LaPorte
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #31
New Prairie Semi-State Rank #4
Chesterton Regional Rank #3
New Prairie Sectional Rank #3
Most Likely Finish 20th place at State Finals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 80.0%
Advance to Semi-State 99.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/17 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 399 638 864 650 615 573 452 669 676
Team Adjusted Rating 375 381 383 361 363 452 429 491
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Jack Bransford Classic Rudy Skorupa Invitational Harrison Raider Invitational Bob Thomas Invitational New Prairie Invitational Duneland Athletic Conference New Prairie Sectional Chesterton Regional New Prairie Semi-State State Finals
38  Brenna Sobecki 12 19:10 18:58 18:44 19:11 19:06 19:06 19:03 19:56
45  Lila Gillisse 10 19:16 18:29 20:15 19:46 20:05 19:05 19:21
230  Faith Spain 10 20:29 20:59 20:26 20:09 20:28 20:32 20:08 20:31 20:31 20:35 20:51
360  Tatum Bumgardner 12 21:02 21:15 21:13 20:56 20:55 20:38 20:34 20:58 21:08 21:13 21:32
575  Natalie Poston 10 21:38 21:11 21:18 21:32 21:21 21:46 21:21 21:39 22:18
1,190  Margaret Conner 10 23:06 23:54 23:11 24:14 23:37 22:43
Megan Lambert 11 24:56 22:28 24:06 23:52 24:14 25:03 24:34 25:39 25:47 25:17
Caylin Vanschoyck 9 27:02 27:01 29:00 25:21 34:07 26:20
Maddie Mark 10 29:31 24:26 26:59 27:53 34:08 30:47 31:55




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 80.0% 19.3 441 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.6 4.0 6.4 9.6 13.4 15.9 13.0 8.6 3.3 0.7
Semi-State 99.7% 4.8 177 0.2 13.9 16.6 17.9 17.7 13.7 9.2 5.8 3.1 1.2 0.3 0.1
Regionals 100% 3.0 86 0.4 31.2 43.7 18.9 5.6 0.3
Sectionals 100% 2.2 62 0.4 79.6 19.3 0.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 98.1% 39.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.1 1.3 1.6 1.7 90.7% 97.6%
Lila Gillisse 96.0% 45.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.8 0.7 0.8 80.0% 94.7%
Faith Spain 80.0% 143.1 0.0% 0.2%
Tatum Bumgardner 80.0% 174.3 0.0% 0.0%
Natalie Poston 80.0% 192.6 0.0% 0.0%
Margaret Conner 80.0% 204.4 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Lambert 80.0% 207.5 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 6.3 0.2 1.5 8.2 17.3 18.8 16.0 11.0 7.3 5.5 3.8 3.1 2.0 1.4 1.2 0.8 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Lila Gillisse 100% 7.5 0.0 0.9 3.9 9.5 14.3 15.1 13.0 10.1 7.4 6.1 4.6 3.9 2.7 2.0 1.8 1.1 0.8 0.7 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Faith Spain 100% 46.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.5 0.6 100.0% 100.0%
Tatum Bumgardner 100% 71.5 100.0% 99.7%
Natalie Poston 99.8% 101.3 37.9% 73.7%
Margaret Conner 99.7% 158.7 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 100% 3.5 0.1 3.5 27.0 35.9 22.0 6.9 3.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Lila Gillisse 100% 4.2 0.1 1.4 13.8 28.8 34.5 12.4 5.5 2.1 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Faith Spain 100% 17.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.2 2.7 3.5 5.4 7.5 9.2 9.9 9.3 8.4 9.2 8.2 7.3 5.7 4.3 3.0 1.5 100.0%
Tatum Bumgardner 100% 25.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.9 1.3 1.7 2.7 4.3 6.2 7.5 9.1 9.8 100.0%
Natalie Poston 100% 35.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 100.0%
Margaret Conner 100% 54.6 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Brenna Sobecki 2.8 0.1 4.2 54.9 29.7 7.4 2.9 0.6 0.2 0.0
Lila Gillisse 3.4 0.0 1.8 28.3 47.7 13.5 6.2 1.9 0.5 0.1 0.0
Faith Spain 11.5 0.1 0.4 1.3 3.5 7.8 18.3 12.8 11.1 11.5 12.9 10.1 5.1 2.7 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
Tatum Bumgardner 17.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 1.5 2.4 3.9 7.0 13.5 14.5 13.9 13.0 10.9 7.3 5.0 3.0 1.7 0.6
Natalie Poston 24.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.3 4.4 6.5 8.6 11.3 14.2 14.8
Margaret Conner 31.6