All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Hamilton County |
Harrison Invite |
Date | | |
8/30 |
9/6 |
Team Rating |
368 | |
352 |
340 |
Team Adjusted Rating | | |
352 |
340 |
State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Hamilton County |
Harrison Invite |
95 |
Bryce Pittman |
11 |
16:32 |
17:05 |
16:20 |
16:35 |
132 |
Nathan McKeever |
11 |
16:44 |
17:04 |
16:41 |
16:37 |
135 |
Luke Moulder |
11 |
16:44 |
16:36 |
17:00 |
16:39 |
265 |
Carson Ackley |
11 |
17:10 |
17:25 |
17:06 |
17:06 |
302 |
Deagan Imel |
11 |
17:16 |
18:05 |
17:14 |
17:06 |
308 |
Donovan Ledford |
11 |
17:17 |
18:08 |
17:07 |
17:16 |
373 |
Chase Niccum |
11 |
17:27 |
17:59 |
17:22 |
17:22 |
408 |
Graham Hoffman |
12 |
17:32 |
18:14 |
17:22 |
|
458 |
Jp Mikels |
11 |
17:38 |
17:48 |
17:23 |
17:48 |
462 |
Dexter Hoffman |
10 |
17:39 |
17:47 |
17:38 |
18:45 |
645 |
Luke Stevens |
10 |
18:01 |
18:29 |
17:43 |
18:06 |
662 |
Max Lynaugh |
9 |
18:03 |
|
17:49 |
18:22 |
748 |
Taye Gutwein |
12 |
18:11 |
18:28 |
18:06 |
18:07 |
808 |
Jace Lee |
12 |
18:15 |
18:35 |
18:15 |
18:05 |
816 |
Owen Dilley |
12 |
18:16 |
17:05 |
18:13 |
18:51 |
858 |
Tyler O'Rourke |
10 |
18:20 |
18:24 |
18:22 |
18:19 |
888 |
Brecken Snyder |
9 |
18:22 |
|
18:37 |
18:08 |
932 |
John Obusek |
11 |
18:26 |
18:28 |
18:32 |
|
1,070 |
Corbin Hasler |
11 |
18:39 |
|
18:48 |
18:29 |
1,107 |
Brayden Cring |
10 |
18:43 |
|
18:55 |
18:31 |
1,135 |
Brandon Encinia |
9 |
18:45 |
|
18:45 |
18:44 |
1,139 |
Elan Zamora |
9 |
18:45 |
|
18:44 |
18:47 |
1,231 |
Parker Johnson |
10 |
18:54 |
19:18 |
18:42 |
18:56 |
1,264 |
Conner Phillips |
10 |
18:57 |
|
19:05 |
18:48 |
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
State Finals |
11.7% |
12.4 |
352 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.9 |
0.9 |
1.5 |
1.4 |
1.7 |
1.3 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
Regionals |
99.3% |
7.0 |
202 |
|
0.5 |
1.3 |
3.3 |
6.7 |
15.2 |
38.5 |
22.8 |
7.5 |
2.6 |
0.8 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Sectionals |
100% |
4.0 |
112 |
|
1.1 |
7.1 |
83.5 |
7.7 |
0.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance. Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Bryce Pittman |
81.0% |
89.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
78.4% |
80.9% |
Nathan McKeever |
42.4% |
112.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
34.8% |
41.6% |
Luke Moulder |
40.4% |
112.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
32.5% |
39.1% |
Carson Ackley |
11.8% |
171.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.6% |
Deagan Imel |
11.7% |
186.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.1% |
Donovan Ledford |
11.7% |
187.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Chase Niccum |
11.7% |
202.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Bryce Pittman |
100% |
24.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
1.7 |
2.0 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
3.0 |
3.1 |
3.1 |
3.7 |
3.8 |
4.2 |
4.5 |
4.2 |
3.5 |
4.2 |
3.8 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Nathan McKeever |
100% |
35.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.4 |
1.5 |
1.6 |
1.8 |
1.7 |
2.3 |
1.9 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Luke Moulder |
100% |
36.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.6 |
1.0 |
1.2 |
1.3 |
1.2 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
1.9 |
2.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Carson Ackley |
100% |
66.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
Deagan Imel |
100% |
74.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
Donovan Ledford |
100% |
75.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
100.0% |
Chase Niccum |
100% |
87.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
99.8% |
Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
Bryce Pittman |
13.8 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
1.7 |
3.3 |
4.8 |
7.9 |
9.9 |
11.2 |
12.1 |
11.9 |
9.9 |
7.4 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
2.9 |
2.2 |
1.2 |
1.2 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
Nathan McKeever |
18.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.3 |
3.3 |
4.9 |
7.5 |
9.2 |
10.0 |
9.6 |
9.1 |
7.9 |
7.2 |
5.8 |
5.6 |
4.8 |
3.7 |
Luke Moulder |
18.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
1.4 |
2.0 |
3.5 |
4.5 |
6.5 |
8.2 |
9.3 |
9.4 |
8.9 |
8.1 |
7.7 |
7.1 |
5.4 |
4.8 |
3.8 |
Carson Ackley |
29.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
1.5 |
2.2 |
2.8 |
4.0 |
4.6 |
Deagan Imel |
32.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.6 |
1.9 |
Donovan Ledford |
32.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
0.8 |
1.2 |
1.6 |
Chase Niccum |
35.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|