Marian
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #143
New Haven Semi-State Rank #40
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #12
Riley Sectional Rank #12
Most Likely Finish 6th place at Sectionals
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 0.0%
Advance to Regional 17.8%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite Manchester Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 1,138 1,205 1,235 1,154 1,143 1,386 1,290
Team Adjusted Rating 1,205 1,203 1,154 1,143 1,216 1,135
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Northern Indiana Conf. Stomp Northwood Invite Manchester Invitational New Prairie Invitational Culver Invitational NLC / NIC Riley Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
132  Deirdre Tomasek 11 19:58 19:42 20:20 20:11 21:08 20:27 20:33 21:11 20:33 20:34 19:47 20:06
662  Sam Legge 11 21:54 23:28 21:54 22:18 22:19 21:48 21:55
Isabella Carles 12 24:04 26:46 23:58 25:00 23:52 23:48 24:10 24:00 24:13
Valerie Donndelinger 10 24:24 25:18 24:40 23:26 24:11 24:13 25:05 24:09 24:40
Nadalyne Gerwells 12 24:55 26:31 26:39 25:37 25:19 25:28 24:22 25:23
Grace Henry 10 25:24 26:18 25:59 26:33 24:57 24:38 24:58
Molly Temple 25:49
Molly Strabley-Temple 12 26:06 25:48 26:13 26:05 27:17 26:09 25:31
Grace Nelson 9 26:55 25:59 27:17 26:47 27:28




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 0.0%
Regionals 17.8% 10.0 233 0.0 0.4 17.4
Sectionals 100% 5.8 151 17.8 82.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Deirdre Tomasek 49.6% 98.7 49.6% 49.6%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Deirdre Tomasek 100% 27.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.4 1.8 2.2 2.4 2.9 3.2 3.9 4.0 4.3 4.4 4.6 100.0% 100.0%
Sam Legge 2.4% 118.5 2.4% 2.4%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Deirdre Tomasek 100% 7.2 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 7.6 11.8 20.9 17.0 12.2 8.5 6.0 4.0 2.7 1.4 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.1 100.0% 100.0%
Sam Legge 100% 39.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 100.0% 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Deirdre Tomasek 3.9 0.1 6.8 11.1 33.9 21.6 12.3 7.2 4.1 1.8 0.9 0.3 0.0
Sam Legge 20.3 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.1 2.0 3.3 5.8 8.7 11.2 13.1 12.1 10.7 8.8 7.1 5.5