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State Rank #22
Shelbyville Regional Rank #8
Shelbyville Sectional Rank #2
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.4%
Advance to State Finals 3.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational
Date 8/30
Team Rating 396 372
Team Adjusted Rating 372
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Franklin Invitational
50  Liam Fennig 11 16:18 16:22 16:18
177  Brooks Huddleston 11 16:52 16:58 16:48
253  William Holcroft 12 17:08 18:02 16:53
268  Isiah Tunis 12 17:10 16:54 17:22
337  Luca Doyle 11 17:22 17:59 17:09
358  Alex Lin 12 17:25 17:31 17:22
393  Luke Dougherty 10 17:29 17:33 17:34
669  Phoenix Hoge-Mills 11 18:03 18:12 17:57
684  Lucas Hogan 18:05 18:05




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 3.4% 13.7 374 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 7.9 229 0.0 0.3 0.9 2.2 6.9 23.3 39.3 16.9 7.2 2.3 0.6 0.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 69 3.1 93.9 2.8 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Fennig 98.7% 55.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.8 98.6% 98.7%
Brooks Huddleston 19.3% 123.8 16.4% 18.6%
William Holcroft 3.7% 155.2 0.3% 0.8%
Isiah Tunis 3.6% 163.0 0.1% 0.5%
Luca Doyle 3.4% 188.6 0.0% 0.0%
Alex Lin 3.4% 193.8 0.0% 0.0%
Luke Dougherty 3.4% 202.2 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Fennig 100% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 3.9 5.3 6.4 7.0 7.0 7.4 6.4 6.0 5.6 5.0 5.4 4.1 3.3 3.3 2.6 2.9 2.3 1.6 1.6 100.0%
Brooks Huddleston 100% 44.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.6 0.8 0.6 0.8 100.0%
William Holcroft 100% 64.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Isiah Tunis 100% 66.6 0.0 100.0%
Luca Doyle 100% 81.1 100.0%
Alex Lin 100% 84.9 100.0%
Luke Dougherty 100% 89.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Liam Fennig 1.0 57.0 14.7 10.1 8.2 4.7 2.6 1.1 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0
Brooks Huddleston 10.5 1.3 1.7 2.6 4.4 4.7 6.4 6.9 8.0 9.3 8.7 9.2 9.3 8.0 6.6 5.2 3.6 1.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.2 0.1
William Holcroft 16.6 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.0 1.3 2.0 2.7 4.1 5.3 6.6 8.4 9.9 11.3 10.6 9.5 7.7 5.7 4.3 2.9 1.9 1.3
Isiah Tunis 17.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.1 2.5 4.1 5.4 7.0 9.4 9.9 10.5 10.6 9.1 8.3 5.4 3.5 2.9 2.0
Luca Doyle 22.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.4 1.8 3.2 4.5 6.6 8.3 9.9 9.4 9.8 8.7 7.1
Alex Lin 23.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.8 2.9 4.5 6.0 7.2 8.7 9.8 9.6 9.1
Luke Dougherty 25.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.8 3.0 4.4 6.2 7.4 8.3 8.7