Edgewood
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #27
Brown County Semi-State Rank #6
Bedford North Lawrence Regional Rank #3
Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 19th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.3%
Advance to State Finals 71.8%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Kieth Pucket Invite Indian Creek Invitational Franklin Invitational Mustang Invitational Eagle Classic Western Indiana Conference Ted Fox Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Edgewood Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 8/30 9/10 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 385 563 419 788 506 424 452 442 351 412 372 438
Team Adjusted Rating 563 419 500 506 424 350 442 351 412 372 438
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Kieth Pucket Invite Indian Creek Invitational Franklin Invitational Mustang Invitational Eagle Classic Western Indiana Conference Ted Fox Invitational Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Bedford North Lawrence Sectional Edgewood Regional Brown County Semi-State State Finals
32  Clara Crain 12 19:04 19:19 18:46 18:26 18:48 18:29 19:13 19:16 19:05 19:27 19:48
73  Hannah Crain 9 19:34 19:53 19:30 19:32 19:39 19:11 20:09 19:33 19:26 19:22 20:00 19:24 20:16
261  Riley Haskett 11 20:36 22:01 21:25 20:51 21:22 20:55 21:12 20:46 21:04 20:41 20:45 20:15 20:33
299  Ellie Vagedas 9 20:45 21:52 21:25 21:21 22:28 21:15 21:19 21:28 20:51 20:43 20:35 20:34
495  Allison Bland 9 21:26 22:22 21:20 21:58 21:27 21:28 21:17 21:07 20:38 21:53 21:07 22:13
Nayeli Young 10 23:51 24:46 23:53 23:46 25:03 22:49 23:50 23:22 24:00 24:40
Ryleigh Burnett 9 24:03 27:24 25:22 24:47 26:57 23:49 23:44 24:02 23:22 24:15 23:39 23:55
Avery Rayl 9 25:02 26:23 24:13 24:46 25:20




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 71.8% 19.0 439 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 1.6 2.7 4.4 6.7 8.9 11.4 11.1 10.1 7.4 3.8 1.3
Semi-State 100% 5.8 182 0.2 2.3 13.5 23.6 32.3 23.4 4.1 0.7 0.1
Regionals 100% 2.8 67 0.6 22.8 74.5 2.1
Sectionals 100% 2.0 52 0.7 97.0 2.3



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clara Crain 99.9% 34.9 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.5 1.5 2.2 2.3 2.7 2.8 99.6% 99.9%
Hannah Crain 88.2% 67.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 58.1% 81.5%
Riley Haskett 71.8% 149.7 0.0% 0.3%
Ellie Vagedas 71.8% 160.2 0.0% 0.0%
Allison Bland 71.8% 187.5 0.0% 0.0%
Nayeli Young 71.8% 205.8 0.0% 0.0%
Ryleigh Burnett 71.8% 206.4 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clara Crain 100% 7.9 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.8 10.5 16.3 17.5 13.9 10.7 7.7 5.1 3.3 2.2 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Hannah Crain 100% 16.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 3.6 5.3 6.0 6.9 6.9 6.9 6.8 6.6 5.7 5.5 4.7 4.4 3.9 3.2 2.9 2.6 100.0%
Riley Haskett 100% 54.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Ellie Vagedas 100% 61.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Allison Bland 100% 97.4 99.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clara Crain 100% 1.5 21.8 53.2 16.0 5.5 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Hannah Crain 100% 4.6 0.1 1.9 15.6 21.1 18.5 12.5 9.3 7.3 5.1 3.7 2.2 1.4 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Riley Haskett 100% 17.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.1 2.1 3.3 4.9 6.9 9.1 10.7 12.4 12.4 11.0 8.5 6.1 4.0 2.9 1.7 100.0%
Ellie Vagedas 100% 19.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.1 1.8 3.0 5.1 7.0 8.8 11.3 12.5 12.7 10.5 8.9 6.0 4.7 100.0%
Allison Bland 100% 27.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.4 2.4 3.9 6.0 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Clara Crain 1.4 23.2 71.3 4.0 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0
Hannah Crain 2.8 0.2 2.9 56.3 15.1 10.3 7.9 3.9 2.1 0.7 0.5 0.1 0.0
Riley Haskett 12.6 0.2 0.3 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.5 7.0 10.7 13.6 16.2 16.5 12.7 7.5 3.9 2.0 0.2 0.0
Ellie Vagedas 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.6 3.0 5.4 7.7 12.4 16.2 19.0 14.8 10.0 7.1 1.2 0.3 0.0
Allison Bland 18.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 2.5 6.8 12.1 35.6 21.8 12.3 6.2 1.5 0.3 0.1