Noblesville
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #1
Shelbyville Semi-State Rank #1
Noblesville Regional Rank #1
Noblesville Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 68.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 99.7%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Noblesville JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/5 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 129 165 139 444 167 138 114 652 318 141 142 156
Team Adjusted Rating 165 139 129 167 138 114 129 148 131 142 156
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Zionsville Early Bird Invitational Hamilton County Wildcat Classic Flashrock Invitational Hoosier Crossroads Conference Nike Valley Twilight Invitational Noblesville JV Invitational Noblesville Sectional Noblesville Regional Shelbyville Semi-State State Finals
20  Nadia Perez 11 18:45 19:01 18:36 18:40 18:36 18:37 19:03 18:26 19:15 19:25
35  Kennedy Applegate 11 19:06 19:54 19:48 19:29 20:00 19:25 19:07 19:59 18:56 19:10
36  Brooke Lahee 12 19:07 19:05 21:38 19:29 20:13 19:25 19:04 19:24 19:21 18:59
43  Summer Rempe 11 19:13 19:15 20:23 19:12 19:41 19:08 18:49 19:13 19:02 19:26
49  Paige Hazelrigg 12 19:19 19:14 19:36 19:18 20:06 19:13 18:54 19:18 19:19 19:15
50  Ansley Applegate 9 19:19 19:18 19:11 19:12 19:19 19:22 19:23 19:20 19:27
62  Riley Flynn 10 19:31 20:09 19:25 19:23 19:26 19:22 19:30 19:41 19:46
69  Brinkley Cooper 10 19:33 19:00 19:27 19:30 19:27 19:34 19:12 19:37 19:22 21:27
234  Gretchen Graham 9 20:30 20:15 20:19 20:00 20:47 20:35 20:39 20:33
276  Ella Wirkner 10 20:39 20:08 20:23 20:39 20:23 20:33 20:52 21:10 20:31 20:41
395  Dana Behlmer 11 21:10 21:39 21:13 21:12 21:09 21:27 20:59 22:16 20:53 20:42
444  Lexi Miller 10 21:18 20:57 21:51 21:40 20:30 21:56 21:06 21:25 20:59
503  Brooklyn Couch 10 21:27 21:39 21:55 21:00 21:17 21:15 21:53 21:23
563  Allie Stamm 11 21:35 21:28 21:46 22:00 21:08 21:31 21:26 22:03 21:22
613  Addison Emmerson 10 21:45 22:21 21:40 22:00 21:21 21:50 21:49 22:04 21:23
676  Siri Koszyk 11 21:56 21:26 21:44 21:46 22:22 22:27 21:41
876  Bella Lingenfelter 11 22:27 22:03 22:14 22:43 22:42 22:25 22:39 22:16 22:18
907  Emmerson Dougherty 10 22:30 22:53 22:01 22:35
939  Megan Meinerding 11 22:34 22:04 22:54 22:48 22:13 22:26 22:01 23:18
1,034  Hailee Ballard 10 22:46 22:18 22:53 22:35 22:54 23:21 22:26 22:49
1,120  Lauren Scott 11 22:57 22:00 23:07 22:30 24:05 22:29
Savannah Shotwell 10 23:51 22:13 23:11 22:58 23:59 23:30 25:07 24:18
Ella Rinker 10 23:57 23:59 24:03 24:07 23:48 23:32 23:43 24:52
Brooke Dinius 10 24:12 22:43 24:53 24:26 23:33
Mallory Stewart 10 24:46 23:26 24:10 24:48 23:55 25:12 23:30 25:49 25:35
Selby Jackson 9 25:08 25:18 26:03 25:31 24:59 25:32 25:13 23:31




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 100% 1.5 115 68.0 21.4 7.1 2.4 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Semi-State 100% 1.2 59 85.1 12.7 2.2 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.2 57 85.2 12.5 2.3 0.0
Sectionals 100% 1.1 26 94.3 5.7 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nadia Perez 100% 21.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.8 1.3 1.5 2.0 2.8 2.7 3.8 3.8 4.9 5.2 5.4 5.5 5.6 5.0 4.6 4.8 4.7 91.5%
Kennedy Applegate 100% 36.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.6 0.8 0.9 1.3 1.6 1.5 2.0 2.4 56.1%
Brooke Lahee 100% 36.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.6 0.7 0.6 0.9 1.3 1.4 1.6 2.0 2.3 54.7%
Summer Rempe 100% 43.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.8 1.0 1.2 40.8%
Paige Hazelrigg 100% 49.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.5 28.3%
Ansley Applegate 100% 49.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 28.3%
Riley Flynn 100% 65.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 10.9%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nadia Perez 100% 8.7 0.0 0.3 1.6 4.8 7.8 11.7 14.4 14.0 11.6 10.0 7.0 5.4 4.1 2.3 1.5 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Kennedy Applegate 100% 14.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.1 3.6 4.8 6.3 7.3 8.1 8.3 8.5 7.4 7.2 6.2 5.1 4.0 3.4 2.9 2.1 2.1 1.5 100.0%
Brooke Lahee 100% 15.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.7 3.6 4.8 6.2 7.4 7.6 8.3 8.4 7.5 7.3 6.0 5.5 4.2 3.4 3.3 2.4 2.1 1.6 100.0%
Summer Rempe 100% 18.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.3 2.1 3.0 4.0 5.4 6.2 6.9 6.4 6.9 7.3 6.7 5.9 5.4 4.7 4.3 3.5 3.1 100.0%
Paige Hazelrigg 100% 20.8 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.4 2.0 2.4 3.6 4.3 5.1 5.8 6.2 6.7 6.0 6.1 5.5 5.3 4.6 3.9 100.0%
Ansley Applegate 100% 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.4 1.9 2.7 3.3 4.5 5.2 5.6 6.1 6.4 6.2 6.1 5.5 5.4 4.6 4.2 100.0%
Riley Flynn 100% 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 1.0 1.6 1.9 2.6 3.1 3.4 4.0 4.1 4.5 5.1 4.5 99.6%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nadia Perez 100% 6.2 0.4 2.8 11.8 30.8 22.3 14.0 7.7 4.5 2.6 1.3 0.9 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Kennedy Applegate 100% 10.5 0.1 0.4 2.4 6.7 10.2 11.9 12.8 11.1 9.9 8.1 6.4 4.7 4.0 2.8 2.0 1.5 1.2 1.1 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.3 100.0%
Brooke Lahee 100% 10.6 0.0 0.5 2.2 6.3 10.0 12.0 12.3 11.6 10.1 8.2 6.3 5.4 3.7 2.8 2.0 2.0 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.2 100.0%
Summer Rempe 100% 12.6 0.1 0.6 2.3 4.9 6.8 8.7 10.1 10.5 9.4 9.0 7.7 6.1 5.3 4.2 3.0 2.7 2.0 1.8 0.9 0.9 0.7 100.0%
Paige Hazelrigg 100% 14.9 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.8 3.5 4.4 5.9 7.2 8.8 8.6 9.4 7.9 7.1 6.4 5.3 4.7 3.4 3.0 2.8 1.9 1.8 100.0%
Ansley Applegate 100% 14.8 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.9 2.9 4.6 6.4 8.3 8.7 8.9 8.6 7.9 7.0 6.3 5.1 4.4 3.7 2.8 2.5 1.9 1.8 100.0%
Riley Flynn 100% 19.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 1.3 1.9 3.1 4.5 5.6 6.4 6.8 7.1 7.2 6.5 6.3 5.9 5.1 4.6 4.7 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Nadia Perez 1.8 5.1 53.4 30.3 7.1 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Kennedy Applegate 4.5 0.1 2.9 13.9 23.0 20.2 14.2 10.2 6.4 3.6 1.9 1.3 0.8 0.5 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Brooke Lahee 4.6 0.1 2.9 13.5 22.6 19.3 14.9 10.0 6.6 3.9 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
Summer Rempe 5.9 0.0 0.7 5.5 12.3 15.6 17.1 15.5 10.9 7.4 5.0 3.2 2.1 1.6 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
Paige Hazelrigg 7.4 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.1 9.0 12.1 15.1 15.9 11.6 7.9 5.9 4.3 3.1 2.5 1.9 1.5 1.0 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.1
Ansley Applegate 7.4 0.2 2.0 5.3 8.8 12.6 14.3 15.3 12.3 8.6 5.8 4.3 2.6 2.4 2.0 1.5 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Riley Flynn 10.4 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.2 5.2 9.3 14.0 12.2 10.7 9.0 6.8 6.7 5.3 4.6 4.6 3.3 1.9 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0