All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
Zionsville Early Bird Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Raider Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/20 |
8/27 |
9/3 |
9/10 |
9/17 |
9/24 |
10/1 |
10/8 |
10/15 |
10/22 |
10/29 |
| Team Rating |
279 | |
275 |
421 |
237 |
235 |
850 |
262 |
247 |
449 |
264 |
318 |
290 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
275 |
347 |
237 |
235 |
279 |
262 |
247 |
398 |
264 |
318 |
290 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
Zionsville Early Bird Invitational |
Taylor University Invitational |
Harrison Raider Invitational |
Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
Nike Valley Twilight Invitational |
Ben Davis Sectional |
Ben Davis Regional |
Shelbyville Semi-State |
State Finals |
|---|
| 106 |
Audrey Magnusun |
11 |
19:48 |
19:44 |
20:14 |
20:33 |
19:25 |
19:38 |
|
19:57 |
19:19 |
21:05 |
19:48 |
20:05 |
19:40 |
| 107 |
MacKinsey Heagy |
11 |
19:48 |
|
19:25 |
20:21 |
19:15 |
19:22 |
|
19:38 |
19:52 |
|
19:50 |
20:07 |
20:16 |
| 114 |
Maddie Scheitlin |
11 |
19:50 |
19:28 |
19:33 |
20:24 |
19:37 |
19:41 |
|
19:28 |
19:37 |
20:44 |
19:53 |
19:54 |
19:58 |
| 133 |
Elaina Herman |
11 |
19:58 |
20:23 |
20:29 |
|
20:10 |
19:44 |
|
20:15 |
|
20:19 |
|
20:08 |
19:50 |
| 134 |
Katherine Bowen |
10 |
19:59 |
|
20:00 |
|
20:00 |
20:24 |
|
19:43 |
19:58 |
20:32 |
19:39 |
20:10 |
20:19 |
| 153 |
Cailyn Murphy |
9 |
20:06 |
|
20:31 |
20:23 |
20:03 |
19:53 |
|
20:13 |
19:52 |
20:46 |
19:54 |
20:14 |
19:58 |
| 241 |
Kyla Stalbaum |
12 |
20:31 |
20:18 |
20:05 |
|
20:56 |
20:32 |
|
20:17 |
20:11 |
20:53 |
20:23 |
20:34 |
20:53 |
| 302 |
Ava Ward |
12 |
20:45 |
21:11 |
20:53 |
20:58 |
20:37 |
20:50 |
|
20:28 |
20:32 |
21:21 |
20:46 |
|
|
| 338 |
Anwesha Mishra |
9 |
20:55 |
|
20:57 |
21:11 |
|
21:11 |
|
20:33 |
|
|
|
|
|
| 470 |
Sara Bostwick |
9 |
21:22 |
|
21:07 |
21:26 |
21:10 |
|
22:05 |
21:18 |
21:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 517 |
Madeline Bruns |
9 |
21:29 |
|
21:38 |
21:12 |
21:25 |
21:34 |
21:28 |
21:55 |
21:16 |
|
|
|
|
| 650 |
Ava Gongwer |
12 |
21:52 |
22:09 |
21:39 |
21:57 |
21:55 |
21:40 |
21:53 |
22:17 |
21:45 |
|
|
|
|
| 772 |
Marlee Phillips |
9 |
22:12 |
|
22:07 |
21:57 |
21:59 |
21:32 |
22:09 |
22:30 |
22:59 |
|
|
|
|
| 776 |
Margaret Dimmett |
11 |
22:12 |
|
|
|
|
22:30 |
22:23 |
22:08 |
21:54 |
|
|
|
|
| 844 |
Madison Schmidt |
11 |
22:22 |
22:20 |
22:33 |
22:06 |
21:49 |
23:17 |
22:23 |
21:41 |
22:57 |
|
|
|
|
| 913 |
Colleen Squire |
12 |
22:31 |
22:02 |
22:28 |
|
22:01 |
22:27 |
|
22:39 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 925 |
Lyvia Hall-Feldhaus |
11 |
22:33 |
22:14 |
22:11 |
|
|
22:23 |
|
22:50 |
22:38 |
|
|
|
|
| 968 |
Carolyn Williams |
10 |
22:37 |
22:50 |
22:27 |
22:49 |
22:26 |
22:47 |
22:56 |
22:44 |
22:14 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,066 |
Lydia Struble |
12 |
22:51 |
22:21 |
23:11 |
|
23:11 |
22:47 |
23:04 |
22:56 |
22:02 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,130 |
Abigail Vestel |
12 |
22:58 |
22:42 |
|
|
|
22:48 |
22:47 |
23:04 |
23:15 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,194 |
Ava Mounce |
10 |
23:07 |
|
23:18 |
23:12 |
23:02 |
22:46 |
23:14 |
23:02 |
23:20 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,239 |
Abigail Altman |
10 |
23:14 |
23:17 |
22:27 |
|
23:04 |
23:08 |
23:58 |
24:11 |
22:48 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,355 |
Alexandra DeHart |
9 |
23:28 |
|
|
|
23:18 |
23:15 |
24:09 |
23:36 |
23:16 |
|
|
|
|
|
Bethany Michael |
9 |
23:40 |
|
23:45 |
24:14 |
23:47 |
23:54 |
23:42 |
23:01 |
23:35 |
|
|
|
|
|
Johana Coons |
10 |
24:05 |
22:36 |
24:01 |
24:14 |
24:06 |
23:59 |
24:47 |
23:39 |
24:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
Clair Hallock |
11 |
24:15 |
|
|
23:57 |
24:05 |
23:28 |
24:57 |
24:06 |
24:59 |
|
|
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 10,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
| State Finals |
89.1% |
10.2 |
311 |
0.0 |
0.3 |
1.0 |
2.9 |
4.7 |
6.7 |
8.0 |
8.4 |
8.7 |
8.8 |
8.3 |
6.8 |
6.1 |
5.6 |
4.5 |
3.2 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.8 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
| Semi-State |
100% |
4.7 |
179 |
0.1 |
2.2 |
10.5 |
46.9 |
19.8 |
9.7 |
5.0 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
1.1 |
36 |
94.9 |
4.3 |
0.7 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
1.0 |
17 |
99.2 |
0.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Audrey Magnusun |
89.1% |
90.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0% |
1.3% |
| MacKinsey Heagy |
89.1% |
90.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.0% |
1.1% |
| Maddie Scheitlin |
89.1% |
92.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.9% |
| Elaina Herman |
89.1% |
105.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.2% |
| Katherine Bowen |
89.1% |
106.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.3% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
89.1% |
117.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Kyla Stalbaum |
89.1% |
146.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
0.0% |
| Semi-State | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Audrey Magnusun |
100% |
41.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.3 |
1.4 |
|
100.0% |
| MacKinsey Heagy |
100% |
41.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.0 |
1.1 |
1.2 |
|
100.0% |
| Maddie Scheitlin |
100% |
43.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.4 |
0.5 |
0.5 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
1.1 |
0.9 |
|
100.0% |
| Elaina Herman |
100% |
50.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Bowen |
100% |
51.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
|
100.0% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
57.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyla Stalbaum |
100% |
79.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Audrey Magnusun |
100% |
5.9 |
|
0.2 |
10.4 |
13.8 |
14.2 |
12.6 |
11.1 |
9.1 |
7.8 |
6.2 |
4.4 |
3.3 |
2.5 |
1.6 |
1.1 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
100.0% |
| MacKinsey Heagy |
100% |
5.9 |
|
0.4 |
10.3 |
14.6 |
13.8 |
12.1 |
10.9 |
9.3 |
7.7 |
5.9 |
4.7 |
3.7 |
2.4 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.7 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
|
|
|
|
100.0% |
| Maddie Scheitlin |
100% |
6.3 |
|
0.2 |
9.2 |
11.3 |
13.3 |
12.7 |
11.9 |
9.9 |
8.2 |
6.6 |
5.1 |
3.8 |
2.9 |
1.7 |
1.2 |
0.9 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Elaina Herman |
100% |
9.0 |
|
0.1 |
2.0 |
4.4 |
6.2 |
8.3 |
9.2 |
10.1 |
10.1 |
10.1 |
9.2 |
7.7 |
6.5 |
4.6 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
2.0 |
1.3 |
0.8 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Katherine Bowen |
100% |
9.2 |
|
0.1 |
1.8 |
3.9 |
5.6 |
7.6 |
8.7 |
10.0 |
10.2 |
9.5 |
9.1 |
8.4 |
6.8 |
5.3 |
4.2 |
3.0 |
2.1 |
1.6 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
11.6 |
|
0.0 |
0.5 |
1.1 |
2.1 |
3.2 |
4.4 |
5.9 |
7.8 |
9.3 |
10.1 |
10.1 |
9.0 |
8.4 |
7.5 |
5.8 |
4.6 |
3.0 |
2.8 |
1.8 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Kyla Stalbaum |
100% |
18.7 |
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
1.2 |
2.2 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
6.1 |
6.6 |
9.2 |
8.9 |
9.8 |
9.1 |
8.9 |
7.2 |
6.3 |
4.5 |
3.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Audrey Magnusun |
2.0 |
28.0 |
22.8 |
18.0 |
13.0 |
8.8 |
5.2 |
2.5 |
1.3 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| MacKinsey Heagy |
2.0 |
27.6 |
22.7 |
18.1 |
12.8 |
8.8 |
5.6 |
2.6 |
1.2 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Maddie Scheitlin |
2.4 |
22.0 |
21.4 |
18.8 |
15.3 |
10.4 |
6.4 |
3.2 |
1.7 |
0.6 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Elaina Herman |
4.0 |
6.3 |
11.0 |
14.2 |
17.7 |
18.3 |
14.6 |
8.7 |
5.2 |
2.7 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Katherine Bowen |
4.2 |
5.6 |
9.5 |
13.4 |
17.1 |
18.7 |
16.1 |
9.6 |
5.5 |
3.0 |
1.3 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Cailyn Murphy |
5.5 |
1.6 |
3.3 |
5.8 |
10.5 |
16.3 |
23.0 |
16.4 |
11.4 |
7.0 |
3.4 |
1.0 |
0.2 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Kyla Stalbaum |
9.1 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.8 |
2.1 |
10.8 |
14.7 |
18.6 |
21.5 |
20.1 |
7.9 |
2.7 |
0.5 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
