Pre-tourney Rankings
Creighton
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.2#28
Expected Predictive Rating+14.1#15
Pace69.8#114
Improvement-3.3#287

Offense
Total Offense+11.9#2
Improvement-0.9#210

Defense
Total Defense-0.6#188
Improvement-2.4#287
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 1.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 41.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 6.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round55.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen19.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight7.3% n/a n/a
Final Four2.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.7% n/a n/a
National Champion0.2% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 7 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 303   N.C. A&T W 97-65 98%     1 - 0 +19.3 +14.2 +3.2
  Nov 13, 2011 332   Chicago St. W 95-61 99%     2 - 0 +16.2 +15.4 +0.5
  Nov 16, 2011 124   @ UAB W 70-60 68%     3 - 0 +16.4 +0.3 +15.8
  Nov 20, 2011 91   Iowa W 82-59 71%     4 - 0 +28.4 +12.7 +16.8
  Nov 25, 2011 245   Campbell W 104-81 95%     5 - 0 +14.8 +17.3 -4.1
  Nov 30, 2011 46   @ San Diego St. W 85-83 46%     6 - 0 +14.1 +14.3 -0.3
  Dec 04, 2011 142   Nebraska W 76-66 88%     7 - 0 +8.6 +6.0 +3.0
  Dec 10, 2011 62   @ Saint Joseph's L 71-80 51%     7 - 1 +2.0 -2.5 +5.0
  Dec 17, 2011 325   Houston Baptist W 97-62 99%     8 - 1 +19.0 +3.2 +10.7
  Dec 19, 2011 94   @ Tulsa W 83-64 60%     9 - 1 +27.6 +12.3 +14.7
  Dec 22, 2011 58   Northwestern W 87-79 74%     10 - 1 +12.5 +12.8 -0.2
  Dec 28, 2011 97   Missouri St. L 65-77 82%     10 - 2 0 - 1 -10.4 -2.8 -8.2
  Dec 31, 2011 9   @ Wichita St. W 68-61 24%     11 - 2 1 - 1 +25.5 +3.5 +22.2
  Jan 03, 2012 130   Drake W 76-59 87%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +16.1 +5.7 +10.6
  Jan 07, 2012 256   @ Bradley W 92-83 89%     13 - 2 3 - 1 +6.8 +20.1 -13.3
  Jan 10, 2012 89   Northern Iowa W 63-60 81%     14 - 2 4 - 1 +5.1 +4.7 +1.0
  Jan 13, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. W 87-78 62%     15 - 2 5 - 1 +17.2 +16.4 +0.6
  Jan 15, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 90-71 94%     16 - 2 6 - 1 +12.6 +10.6 +1.2
  Jan 18, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. W 66-65 61%     17 - 2 7 - 1 +9.4 +7.8 +1.8
  Jan 21, 2012 132   Indiana St. W 75-49 87%     18 - 2 8 - 1 +25.0 +7.2 +19.2
  Jan 25, 2012 130   @ Drake W 77-69 70%     19 - 2 9 - 1 +13.9 +14.6 -0.1
  Jan 28, 2012 256   Bradley W 73-59 96%     20 - 2 10 - 1 +5.0 -2.8 +7.6
  Feb 01, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 102-74 82%     21 - 2 11 - 1 +29.4 +28.5 +0.7
  Feb 04, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa L 62-65 59%     21 - 3 11 - 2 +5.9 +2.2 +3.3
  Feb 07, 2012 113   @ Evansville L 57-65 65%     21 - 4 11 - 3 -0.8 -9.2 +7.6
  Feb 11, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 68-89 48%     21 - 5 11 - 4 -9.3 +3.8 -14.6
  Feb 14, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois W 88-69 84%     22 - 5 12 - 4 +19.4 +28.6 -6.4
  Feb 18, 2012 39   Long Beach St. W 81-79 67%     23 - 5 +8.6 +9.1 -0.6
  Feb 21, 2012 113   Evansville W 93-92 OT 84%     24 - 5 13 - 4 +1.4 +10.6 -9.2
  Feb 25, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. W 61-60 70%     25 - 5 14 - 4 +6.8 +0.5 +6.5
  Mar 02, 2012 130   Drake W 68-61 80%     26 - 5 +9.5 +1.2 +8.6
  Mar 03, 2012 113   Evansville W 99-71 76%     27 - 5 +31.8 +23.6 +7.9
  Mar 04, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 83-79 OT 73%     28 - 5 +8.8 +11.5 -2.7
Projected Record 28.0 - 5.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 6.9 0.1 0.9 11.6 28.8 28.6 19.6 9.4 1.1 0.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 6.9 0.1 0.9 11.6 28.8 28.6 19.6 9.4 1.1 0.0