Carmel
Boys - Girls
2024 - 2025 - 2026
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State Rank #1
Brownsburg Regional Rank #1
North Central (Indpls) Sectional Rank #1
Most Likely Finish 1st place at State Finals
State Champion 52.3%
Top 5 at State Finals 100.0%
Top 10 at State Finals 100.0%
Advance to State Finals 100.0%
Advance to Regional 100.0%


All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.



Season RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff John Cleland Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational
Date 8/17 8/23 8/30 9/6 9/13 9/20 10/4 10/6
Team Rating 91 119 165 91 105 67 136 89 402
Team Adjusted Rating 75 115 91 105 67 90 89 91
State RankRunnerSeason RatingPreseason Rating Valley Kickoff John Cleland Early Bird (4k) Hamilton County Brownsburg Invitational Brown County Eagle Classic Flashrock Invitational XC Town Twilight HSE JV Invitational
4  Annabel Pollert 11 17:55 18:07 17:32 17:48 18:27 18:01 17:48 17:45 18:04
7  Larkin Taylor 11 18:03 18:22 17:40 18:02 18:05 18:11 17:56 18:01 18:10
9  Sadie Foley 12 18:09 18:05 18:08 18:23 17:47 18:08
55  Margo Halle 10 19:18 18:59 19:13 19:52 19:16 19:18 18:59 19:22 19:17
85  Kaitlyn Oshimura 12 19:39 19:30 19:28 19:54 19:29 19:48 19:47 19:37 19:33
101  Anna Yoon 11 19:48 19:43 19:44 19:49 19:50 19:29 19:45 20:07
115  Elise Maurer 10 19:57 21:14 19:54 19:52 20:05 19:53 19:44 19:54 21:07 21:58
137  Ashley Kent 9 20:07 20:01 20:05 19:59 20:01 19:51 20:15 20:28 20:49
147  Noelle Avila 12 20:09 20:26 19:45 20:16
158  Maddie Cox 12 20:14 21:22 20:06 20:04 20:11 20:52 20:06 20:06
187  Lilliana Cate 12 20:23 20:15 20:31 20:14 20:10 20:50 20:54 20:06 20:15 20:16
196  Arden Finley 12 20:25 20:46 20:02 20:15 20:10 20:32 20:36 20:36 20:25 20:27
224  Maija Gilhooly 11 20:32 20:32 20:34 20:30 20:10 20:20 20:12 20:55 20:49 20:35
246  Ellie Smith 12 20:38 20:41 21:18 20:42 20:34 20:39 20:46 20:16 20:38 20:10
288  Kalinda Lee 10 20:49 20:23 20:23 20:33 21:21 21:04
404  Izzie Shin 10 21:19 21:24 21:09 21:32 21:16 21:32 21:14 21:03 21:07
437  Katie Zhuravlev 10 21:25 21:06 22:10 21:48 21:40 21:12 21:27 21:21 21:01 20:49
444  Molly Foley 9 21:26 21:25 21:09 21:39 21:00 21:37 21:41 21:30
453  Emma Kistler 12 21:28 21:53 20:56 21:19 21:17 21:30 21:23 21:09 21:58 22:08
537  Caroline Maurer 9 21:40 21:37 21:51 21:25 22:05 21:00 21:37 21:59
543  Annabelle Inman 11 21:42 22:15 21:54 22:09 21:34 21:22 21:55 21:16 21:32 21:37
575  Angela Li 9 21:46 21:57 21:44 21:57 21:40 21:42 21:33
626  Emma Meisner 11 21:55 21:41 21:57 21:44 21:50 21:39 22:10 21:55 22:02 22:10
649  Lily Kamstra 9 22:00 22:02 22:04 22:15 21:32 22:48 21:17
759  Saraphina Frey 22:17 22:23 22:08
794  Sophie Frey 10 22:22 22:05 22:41 22:08 22:06 21:59 23:17 22:39
814  Scarlett Gackowski 9 22:25 22:28 22:10 22:28 22:24 22:17 22:21 22:41
847  Lauren Mathews 9 22:31 21:26 23:44
908  Caroline Schmidt 12 22:40 21:31 22:50 22:27 22:04 22:18 23:10 23:08 23:08
1,025  Frannie Anderson 10 23:01 22:54 23:01 22:47 22:49 22:45 22:45 23:37 23:42
1,038  Brittney Zhang 10 23:02 23:03 22:52 23:00 23:20 23:13 22:48 22:56 22:54
1,039  Jade Gackowski 9 23:02 22:58 23:33 23:47 23:23 21:31 22:22
1,050  Sophia Snow 9 23:04 23:16 22:29 22:42 23:00 24:41 24:07
1,089  Sarina Patel 11 23:09 23:07 23:23 23:02 22:59 22:58 23:30 22:50
1,108  Malia Larger 11 23:11 21:17 22:59 23:36 22:44 22:58 23:21 23:24 23:24 23:20
1,124  Abigail Schilt 9 23:13 23:42 23:31 23:34 23:13 23:25 22:54 22:34 22:38
1,130  Eimaan Ahmad 23:13 23:11
1,174  Demi Zhang 10 23:19 23:40 25:01 23:14 23:20 23:32 23:50 23:12 22:58 22:43
1,178  Norah Oconnell 10 23:19 22:41 23:43 23:36 23:40 22:30 24:02 22:51
1,234  Eleanor Snopek 10 23:26 22:13 23:50 23:37 23:05 23:11 23:51 24:04 22:51
Ella Cantafio 23:30 23:28
Olivia Hall 9 23:33 25:41 23:06 24:02 23:35 23:58 22:55 23:36
Mia Watson 11 23:42 22:54 23:57 23:11 23:24 23:04 24:12 24:28 23:34 24:07
Maddie Meyer 10 23:43 23:40 23:50 23:35
Reagan Ellery 9 23:51 23:56 23:41 23:37 24:08 24:00 23:40 23:50
Emma Awe 10 23:56 24:10 23:37 23:40 23:34 23:42 23:54 24:58 24:23
Ansley Lyons 10 23:58 23:16 26:13 23:44 24:05 23:59 23:39 24:34 24:30 23:33
Hanna Schaller 11 24:02 22:52 24:24 23:04 23:51 23:54 25:51 24:32 24:07 24:21
Madison Bowser 10 24:16 24:12 24:04 24:40 23:48 24:16 23:57 25:08




IHSAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.





Team Results

Advances to RoundAvg FinishAvg Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
State Finals 100% 1.6 100 52.3 40.9 6.0 0.6 0.2 0.0
Regionals 100% 1.0 44 99.9 0.1
Sectionals 100% 1.0 29 99.9 0.1



Individual Results


Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.


State MeetAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 4.7 3.5 6.7 11.5 16.8 16.8 13.5 9.6 7.0 4.3 3.0 2.2 1.5 1.1 0.7 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 6.7 0.8 2.1 5.0 8.7 11.7 12.5 12.7 10.8 9.1 5.9 4.9 4.0 2.6 2.1 1.6 1.4 1.0 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.2 0.1 100.0%
Sadie Foley 100% 8.3 0.3 0.6 1.7 4.2 6.7 9.6 12.3 11.0 10.8 8.8 6.9 5.6 4.3 3.4 2.7 2.2 1.8 1.7 1.3 0.8 0.6 0.7 0.4 0.4 0.3 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 56.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.2 99.9%
Kaitlyn Oshimura 100% 83.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
Anna Yoon 100% 98.2 92.3%
Elise Maurer 100% 113.3 80.2%


RegionalsAdvances to RoundAvg Finish Finishing Place Indv No TeamIndv
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 100% 1.0 51.1 28.0 12.8 5.1 2.1 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
Larkin Taylor 100% 2.1 17.5 30.6 26.1 15.7 6.4 2.5 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
Sadie Foley 100% 2.9 6.9 17.0 30.2 24.6 11.4 6.0 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.1 100.0%
Margo Halle 100% 14.2 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 4.0 6.8 8.7 10.9 12.6 11.2 9.6 8.0 6.2 4.5 3.5 2.7 1.8 1.4 1.2 0.7 100.0%
Kaitlyn Oshimura 100% 20.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.6 2.3 4.6 5.5 6.3 7.3 7.0 6.9 7.3 6.5 6.5 5.7 5.5 100.0%
Anna Yoon 100% 24.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 0.9 2.4 2.5 3.5 4.3 4.9 5.7 6.3 7.0 6.4 6.5 100.0%
Elise Maurer 100% 28.9 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.7 0.9 1.5 1.9 2.0 2.8 3.1 4.2 4.4 5.3 100.0%


SectionalsAvg Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Annabel Pollert 1.0 50.8 28.2 13.7 5.9 1.3 0.0
Larkin Taylor 2.0 17.5 32.1 28.0 16.3 5.8 0.3
Sadie Foley 2.8 7.3 17.3 31.9 28.5 14.3 0.6 0.1
Margo Halle 8.5 0.0 0.3 8.7 13.2 16.5 21.4 15.5 10.2 5.8 3.8 2.2 1.4 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0
Kaitlyn Oshimura 12.5 0.2 0.9 2.3 4.7 9.7 11.6 14.4 12.5 11.1 10.0 8.1 5.7 3.9 2.1 1.5 0.7 0.3 0.2 0.0
Anna Yoon 14.7 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.6 3.5 6.2 8.3 10.5 10.6 12.5 11.2 10.5 8.3 6.2 4.0 2.8 1.6 0.8 0.4 0.1
Elise Maurer 17.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.8 2.1 3.6 4.8 7.1 8.4 10.6 12.8 13.7 9.9 8.8 6.6 5.1 2.8 1.5 0.8