Pre-tourney Rankings
Northwestern
Big Ten
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+7.9#58
Expected Predictive Rating+9.2#47
Pace62.5#280
Improvement+0.1#161

Offense
Total Offense+8.8#15
Improvement+0.3#152

Defense
Total Defense-0.9#199
Improvement-0.2#169
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.3% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 5.3% n/a n/a
Average Seed 13.0 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four5.3% n/a n/a
First Round2.7% n/a n/a
Second Round0.7% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.2% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 60-36 97%     1 - 0 +9.7 -9.0 +22.8
  Nov 17, 2011 85   LSU W 88-82 58%     2 - 0 +11.8 +15.9 -4.5
  Nov 18, 2011 94   Tulsa W 69-65 60%     3 - 0 +9.2 +2.1 +7.3
  Nov 20, 2011 44   Seton Hall W 80-73 46%     4 - 0 +15.8 +25.0 -8.1
  Nov 25, 2011 158   Stony Brook W 63-58 84%     5 - 0 +2.3 -0.9 +4.0
  Nov 29, 2011 170   @ Georgia Tech W 76-60 68%     6 - 0 +19.2 +9.0 +10.5
  Dec 02, 2011 243   Mississippi Valley W 92-67 92%     7 - 0 +16.8 +14.6 +2.0
  Dec 04, 2011 11   Baylor L 41-69 37%     7 - 1 -16.6 -23.5 +3.9
  Dec 15, 2011 276   Texas Southern W 81-51 94%     8 - 1 +19.9 +6.5 +13.1
  Dec 17, 2011 229   Central Connecticut St. W 70-64 91%     9 - 1 -1.1 -6.2 +5.0
  Dec 18, 2011 299   Eastern Illinois W 87-72 96%     10 - 1 +2.8 +9.5 -6.3
  Dec 22, 2011 28   @ Creighton L 79-87 26%     10 - 2 +6.6 +8.3 -1.8
  Dec 28, 2011 2   @ Ohio St. L 54-87 8%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -9.6 -7.1 -2.9
  Jan 01, 2012 128   Penn St. W 68-56 80%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +11.2 +4.1 +8.5
  Jan 04, 2012 77   Illinois L 56-57 68%     11 - 4 1 - 2 +2.2 -6.4 +8.4
  Jan 11, 2012 23   @ Michigan L 64-66 OT 22%     11 - 5 1 - 3 +13.9 +0.2 +13.6
  Jan 14, 2012 3   Michigan St. W 81-74 22%     12 - 5 2 - 3 +23.0 +24.4 -0.8
  Jan 18, 2012 12   @ Wisconsin L 57-77 17%     12 - 6 2 - 4 -1.9 +3.8 -8.9
  Jan 22, 2012 56   @ Minnesota L 52-75 36%     12 - 7 2 - 5 -11.5 -13.9 +2.0
  Jan 28, 2012 30   Purdue L 56-58 51%     12 - 8 2 - 6 +5.6 -4.1 +9.3
  Feb 02, 2012 142   Nebraska W 84-74 81%     13 - 8 3 - 6 +8.6 +18.2 -8.7
  Feb 05, 2012 77   @ Illinois W 74-70 42%     14 - 8 4 - 6 +14.0 +21.1 -6.4
  Feb 09, 2012 91   Iowa W 83-64 71%     15 - 8 5 - 6 +21.0 +21.4 +2.6
  Feb 12, 2012 30   @ Purdue L 77-87 26%     15 - 9 5 - 7 +4.5 +10.2 -6.1
  Feb 15, 2012 8   @ Indiana L 66-71 16%     15 - 10 5 - 8 +13.7 +6.1 +7.1
  Feb 18, 2012 56   Minnesota W 64-53 62%     16 - 10 6 - 8 +15.7 +3.4 +13.9
  Feb 21, 2012 23   Michigan L 55-67 OT 45%     16 - 11 6 - 9 -2.9 -7.2 +2.6
  Feb 25, 2012 128   @ Penn St. W 67-66 57%     17 - 11 7 - 9 +7.0 +8.1 -1.0
  Feb 29, 2012 2   Ohio St. L 73-75 20%     17 - 12 7 - 10 +14.6 +16.8 -2.4
  Mar 03, 2012 91   @ Iowa W 70-66 46%     18 - 12 8 - 10 +12.8 +5.2 +8.0
  Mar 08, 2012 56   Minnesota L 68-75 OT 49%     18 - 13 +1.1 +0.6 +0.3
Projected Record 18.0 - 13.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 5.3% 5.3% 13.0 0.0 1.1 3.1 1.0 94.7 5.3%
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.3% 0.0% 5.3% 13.0 0.0 1.1 3.1 1.0 94.7 5.3%