
Mason Lapp |
12 |
16:46 |
17:52 |
16:43 |
16:36 |
16:34 |
17:04 |
16:47 |
16:58 |
|
16:48 |
17:01 |
16:39 |
| 182 |
Kale Ormes |
11 |
16:49 |
16:54 |
16:38 |
16:45 |
16:55 |
16:56 |
16:50 |
16:42 |
|
16:42 |
16:50 |
16:56 |
| 202 |
Brady FitzGerald |
12 |
16:53 |
17:40 |
16:44 |
17:07 |
16:49 |
17:12 |
16:58 |
16:42 |
|
16:50 |
16:46 |
16:48 |
| 270 |
Braylen Floyd |
10 |
17:05 |
17:26 |
16:55 |
16:59 |
17:01 |
|
17:30 |
16:50 |
|
17:14 |
|
|
| 284 |
Grant Fasnacht |
12 |
17:08 |
18:17 |
17:21 |
17:17 |
17:09 |
17:13 |
17:13 |
17:15 |
17:08 |
|
16:59 |
17:04 |
| 299 |
Sam Wing |
12 |
17:11 |
18:08 |
|
17:25 |
17:15 |
17:17 |
17:00 |
16:57 |
17:15 |
|
|
|
| 437 |
Cameron Shirvinski |
12 |
17:30 |
|
17:47 |
17:47 |
17:33 |
17:22 |
17:19 |
17:19 |
17:34 |
|
|
|
| 494 |
Alec Lisa |
11 |
17:35 |
|
17:23 |
17:42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 496 |
Ajuna Muzoora |
11 |
17:35 |
17:53 |
17:41 |
17:29 |
17:35 |
17:40 |
17:39 |
18:55 |
17:28 |
|
|
|
| 510 |
Kaiser Shockley |
11 |
17:37 |
17:55 |
17:56 |
17:40 |
17:25 |
17:35 |
17:32 |
17:29 |
17:51 |
|
|
|
| 585 |
Noah Coles |
11 |
17:45 |
18:14 |
18:07 |
17:38 |
17:34 |
17:45 |
18:09 |
17:25 |
17:44 |
|
|
|
| 592 |
Simeon Brown |
11 |
17:45 |
17:50 |
17:22 |
|
|
18:00 |
18:02 |
17:26 |
17:43 |
|
|
|
| 640 |
Kaine Eberly |
10 |
17:51 |
18:08 |
17:38 |
18:00 |
18:21 |
17:47 |
18:19 |
17:20 |
17:41 |
|
|
|
| 687 |
John Frank |
9 |
17:55 |
|
18:17 |
18:16 |
17:47 |
17:34 |
17:58 |
17:40 |
18:07 |
|
|
|
| 692 |
Kaden Gartenman |
10 |
17:56 |
|
18:11 |
17:53 |
17:51 |
18:01 |
18:02 |
17:40 |
17:54 |
|
|
|
| 811 |
Gabe Rush |
11 |
18:04 |
18:35 |
|
|
|
18:28 |
18:13 |
17:45 |
17:56 |
|
|
|
| 1,022 |
Nathaniel Moore |
10 |
18:23 |
|
17:40 |
|
|
|
|
18:41 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,068 |
Drake Kane |
11 |
18:27 |
17:59 |
17:43 |
18:52 |
18:48 |
18:00 |
|
18:19 |
18:43 |
|
|
|
| 1,077 |
Connor Teal |
9 |
18:28 |
|
18:21 |
18:26 |
18:29 |
18:25 |
18:31 |
18:23 |
18:32 |
|
|
|
| 1,082 |
Dalton Keele |
12 |
18:28 |
17:51 |
|
|
18:47 |
18:30 |
18:47 |
18:14 |
18:13 |
|
|
|
| 1,140 |
Liam Hummel |
9 |
18:33 |
|
18:21 |
18:26 |
18:43 |
18:37 |
18:32 |
18:19 |
18:40 |
|
|
|
| 1,192 |
Elliot Six |
12 |
18:38 |
18:24 |
19:02 |
19:23 |
18:43 |
18:44 |
18:48 |
17:42 |
18:20 |
|
|
|
| 1,250 |
William White |
10 |
18:42 |
|
19:07 |
18:49 |
18:56 |
18:46 |
18:33 |
18:38 |
18:31 |
|
|
|
| 1,305 |
Andrew Kim |
10 |
18:47 |
|
18:16 |
18:20 |
18:33 |
|
19:34 |
18:56 |
18:50 |
|
|
|
| 1,316 |
Hudson Ayers |
12 |
18:48 |
19:02 |
18:34 |
18:47 |
18:53 |
18:31 |
19:04 |
19:15 |
18:36 |
|
|
|
| 1,468 |
Zaid Abuhassan |
10 |
19:00 |
|
19:50 |
|
|
19:11 |
19:16 |
18:33 |
18:39 |
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
81.5% |
9.7 |
283 |
|
0.3 |
1.1 |
2.7 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
9.9 |
9.2 |
8.7 |
8.0 |
6.5 |
4.2 |
2.6 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
4.0 |
121 |
1.5 |
17.2 |
21.5 |
23.6 |
17.7 |
11.9 |
5.6 |
1.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.8 |
77 |
1.3 |
30.0 |
55.1 |
13.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Reece Torres |
99.8% |
45.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.5 |
98.8% |
99.8% |
| Nate Thomas |
99.7% |
46.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
98.6% |
99.7% |
| Declan Mohr |
88.5% |
91.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
38.1% |
79.9% |
| Mason Lapp |
81.6% |
145.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.8% |
25.1% |
| Kale Ormes |
81.5% |
154.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1% |
18.6% |
| Brady FitzGerald |
81.5% |
165.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
11.1% |
| Braylen Floyd |
81.5% |
193.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
1.2% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Reece Torres |
100% |
10.4 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
2.7 |
5.8 |
6.3 |
7.6 |
7.7 |
8.3 |
8.2 |
8.0 |
7.1 |
6.5 |
5.1 |
4.4 |
4.2 |
3.3 |
2.7 |
2.4 |
1.9 |
1.4 |
1.1 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Nate Thomas |
100% |
10.8 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
2.2 |
4.8 |
6.0 |
6.7 |
8.2 |
8.2 |
7.5 |
7.4 |
7.9 |
6.5 |
5.2 |
5.1 |
5.1 |
3.4 |
3.1 |
2.2 |
1.8 |
1.4 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Declan Mohr |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
2.0 |
2.5 |
3.0 |
3.5 |
4.0 |
4.4 |
4.4 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
3.9 |
4.5 |
4.4 |
3.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Mason Lapp |
100% |
43.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| Kale Ormes |
100% |
47.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Brady FitzGerald |
100% |
51.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
|
100.0% |
| Braylen Floyd |
100% |
66.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Reece Torres |
7.5 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
4.5 |
10.3 |
13.1 |
13.7 |
14.1 |
12.7 |
10.7 |
7.3 |
4.8 |
2.8 |
2.0 |
1.2 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
| Nate Thomas |
7.7 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
4.0 |
9.8 |
12.7 |
13.7 |
13.4 |
13.1 |
10.7 |
8.5 |
5.4 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.3 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
| Declan Mohr |
13.9 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
3.1 |
5.8 |
8.0 |
10.9 |
10.8 |
9.9 |
7.9 |
8.1 |
7.6 |
6.0 |
4.9 |
4.1 |
3.1 |
2.1 |
1.7 |
1.8 |
0.7 |
| Mason Lapp |
22.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
1.4 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
3.6 |
4.2 |
5.0 |
5.6 |
6.2 |
7.5 |
7.3 |
7.9 |
8.2 |
6.9 |
| Kale Ormes |
23.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.4 |
3.6 |
4.8 |
5.6 |
6.3 |
7.1 |
6.7 |
7.9 |
8.3 |
| Brady FitzGerald |
25.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.9 |
1.2 |
1.8 |
2.3 |
3.1 |
4.1 |
4.3 |
5.3 |
7.2 |
6.9 |
8.1 |
| Braylen Floyd |
30.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
2.8 |
|
