Concord
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #127
New Haven Semi-State Rank #37
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #11
Elkhart Sectional Rank #11
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 20.4%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Northwood Invite Marion Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 Dana Homo Invite New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/14 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 1,015 1,044 1,032 1,096 1,177 1,160 1,008 984 958
Team Adjusted Rating 984 1,011 931 1,135 1,081 1,008 984 958
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Northwood Invite Marion Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 Dana Homo Invite New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
370  Zoe Roberts 10 21:04 20:20 21:06 21:26 22:07 21:36 20:48 21:06 21:08 20:52
777  Maggie Weldy 10 22:12 23:21 21:57 22:26 21:56 22:52 22:20 22:04 21:58 21:52
976  Samia Latif 12 22:38 23:12 22:07 21:54 22:37 23:40 22:44 22:45
1,302  Lilian Hunter 10 23:23 23:38 23:48 24:36 24:24 22:56 23:28 22:59
1,331  Ava Plank 11 23:26 23:30 25:15 23:43 24:45 24:13 23:54 24:18 23:18 23:09 23:02
1,332  Rylie Meyer 12 23:26 24:54 23:48 25:08 23:15 23:50 23:42 23:15 23:02
Alex Brunswick 11 23:32 23:21 22:58 23:17 24:06 24:08 23:26 23:29 23:37 23:09
Abriana Davila 10 23:51 23:34 23:54 23:11 23:44 23:56 23:53
Mia Mejia 10 24:34 25:02 24:03 24:24 24:31 25:40 24:20 25:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0% 17.0 456 0.0
Regionals 20.4% 9.0 212 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.7 12.4 4.7
Sectionals 100% 5.7 131 0.0 0.9 4.2 15.4 79.5 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.



Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Roberts 88.0% 82.2 88.0% 88.0%
Maggie Weldy 0.1% 124.0 0.1% 0.1%
Samia Latif 0.0% 136.5 0.0% 0.0%
Lilian Hunter 0.0% 152.5 0.0% 0.0%
Ava Plank 0.0% 151.5 0.0% 0.0%
Rylie Meyer 0.0% 155.5 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Roberts 100% 20.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.7 2.5 4.1 5.9 8.3 10.1 9.4 8.9 8.0 6.8 6.0 5.2 100.0% 100.0%
Maggie Weldy 100% 45.9 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Samia Latif 100% 56.9 100.0% 100.0%
Lilian Hunter 92.9% 73.7 91.1% 92.4%
Ava Plank 90.2% 74.6 87.7% 89.4%
Rylie Meyer 89.9% 74.7 87.3% 89.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Zoe Roberts 9.1 0.1 0.8 5.6 12.0 15.6 14.2 12.3 10.1 8.1 6.7 5.6 3.7 2.8 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
Maggie Weldy 21.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.4 3.6 7.7 11.7 15.1 16.6 13.2 9.7 7.0
Samia Latif 26.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.9 1.7 4.0 6.4 8.2 10.5
Lilian Hunter 36.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
Ava Plank 37.6 0.0 0.1
Rylie Meyer 37.5 0.0 0.0 0.0