NorthWood
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #66
New Haven Semi-State Rank #18
Elkhart Central Regional Rank #5
Elkhart Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 14th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.0%
Advance to State Finals 0.0%
Advance to Semi-State 69.7%
Advance to Regional 100.0%



All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.




Season RatingPreseason Rating Tiger Classic Northwood Invite Manchester Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
Date 8/23 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/14 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22
Team Rating 735 689 745 773 769 758 744 699 829 719 723
Team Adjusted Rating 689 745 739 769 758 744 699 829 719 723
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Tiger Classic Northwood Invite Manchester Invitational Minuteman Classic NLC Round Robin #2 New Haven Invitational NLC / NIC Elkhart Sectional Elkhart Regional New Haven Semi-State
172  Hanna Clyde 9 20:11 20:17 20:58 19:57 20:14 19:55 19:55 19:32 20:57 20:20 20:12
422  Sydney Prenkert 11 21:15 22:52 20:42 20:55 21:34 21:06 21:16 21:11 21:10 21:56 21:28 21:21
654  Savannah Slone 11 21:53 22:39 21:32 21:48 22:00 22:13 22:31 22:04 22:04 22:04 21:40 21:41
746  Faith Towler 9 22:07 22:22 22:14 22:14 22:08 21:55 22:00 22:12 22:04 22:00
904  Marli Hartman 9 22:30 22:21 22:18 22:42 22:43 22:25 22:54 22:22 22:26 22:11 22:30
1,014  Madelyn Harner 9 22:44 23:43 22:43 22:52 22:46 23:06 23:25 22:42 22:44 22:48 22:31
1,235  Cassie Hunsberger 11 23:14 23:08 24:21 23:48 24:47 22:55 23:11 23:18 22:38 22:47 22:51 23:32
1,268  Bridgette Stutsman 11 23:19 24:29 22:20 22:48 22:19 24:04 22:42 24:10
Ava Zercher 9 23:31 23:14 24:19 23:42 23:27 23:22 23:48 23:20
Emma Davidhizar 10 24:19 23:12 23:32 24:08 23:38 25:05 24:39 24:35 24:49




IHSAA Tournament Simulation



Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.






Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 0.0%
Semi-State 69.7% 13.4 388 2.4 4.1 7.0 9.4 11.9 13.5 10.7 7.1 2.7 0.7 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100.0% 4.8 148 17.0 23.6 29.1 22.4 5.6 1.9 0.4 0.0
Sectionals 100% 2.1 82 90.2 8.3 1.3 0.2 0.0



Individual Results



Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.



State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hanna Clyde 20.4% 112.0 20.4% 20.4%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hanna Clyde 100% 36.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.1 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.2 2.2 100.0% 100.0%
Sydney Prenkert 79.7% 90.8 32.9% 62.7%
Savannah Slone 69.7% 125.5 0.0% 3.0%
Faith Towler 69.7% 135.4 0.0% 0.3%
Marli Hartman 69.7% 146.7 0.0% 0.0%
Madelyn Harner 69.7% 151.5 0.0% 0.0%
Cassie Hunsberger 69.7% 158.8 0.0% 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hanna Clyde 100% 9.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.2 4.5 8.8 12.8 14.3 12.7 11.2 10.3 7.9 5.9 3.5 2.2 1.2 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Sydney Prenkert 100% 24.8 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.3 2.2 3.2 5.0 5.6 6.1 7.1 6.7 6.1 6.8 100.0% 100.0%
Savannah Slone 100% 38.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 100.0% 100.0%
Faith Towler 100% 43.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0% 100.0%
Marli Hartman 100% 53.2 100.0% 100.0%
Madelyn Harner 100% 59.3 100.0% 99.8%
Cassie Hunsberger 100.0% 71.0 0.0% 91.1%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Hanna Clyde 3.9 0.2 2.1 5.4 45.1 35.0 9.1 2.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Sydney Prenkert 11.6 0.1 1.6 4.4 7.9 9.5 10.1 10.0 10.4 10.2 9.7 8.5 8.1 5.5 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
Savannah Slone 18.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.2 1.6 3.3 4.9 8.7 15.1 21.8 19.0 11.1 5.8 3.2 1.8 0.7
Faith Towler 20.7 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.9 2.4 5.1 10.0 17.0 19.6 15.8 10.6 7.0 4.5
Marli Hartman 24.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.7 3.9 8.5 11.6 12.6 12.6
Madelyn Harner 28.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.9 3.8 5.5 7.3
Cassie Hunsberger 34.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2