Goshen
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #103
New Haven Semi-State Rank #31
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #9
Elkhart Sectional Rank #9
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Regionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 1.4%
Advance to Regional 90.6%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Penn Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 West Noble Invitational Dana Homo Invite New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/14 9/17 9/20 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 897 1,117 1,076 990 999 1,246 1,054 959 999 1,012
Team Adjusted Rating 945 988 990 999 955 931 979 959 887 875
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Penn Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 West Noble Invitational Dana Homo Invite New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
400  Loera Edith 9 21:11 22:05 21:50 21:56 21:32 22:19 21:30 21:31 21:23 21:22 21:00
453  Kassandra Ortega 10 21:19 21:30 21:12 21:31 21:21 21:09
970  Lindsay Rodman 9 22:37 23:32 23:51 23:11 23:48 23:19 22:30 22:14
1,008  Caitlin Yoder Rupp 9 22:43 22:39 22:58 22:51 22:49 22:52 22:28 22:33
1,093  Cid Jetci 9 22:54 22:51 23:23 22:52 22:52 23:13 22:46 22:54
1,322  Micaela Corbin 11 23:25 23:13 22:58 24:58 26:08 23:42 22:46 24:33 24:42 22:54 23:24
Kate Rheinheimer 9 23:30 23:51 24:10 23:53 24:02 24:16 24:08 23:42 23:11 23:06
Britney Ramirez 11 24:09 24:25 24:40 24:25 23:57 23:41 24:14 23:55
Marisol Diaz 11 24:20 23:35 25:45 23:25 24:20 24:18 23:15 24:25 25:53 26:34
Jackie Sixtos 11 24:32 24:10 24:14 24:49 24:46 24:23
Medina Yesi 10 24:33 24:07 24:28 24:48 24:43 24:58 24:12
Perla Cervantes 9 24:36 24:47 24:48 24:25 24:17 24:27 25:00
Mara Schrock 12 25:04 24:06 24:41 25:20 25:27 24:41 26:33 25:08
Eliza Herber 9 25:33 26:24 25:32 25:51 25:26 25:36 24:41




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 1.5% 16.1 428 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.2 0.1
Regionals 90.6% 8.2 195 0.0 0.3 1.1 4.1 16.1 25.2 36.7 7.0
Sectionals 100% 4.2 111 2.7 28.1 28.8 30.9 9.5



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team made it.




Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loera Edith 76.5% 88.1 76.2% 76.5%
Kassandra Ortega 56.3% 93.9 55.7% 56.3%
Lindsay Rodman 1.5% 140.3 0.0% 0.0%
Caitlin Yoder Rupp 1.5% 144.2 0.0% 0.0%
Cid Jetci 1.5% 148.5 0.0% 0.0%
Micaela Corbin 1.5% 157.3 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loera Edith 100% 23.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.7 1.1 1.7 3.0 4.8 6.7 6.9 7.8 7.7 7.0 7.2 6.0 100.0% 100.0%
Kassandra Ortega 100% 26.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.0 1.7 2.9 3.8 4.9 5.1 6.2 6.6 6.4 100.0% 100.0%
Lindsay Rodman 100% 56.2 100.0% 100.0%
Caitlin Yoder Rupp 100% 58.7 100.0% 100.0%
Cid Jetci 100.0% 63.9 99.6% 99.8%
Micaela Corbin 97.3% 74.5 71.0% 80.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Loera Edith 10.7 0.0 0.2 2.5 5.9 9.6 11.3 12.2 11.5 10.2 9.9 9.0 6.9 4.7 3.4 1.7 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kassandra Ortega 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.1 4.1 6.4 8.1 9.9 10.6 11.1 11.4 10.9 9.0 7.4 4.7 2.4 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Lindsay Rodman 26.4 0.1 0.1 0.5 1.2 2.7 4.4 7.0 8.4 9.9
Caitlin Yoder Rupp 27.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.1 4.0 5.7 7.4
Cid Jetci 30.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.5 0.9 1.7 2.6
Micaela Corbin 37.3 0.0