Pre-tourney Rankings
Wisconsin
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.7#12
Expected Predictive Rating+14.6#14
Pace53.8#343
Improvement-3.9#300

Offense
Total Offense+5.9#37
Improvement+0.3#153

Defense
Total Defense+8.8#9
Improvement-4.2#330
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 2.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 83.8% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round74.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen46.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight20.3% n/a n/a
Final Four9.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.2% n/a n/a
National Champion1.6% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 4 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 314   Kennesaw St. W 85-31 99%     1 - 0 +39.2 +17.4 +31.4
  Nov 16, 2011 321   Colgate W 68-41 99%     2 - 0 +11.3 -4.1 +19.8
  Nov 19, 2011 199   Wofford W 69-33 96%     3 - 0 +30.7 +10.9 +28.7
  Nov 22, 2011 283   UMKC W 77-31 98%     4 - 0 +35.5 +7.4 +34.1
  Nov 25, 2011 256   Bradley W 66-43 96%     5 - 0 +17.4 -2.4 +21.4
  Nov 26, 2011 45   BYU W 73-56 71%     6 - 0 +25.8 +16.8 +11.4
  Nov 30, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 57-60 24%     6 - 1 +19.0 +1.9 +16.7
  Dec 03, 2011 18   Marquette L 54-61 67%     6 - 2 +3.2 -9.6 +12.2
  Dec 07, 2011 176   Green Bay W 70-42 95%     7 - 2 +24.0 +4.8 +22.7
  Dec 10, 2011 26   UNLV W 62-51 73%     8 - 2 +19.2 +1.0 +19.4
  Dec 13, 2011 154   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 60-54 83%     9 - 2 +10.5 +3.6 +8.2
  Dec 15, 2011 187   Savannah St. W 66-33 95%     10 - 2 +28.3 +16.5 +22.2
  Dec 23, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley W 79-45 97%     11 - 2 +25.8 +4.8 +22.0
  Dec 27, 2011 142   @ Nebraska W 64-40 81%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +29.4 +16.2 +21.6
  Dec 31, 2011 91   Iowa L 65-72 88%     12 - 3 1 - 1 -5.0 -7.7 +2.6
  Jan 03, 2012 3   Michigan St. L 60-63 OT 45%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +13.0 +0.2 +12.6
  Jan 08, 2012 23   @ Michigan L 41-59 45%     12 - 5 1 - 3 -2.1 -14.1 +6.9
  Jan 12, 2012 30   @ Purdue W 67-62 51%     13 - 5 2 - 3 +19.5 +7.1 +13.0
  Jan 15, 2012 142   Nebraska W 50-45 93%     14 - 5 3 - 3 +3.6 -10.8 +15.7
  Jan 18, 2012 58   Northwestern W 77-57 83%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +24.5 +14.0 +13.7
  Jan 22, 2012 77   @ Illinois W 67-63 68%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +14.0 +5.0 +9.2
  Jan 26, 2012 8   Indiana W 57-50 61%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +18.9 +2.5 +18.5
  Jan 31, 2012 128   @ Penn St. W 52-46 80%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +12.0 -3.0 +16.6
  Feb 04, 2012 2   Ohio St. L 52-58 43%     18 - 6 7 - 4 +10.6 -2.9 +12.4
  Feb 09, 2012 56   @ Minnesota W 68-61 OT 62%     19 - 6 8 - 4 +18.5 +6.1 +12.9
  Feb 16, 2012 3   @ Michigan St. L 55-69 22%     19 - 7 8 - 5 +8.8 +4.1 +2.3
  Feb 19, 2012 128   Penn St. W 65-55 92%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +9.2 +6.1 +5.1
  Feb 23, 2012 91   @ Iowa L 66-67 71%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +7.8 +1.8 +5.9
  Feb 26, 2012 2   @ Ohio St. W 63-60 20%     21 - 8 10 - 6 +26.4 +11.0 +15.9
  Feb 28, 2012 56   Minnesota W 52-45 83%     22 - 8 11 - 6 +11.7 -5.5 +18.9
  Mar 04, 2012 77   Illinois W 70-56 86%     23 - 8 12 - 6 +17.2 +10.3 +8.8
  Mar 09, 2012 8   Indiana W 79-71 47%     24 - 8 +23.3 +20.7 +3.8
  Mar 10, 2012 3   Michigan St. L 52-65 32%     24 - 9 +6.4 -0.6 +4.7
Projected Record 24.0 - 9.0 12.0 - 6.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.1 2.0 35.6 46.2 15.4 0.8 0.0 100.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.1 2.0 35.6 46.2 15.4 0.8 0.0 100.0%