Northrop
Boys - Girls
2021 - 2022 - 2023
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State Rank #28
New Haven Semi-State Rank #8
West Noble Regional Rank #5
Northrop Sectional Rank #5
Most Likely Finish 8th place at Semi-State
State Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at State Finals 0.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 0.2%
Advance to State Finals 7.6%
Advance to Semi-State 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Northrop Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
Date 8/20 8/27 9/3 9/10 9/10 9/17 9/24 10/1 10/8 10/15 10/22 10/29
Team Rating 391 544 556 472 905 462 511 397 452 464 398
Team Adjusted Rating 544 556 472 459 462 511 397 452 464 398
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Huntington Invitational Baron Classic Manchester Invitational Wildcat Classic Northrop Bruin Invitational West Noble Invitational Culver Invitational Summit Athletic Conference Northrop Sectional West Noble Regional New Haven Semi-State State Finals
42  Victoria Clibon 12 19:11 19:11 18:56 19:02 19:00 18:40 18:53 19:12 19:05 19:21 19:40 20:00
64  Maren Wilson 9 19:32 19:31 19:51 19:12 19:23 19:42 19:36 19:23 19:24 20:02 19:22 19:34
300  Cassie Dove 12 20:45 20:37 20:25 20:36 20:41 20:07 20:45 20:43 20:56 20:55 21:06 20:51
324  Ella Schmidt 10 20:51 22:35 21:40 22:18 21:40 21:40 21:28 22:14 20:58 21:24 21:04 20:40
402  Maleah Williams 10 21:12 23:27 23:24 22:33 22:07 22:02 21:48 21:50 21:09 21:30 21:13 21:00
813  Amina Salam 12 22:18 23:31 23:53 24:04 23:11 23:16 24:18 22:54 23:13 21:49 22:43 23:08
Sophia Boner 12 23:42 24:26 23:58 24:12 23:35 23:40 23:49 23:19 23:43 23:28 24:05 23:42
Ariana Sheckler 10 24:12 26:23 24:52 24:04 24:25 23:56 23:39




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24
State Finals 7.6% 16.4 398 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.8 0.9 1.4 0.8 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0
Semi-State 100% 7.7 198 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 5.6 16.7 75.5 0.1 0.0
Regionals 100% 4.9 117 0.2 1.7 9.2 89.0
Sectionals 100% 3.9 91 0.7 6.6 92.7



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Victoria Clibon 99.9% 41.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 0.8 1.3 1.5 1.4 99.9% 99.9%
Maren Wilson 95.6% 65.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.2% 95.6%
Cassie Dove 7.7% 145.4 0.1% 0.1%
Ella Schmidt 7.6% 153.5 0.0% 0.1%
Maleah Williams 7.6% 171.9 0.0% 0.0%
Amina Salam 7.6% 199.5 0.0% 0.0%
Sophia Boner 7.6% 204.9 0.0% 0.0%


Semi-StateAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Victoria Clibon 100% 9.4 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.8 6.3 8.5 11.5 13.3 12.8 10.4 8.1 6.4 4.7 3.3 2.5 1.8 1.4 1.0 0.7 0.5 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 100.0%
Maren Wilson 100% 15.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.9 2.9 5.0 6.5 7.2 7.8 8.1 7.3 7.2 6.5 6.2 5.2 4.5 3.9 3.6 2.6 2.3 1.9 100.0%
Cassie Dove 100% 68.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 78.6%
Ella Schmidt 100% 73.5 0.0 0.0 67.0%
Maleah Williams 100% 90.8 23.4%
Amina Salam 100% 143.7 0.0%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Victoria Clibon 100% 4.9 1.2 11.0 12.3 27.7 22.6 12.0 6.6 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Maren Wilson 100% 7.9 0.0 0.4 1.5 3.9 11.6 18.2 16.6 13.3 10.9 8.1 5.9 3.7 2.3 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Cassie Dove 100% 32.7 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.6 3.0 100.0%
Ella Schmidt 100% 35.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.7 1.0 1.1 1.3 1.8 100.0%
Maleah Williams 100% 44.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 100.0%
Amina Salam 100% 69.5 42.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Victoria Clibon 3.9 0.0 11.4 13.2 28.0 22.3 12.4 6.1 3.1 1.7 1.0 0.4 0.2 0.1
Maren Wilson 6.8 0.4 1.5 4.0 11.9 18.5 16.8 14.4 11.3 8.4 5.8 3.9 1.8 0.8 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Cassie Dove 23.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.0 1.6 2.3 3.0 3.5 4.4 5.2 6.6 7.7 8.7 9.1 9.7
Ella Schmidt 25.2 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.7 0.9 1.5 2.2 2.5 3.9 4.4 6.0 6.6 8.2 9.9
Maleah Williams 29.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.6 1.3 1.4 2.7
Amina Salam 41.6