Barr-Reeve
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #128
Brown County Semi-State Rank #26
Pike Central Regional Rank #7
South Knox Sectional Rank #7
Most Likely Finish 7th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 6.4%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite State Preview Eagle Classic South Knox Invite Barr Reeve Invite Pike Central Invitational Blue Chip Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,017 1,243 1,145 1,106 1,125 945 1,047 965 985 1,027
Team Adjusted Rating 1,100 1,145 1,106 1,125 945 1,047 965 985 1,027
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Dennis Bays Warrior Invite State Preview Eagle Classic South Knox Invite Barr Reeve Invite Pike Central Invitational Blue Chip Conference South Knox Sectional Pike Central Regional Brown County Semi-State
574  Elle Knepp 11 21:37 22:03 20:29 21:48 21:28 21:36 21:11 21:34 22:00 22:01 21:32 21:50
631  Emily Wagler 10 21:49 22:45 21:42 22:13 22:00 22:27 21:52 21:35 21:22 21:51 21:37
997  Emma Salmon 9 22:41 24:10 22:36 22:40 22:45 21:54 23:18 22:09 22:33 22:50
1,151  Allie Knepp 10 23:01 23:39 24:31 23:55 23:58 23:13 22:07 22:41 22:45 22:43 22:56
Madyison Wagler 9 23:35 24:42 24:15 25:02 24:58 24:12 23:38 23:04 23:59
Hailey Buse 10 25:12 27:57 26:31 25:33 25:08 25:18 25:54 24:38 25:09
Alyssa Lasher 11 27:23 25:20 29:08 27:34 27:51 27:37 27:51 25:58 26:25 27:26




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 6.4% 19.6 454 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.9 4.9
Regionals 100% 7.0 159 0.2 0.8 5.4 17.3 51.2 22.9 2.2 0.0
Sectionals 100% 3.8 108 24.6 72.1 3.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elle Knepp 47.0% 102.0 43.4% 43.7%
Emily Wagler 19.8% 107.9 14.3% 14.7%
Emma Salmon 6.4% 136.9 0.0% 0.0%
Allie Knepp 6.4% 145.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elle Knepp 100% 26.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.2 1.9 2.6 3.6 5.0 7.4 9.4 100.0%
Emily Wagler 100% 29.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.6 1.2 1.9 2.8 3.8 100.0%
Emma Salmon 100% 40.0 100.0%
Allie Knepp 100% 46.5 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Elle Knepp 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.3 2.6 4.4 7.2 14.9 19.1 20.2 14.5 9.4 4.5 0.7 0.2 0.1
Emily Wagler 15.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.5 5.0 10.1 16.6 22.1 19.8 16.9 3.8 0.9 0.2 0.1
Emma Salmon 21.3 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 10.6 14.8 17.2 17.7 16.1 11.1 5.4
Allie Knepp 24.4 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 4.1 7.6 11.9 16.7 18.9