All times are adjusted ratings, which are calculated based on time relative to other runners in race.
Team Adjusted Rating is the team rating with runners missing from that race added back in.
Cells with NEI means there was not enough info to calculate adjusted ranking for that race.
Runners with red highlighting have not run recently and are not in the tournament simulation.
| Season Rating | | Preseason Rating | |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
|---|
| Date | | |
8/23 |
8/30 |
9/6 |
9/13 |
9/20 |
9/27 |
10/4 |
10/11 |
| Team Rating |
221 | |
229 |
202 |
195 |
178 |
574 |
218 |
233 |
443 |
| Team Adjusted Rating | | |
229 |
202 |
195 |
178 |
221 |
218 |
233 |
225 |
|
| State Rank | Runner | | Season Rating | Preseason Rating |
John Cleland Early Bird (4k) |
Taylor University Invitational |
State Preview |
Brown County Eagle Classic |
Flashrock Invitational |
Hoosier Crossroads Conference |
XC Town Twilight |
Brownsburg JV Invitational |
|---|
| 46 |
Kathryn Green |
12 |
19:04 |
19:03 |
19:11 |
18:54 |
19:09 |
18:38 |
|
19:12 |
19:11 |
|
| 49 |
Letty Banwart |
10 |
19:09 |
19:15 |
19:15 |
19:09 |
18:55 |
18:42 |
|
19:18 |
19:20 |
|
| 97 |
Marlee Phillips |
12 |
19:45 |
20:31 |
19:53 |
19:32 |
19:36 |
19:42 |
|
19:47 |
19:46 |
|
| 98 |
Sara Bostwick |
12 |
19:46 |
20:41 |
19:52 |
19:34 |
19:36 |
19:42 |
|
19:40 |
19:55 |
|
| 141 |
Elizabeth Anderson |
9 |
20:09 |
|
19:58 |
20:25 |
20:08 |
19:55 |
|
19:55 |
20:23 |
20:22 |
| 157 |
Cailyn Murphy |
12 |
20:14 |
19:42 |
|
|
20:22 |
20:10 |
|
20:18 |
20:15 |
20:15 |
| 170 |
Madeline Bruns |
12 |
20:18 |
20:02 |
|
20:14 |
20:25 |
|
|
20:29 |
20:07 |
|
| 176 |
Jane Porzel |
11 |
20:19 |
20:03 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
20:24 |
| 181 |
Allison Bruggers |
11 |
20:20 |
20:18 |
20:17 |
20:18 |
20:07 |
19:48 |
|
20:03 |
21:01 |
20:58 |
| 192 |
Megan Race |
11 |
20:25 |
19:51 |
20:43 |
20:46 |
19:54 |
20:16 |
|
20:59 |
20:03 |
|
| 228 |
Abigail McClure |
12 |
20:33 |
21:15 |
|
20:53 |
20:36 |
20:43 |
20:38 |
20:04 |
20:06 |
|
| 251 |
Tessa Donahue |
9 |
20:40 |
|
20:39 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 300 |
Delaney Schmidt |
11 |
20:53 |
21:11 |
20:58 |
20:39 |
20:50 |
20:27 |
21:27 |
|
|
|
| 305 |
Sylvie Hall-Feldhaus |
9 |
20:54 |
|
20:39 |
20:53 |
20:41 |
21:19 |
20:54 |
20:49 |
|
21:03 |
| 347 |
Kora Schuitman |
10 |
21:04 |
20:52 |
|
20:50 |
20:43 |
20:58 |
21:16 |
21:00 |
21:24 |
21:22 |
| 415 |
Addisyn Hoffman |
11 |
21:21 |
20:48 |
20:37 |
21:18 |
21:13 |
21:21 |
21:30 |
21:24 |
21:29 |
21:57 |
| 443 |
Clara Carlson |
11 |
21:26 |
21:30 |
|
21:35 |
21:18 |
21:41 |
21:05 |
21:35 |
21:13 |
21:23 |
| 588 |
Cam Fitzpatrick |
9 |
21:49 |
|
21:17 |
21:19 |
21:42 |
22:04 |
21:44 |
21:42 |
22:46 |
22:22 |
| 727 |
Maryn Carter |
10 |
22:12 |
20:58 |
21:17 |
22:15 |
22:00 |
23:00 |
22:12 |
23:05 |
22:02 |
|
| 739 |
Lucy Bostian |
11 |
22:14 |
|
22:17 |
22:19 |
22:16 |
22:42 |
22:08 |
22:35 |
21:43 |
21:42 |
| 746 |
Liora DeVelvis |
11 |
22:15 |
24:09 |
22:49 |
22:41 |
22:08 |
22:26 |
22:10 |
22:03 |
21:24 |
21:51 |
| 833 |
Alyssa Mayrose |
11 |
22:28 |
22:20 |
|
|
|
|
|
22:37 |
22:12 |
|
| 838 |
Avery Hughes |
10 |
22:29 |
22:09 |
|
22:41 |
22:22 |
23:02 |
22:06 |
22:35 |
22:17 |
|
| 921 |
Kaitlyn Hopkins |
10 |
22:41 |
23:01 |
22:32 |
22:56 |
22:34 |
23:13 |
22:32 |
22:46 |
21:52 |
|
| 941 |
Emersyn Billings |
10 |
22:46 |
21:37 |
22:25 |
|
22:33 |
22:45 |
24:02 |
22:46 |
23:06 |
|
| 942 |
Sophia Koons |
10 |
22:46 |
21:53 |
22:54 |
22:56 |
22:20 |
22:54 |
23:16 |
22:43 |
22:38 |
|
| 992 |
Elsa Johnson |
10 |
22:56 |
|
22:28 |
22:31 |
22:46 |
23:35 |
22:33 |
23:57 |
25:30 |
23:07 |
| 1,067 |
Bethany Michael |
12 |
23:06 |
24:15 |
|
24:29 |
22:22 |
23:13 |
23:31 |
23:06 |
22:47 |
22:24 |
| 1,095 |
Leah Perrin |
9 |
23:10 |
|
|
23:10 |
22:55 |
23:47 |
23:04 |
23:21 |
22:43 |
|
| 1,115 |
Mikaela Hoone |
10 |
23:12 |
22:19 |
|
|
|
23:25 |
23:24 |
|
23:00 |
|
| 1,165 |
Teagan Stalbaum |
11 |
23:17 |
|
23:10 |
22:47 |
|
24:07 |
|
|
|
|
| 1,175 |
Natalie Sim |
9 |
23:19 |
|
23:04 |
22:57 |
23:31 |
|
23:20 |
23:37 |
|
|
| 1,246 |
Olivia van Gelder |
10 |
23:28 |
23:02 |
|
24:14 |
23:31 |
24:03 |
23:05 |
23:22 |
22:58 |
|
|
Arleen Reynolds |
11 |
23:46 |
23:28 |
|
23:26 |
23:49 |
24:16 |
|
25:18 |
|
|
|
Ruby Nicoson |
12 |
23:48 |
|
23:11 |
23:44 |
23:58 |
|
25:58 |
24:14 |
|
|
IHSAA Tournament Simulation
Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the IHSAA Tournament.
Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.
Team Results
| Advances to Round | Avg Finish | Avg Score |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| State Finals |
99.8% |
6.9 |
250 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
3.3 |
10.0 |
15.6 |
17.9 |
17.3 |
14.5 |
8.7 |
5.4 |
3.2 |
1.8 |
1.0 |
0.4 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Regionals |
100% |
2.4 |
104 |
0.1 |
73.6 |
18.9 |
5.8 |
1.5 |
0.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Sectionals |
100% |
2.3 |
63 |
0.1 |
74.3 |
21.8 |
3.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Individual Results
Indv No Team: Chance of running in round if team did not advance.
Indv: Chance of being in position to advance to round regardless of whether the team advanced.
| State Meet | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
100% |
42.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.3 |
0.6 |
0.7 |
0.8 |
0.9 |
1.0 |
1.3 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Letty Banwart |
100% |
47.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.6 |
100.0% |
100.0% |
| Marlee Phillips |
99.9% |
93.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
12.5% |
94.4% |
| Sara Bostwick |
99.9% |
93.9 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37.5% |
93.8% |
| Elizabeth Anderson |
99.8% |
135.5 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
54.3% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
99.8% |
144.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
41.4% |
| Madeline Bruns |
99.8% |
150.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0% |
33.1% |
| Regionals | Advances to Round | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| Indv No Team | Indv |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
100% |
11.2 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.7 |
1.7 |
3.1 |
6.0 |
8.5 |
11.9 |
15.3 |
14.7 |
12.6 |
8.6 |
5.7 |
3.8 |
2.7 |
1.7 |
1.1 |
0.5 |
0.4 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Letty Banwart |
100% |
12.3 |
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.9 |
1.7 |
3.0 |
5.4 |
8.1 |
11.3 |
14.6 |
14.8 |
11.9 |
8.5 |
5.8 |
4.1 |
3.2 |
2.3 |
1.5 |
0.9 |
0.6 |
0.5 |
0.2 |
0.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Marlee Phillips |
100% |
23.6 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.1 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.5 |
1.3 |
2.1 |
3.4 |
3.5 |
4.7 |
5.1 |
5.6 |
6.7 |
7.3 |
5.6 |
6.6 |
6.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sara Bostwick |
100% |
23.8 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.5 |
1.2 |
2.4 |
2.9 |
4.0 |
4.7 |
4.5 |
5.7 |
5.8 |
6.4 |
6.3 |
7.0 |
5.8 |
|
100.0% |
| Elizabeth Anderson |
100% |
34.7 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.8 |
0.8 |
1.1 |
1.8 |
2.0 |
|
100.0% |
| Cailyn Murphy |
100% |
37.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.4 |
0.4 |
0.7 |
0.9 |
1.1 |
|
100.0% |
| Madeline Bruns |
100% |
39.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
0.7 |
|
100.0% |
| Sectionals | Avg Finish |
Finishing Place |
| 1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
21 |
22 |
23 |
24 |
25 |
| Kathryn Green |
6.7 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.2 |
2.4 |
26.6 |
29.5 |
20.5 |
10.7 |
5.2 |
2.6 |
1.1 |
0.7 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Letty Banwart |
7.4 |
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
1.1 |
14.4 |
25.3 |
24.6 |
15.0 |
9.0 |
4.8 |
2.9 |
1.3 |
1.0 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Marlee Phillips |
14.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.7 |
3.3 |
5.4 |
7.8 |
9.6 |
10.5 |
11.5 |
11.0 |
11.8 |
10.4 |
8.2 |
5.3 |
2.6 |
1.0 |
0.5 |
0.3 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Sara Bostwick |
14.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.8 |
2.9 |
4.8 |
8.2 |
9.0 |
10.6 |
11.4 |
12.2 |
10.5 |
11.1 |
8.8 |
5.3 |
2.4 |
1.0 |
0.6 |
0.1 |
0.1 |
0.0 |
| Elizabeth Anderson |
19.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
|
0.1 |
0.3 |
0.5 |
1.4 |
1.9 |
2.7 |
4.8 |
7.0 |
9.6 |
15.1 |
16.3 |
13.8 |
10.2 |
6.4 |
4.6 |
2.6 |
| Cailyn Murphy |
20.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.3 |
0.8 |
1.6 |
2.9 |
4.8 |
7.0 |
11.3 |
15.1 |
15.1 |
13.4 |
10.3 |
7.2 |
4.6 |
| Madeline Bruns |
21.3 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.0 |
0.1 |
0.2 |
0.6 |
0.8 |
1.8 |
2.8 |
4.7 |
7.9 |
11.2 |
15.5 |
16.1 |
13.3 |
9.7 |
6.0 |
|
