Fishers
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #10
Shelbyville Regional Rank #3
Noblesville Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 10th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 7.9%
Top 10 at State Finals 49.4%
Advance to State Finals 81.3%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg Invitational (4k) Hamilton County State Preview Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference XC Town Twilight Brownsburg JV Invitational
Date 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/20 9/27 10/4 10/11
Team Rating 254 198 221 252 313 256 247 583
Team Adjusted Rating 198 221 252 313 256 247 254
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Brownsburg Invitational (4k) Hamilton County State Preview Golden Bear Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference XC Town Twilight Brownsburg JV Invitational
37  Nate Thomas 12 16:10 15:51 16:10 16:05 16:03 16:25 16:01 16:47
63  Declan Mohr 12 16:22 17:12 16:01 16:10 16:25 16:26 16:36 16:20
76  Reece Torres 11 16:26 16:47 16:09 16:28 16:43 16:41 16:23 15:58
179  Kale Ormes 11 16:51 16:54 16:40 16:48 16:58 16:59 16:53 16:44
184  Mason Lapp 12 16:51 17:52 16:45 16:39 16:37 17:08 16:49 17:00
217  Brady FitzGerald 12 17:00 17:40 16:46 17:09 16:52 17:15 17:01 16:45
243  Braylen Floyd 10 17:06 17:26 16:57 17:01 17:03 17:33 16:52
310  Sam Wing 12 17:17 18:08 17:28 17:18 17:21 17:02 16:59 17:18
327  Grant Fasnacht 12 17:18 18:17 17:24 17:20 17:12 17:17 17:16 17:17 17:11
450  Cameron Shirvinski 12 17:34 17:50 17:50 17:37 17:26 17:22 17:22 17:38
461  Alec Lisa 11 17:36 17:25 17:46
489  Ajuna Muzoora 11 17:40 17:53 17:43 17:32 17:38 17:44 17:42 19:00 17:31
507  Kaiser Shockley 11 17:42 17:55 17:58 17:43 17:28 17:39 17:34 17:33 17:55
549  Simeon Brown 11 17:47 17:50 17:24 18:04 18:05 17:29 17:46
573  Noah Coles 11 17:50 18:14 18:10 17:41 17:37 17:49 18:12 17:29 17:47
646  Kaine Eberly 10 17:57 18:08 17:40 18:04 18:25 17:51 18:22 17:23 17:44
667  Kaden Gartenman 10 17:59 18:13 17:56 17:54 18:05 18:05 17:44 17:58
671  John Frank 9 18:00 18:19 18:19 17:51 17:38 18:01 17:44 18:10
799  Nathaniel Moore 10 18:10 17:42 18:45
828  Gabe Rush 11 18:13 18:35 18:33 18:16 17:49 18:00
978  Drake Kane 11 18:27 17:59 17:46 18:56 18:52 18:04 18:24 18:47
1,034  Dalton Keele 12 18:31 17:51 18:51 18:34 18:50 18:17 18:17
1,036  Connor Teal 9 18:31 18:23 18:30 18:33 18:30 18:35 18:27 18:36
1,092  Liam Hummel 9 18:36 18:23 18:30 18:47 18:42 18:35 18:23 18:44
1,190  Elliot Six 12 18:44 18:24 19:05 19:27 18:47 18:49 18:52 17:45 18:24
1,203  Andrew Kim 10 18:45 18:18 18:24 18:37 19:38 19:00 18:54
1,241  William White 10 18:49 19:10 18:53 19:00 18:51 18:36 18:42 18:35
1,283  Hudson Ayers 12 18:52 19:02 18:37 18:51 18:58 18:36 19:08 19:19 18:40
Zaid Abuhassan 10 19:10 19:53 19:16 19:20 18:36 18:43




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 81.3% 9.7 293 0.2 1.2 2.5 4.0 5.1 6.9 8.8 10.3 10.3 9.4 7.7 5.4 4.4 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.1 125 1.3 15.5 21.4 23.5 19.5 10.4 6.3 1.8 0.1 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.9 79 1.1 18.5 67.2 13.0 0.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Thomas 99.8% 41.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.5 1.0 0.8 1.0 0.9 1.2 1.6 1.8 1.7 1.8 99.1% 99.8%
Declan Mohr 96.1% 65.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.4 79.3% 95.3%
Reece Torres 93.7% 75.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 66.4% 91.6%
Kale Ormes 81.4% 153.7 0.4% 20.5%
Mason Lapp 81.4% 154.6 0.2% 19.6%
Brady FitzGerald 81.3% 178.1 0.0% 5.3%
Braylen Floyd 81.3% 190.4 0.0% 2.1%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Thomas 100% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.8 3.4 5.8 8.4 9.2 10.8 10.0 9.2 7.1 6.3 5.5 4.5 3.2 2.8 2.4 1.8 1.5 1.6 0.9 0.8 0.7 0.8 0.5 100.0%
Declan Mohr 100% 15.9 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 3.0 4.3 5.2 5.4 5.7 6.3 5.9 5.6 5.3 4.1 4.6 4.4 3.9 3.4 3.3 3.0 2.6 2.3 100.0%
Reece Torres 100% 18.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.6 2.4 3.2 3.8 4.7 5.1 4.5 5.0 5.5 5.5 4.6 4.0 4.9 4.2 3.7 3.4 3.2 2.5 100.0%
Kale Ormes 100% 45.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 100.0%
Mason Lapp 100% 46.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.8 100.0%
Brady FitzGerald 100% 56.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Braylen Floyd 100% 63.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nate Thomas 7.5 0.1 0.9 4.1 8.4 13.0 15.8 15.6 13.6 10.2 6.5 4.1 2.7 1.9 1.1 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Declan Mohr 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.8 4.0 6.9 9.4 11.3 13.3 11.2 9.4 8.2 6.5 5.1 3.9 2.8 2.0 1.3 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0
Reece Torres 12.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 3.6 6.1 8.5 11.2 11.7 10.7 9.8 7.7 6.9 6.1 4.5 4.1 2.5 1.8 1.1 0.3 0.2 0.1
Kale Ormes 22.5 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.3 3.4 4.4 5.6 7.3 8.5 9.2 10.6 9.8 7.8
Mason Lapp 22.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.9 1.5 2.6 3.6 3.6 5.8 6.9 8.9 9.8 9.2 9.3 8.2
Brady FitzGerald 26.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.5 1.6 2.4 3.3 4.3 5.9 7.4 9.0
Braylen Floyd 29.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.4 2.1 2.8 4.1 5.3