Kouts
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #41
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #9
Chesterton Regional Rank #5
Rensselaer Central Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 9th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 26.7%
Advance to Semi-State 91.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Larry James Invitational Tim Adams Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Rensselaer Central Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
Date 8/14 8/20 8/27 9/17 9/24 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 477 539 479 504 474 539 607 549 498
Team Adjusted Rating 539 479 504 474 539 607 549 498
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Cross Kickoff Larry James Invitational Tim Adams Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational Rensselaer Central Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State
145  Anyssa Heinold 12 20:03 20:31 20:13 19:56 19:47 19:59 20:00 20:15 20:13 20:00
177  Adylinne Oldham 9 20:13 21:35 21:49 21:37 21:11 21:37 21:06 20:36 20:02
235  Kassidy Gregory 12 20:30 20:40 20:52 20:16 20:11 20:16 20:31 20:34 20:31 20:46
307  Jenna Twedt 10 20:46 20:39 20:30 20:16 20:23 20:22 20:50 21:17 21:00 20:58
693  Emily Gurekovich 12 21:59 22:27 21:29 21:09 21:51 21:35 21:40 23:34 22:31 22:01
940  Desiree Hall 12 22:34 22:53 23:24 22:20 22:23 22:19 22:37 22:39 22:42
1,246  Aurora Henrichs 9 23:16 22:59 23:46 22:59 22:44 22:47 23:53 23:09 23:56




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 26.7% 22.3 505 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.6 1.1 1.7 3.1 5.0 6.8 7.8
Semi-State 91.7% 7.7 214 0.0 1.5 2.9 4.9 7.2 10.3 13.3 14.6 16.2 12.3 6.6 1.9 0.1
Regionals 100% 4.5 104 3.7 10.9 29.5 47.6 8.3
Sectionals 100% 1.9 35 8.6 91.4



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anyssa Heinold 29.4% 98.9 3.6% 9.1%
Adylinne Oldham 27.1% 113.5 0.5% 2.1%
Kassidy Gregory 26.7% 134.5 0.0% 0.1%
Jenna Twedt 26.7% 154.3 0.0% 0.0%
Emily Gurekovich 26.7% 196.2 0.0% 0.0%
Desiree Hall 26.7% 202.3 0.0% 0.0%
Aurora Henrichs 26.7% 204.6 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anyssa Heinold 100% 28.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.9 1.2 1.5 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.7 2.6 3.2 3.2 3.7 3.8 4.1 100.0% 100.0%
Adylinne Oldham 100% 35.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.5 2.1 2.3 2.3 100.0% 100.0%
Kassidy Gregory 100% 47.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.5 100.0% 100.0%
Jenna Twedt 100% 60.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Emily Gurekovich 93.6% 116.8 23.1% 29.6%
Desiree Hall 91.7% 141.5 0.6% 0.7%
Aurora Henrichs 91.7% 161.0 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anyssa Heinold 100% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.6 5.1 8.0 10.0 12.1 12.4 13.4 11.9 9.0 5.4 3.4 2.7 1.6 0.9 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Adylinne Oldham 100% 13.2 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 2.7 4.3 6.0 8.5 10.5 13.0 14.2 10.8 8.2 6.2 4.9 3.4 2.5 1.3 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 100.0%
Kassidy Gregory 100% 17.2 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.5 2.6 4.6 7.0 10.4 10.0 10.3 9.5 9.3 9.2 7.6 6.1 3.8 2.5 1.6 100.0%
Jenna Twedt 100% 21.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 1.0 2.1 3.2 4.1 5.0 6.3 8.4 10.3 10.8 11.2 9.4 7.2 100.0%
Emily Gurekovich 100% 40.6 0.0 100.0%
Desiree Hall 100% 47.8 100.0%
Aurora Henrichs 100% 57.4 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Anyssa Heinold 3.1 0.2 25.1 22.1 34.6 15.1 2.6 0.3 0.0
Adylinne Oldham 4.2 0.1 6.9 13.2 22.8 42.4 12.1 2.2 0.3 0.0
Kassidy Gregory 5.5 0.3 1.8 5.1 15.2 52.8 17.5 5.5 1.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Jenna Twedt 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.7 11.3 45.5 25.6 11.1 3.2 0.9 0.3 0.0
Emily Gurekovich 13.5 0.0 0.4 1.7 5.4 10.0 20.2 24.1 19.3 10.9 4.6 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0
Desiree Hall 18.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.5 4.1 10.6 15.6 15.6 16.3 14.9 9.8 5.6 3.2 1.3 0.6
Aurora Henrichs 24.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.4 4.6 8.2 11.6 13.9 16.3