Pre-tourney Rankings
Drake
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.5#130
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#118
Pace67.9#159
Improvement+1.6#103

Offense
Total Offense-0.8#193
Improvement-3.1#306

Defense
Total Defense+3.3#77
Improvement+4.6#18
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 27   Iowa St. W 74-65 29%     1 - 0 +17.1 +1.7 +15.2
  Nov 18, 2011 84   Mississippi L 59-63 37%     1 - 1 +1.9 -13.5 +15.7
  Nov 19, 2011 264   Winthrop W 66-62 79%     2 - 1 -2.0 +3.8 -5.2
  Nov 21, 2011 31   Virginia L 52-60 21%     2 - 2 +2.9 -4.6 +6.4
  Nov 26, 2011 305   Cal St. Northridge W 73-49 92%     3 - 2 +10.9 -13.8 +22.9
  Nov 30, 2011 134   @ Boise St. L 64-108 38%     3 - 3 -38.3 -9.3 -27.3
  Dec 03, 2011 173   Air Force W 62-60 73%     4 - 3 -1.8 -10.4 +8.6
  Dec 08, 2011 250   Eastern Michigan W 66-53 85%     5 - 3 +4.4 +4.2 +2.1
  Dec 17, 2011 91   @ Iowa L 68-82 27%     5 - 4 -5.2 -2.5 -2.8
  Dec 21, 2011 324   Central Arkansas W 87-64 95%     6 - 4 +7.1 +4.8 +1.7
  Dec 28, 2011 132   Indiana St. W 79-64 63%     7 - 4 1 - 0 +14.0 +6.5 +7.4
  Dec 31, 2011 97   @ Missouri St. L 61-72 29%     7 - 5 1 - 1 -2.6 +2.8 -7.1
  Jan 03, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 59-76 13%     7 - 6 1 - 2 -2.4 -12.1 +9.5
  Jan 07, 2012 89   Northern Iowa L 68-83 52%     7 - 7 1 - 3 -12.9 -2.7 -10.4
  Jan 10, 2012 256   Bradley W 82-74 86%     8 - 7 2 - 3 -1.0 +2.8 -4.3
  Jan 13, 2012 113   @ Evansville W 69-60 32%     9 - 7 3 - 3 +16.2 -2.8 +19.1
  Jan 15, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 77-60 55%     10 - 7 4 - 3 +18.4 +11.6 +8.4
  Jan 18, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois W 75-68 OT 58%     11 - 7 5 - 3 +7.4 +1.1 +6.1
  Jan 22, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa L 52-66 27%     11 - 8 5 - 4 -5.1 -9.1 +2.1
  Jan 25, 2012 28   Creighton L 69-77 30%     11 - 9 5 - 5 -0.2 -1.3 +0.6
  Jan 28, 2012 9   Wichita St. W 93-86 3OT 19%     12 - 9 6 - 5 +18.7 +1.5 +15.5
  Feb 01, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. L 54-61 37%     12 - 10 6 - 6 -1.2 -9.3 +7.4
  Feb 04, 2012 97   Missouri St. L 39-57 54%     12 - 11 6 - 7 -16.4 -22.6 +1.7
  Feb 08, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. L 53-64 29%     12 - 12 6 - 8 -2.8 -11.5 +7.6
  Feb 12, 2012 113   Evansville W 78-54 58%     13 - 12 7 - 8 +24.4 +1.5 +22.6
  Feb 15, 2012 256   @ Bradley W 62-55 68%     14 - 12 8 - 8 +4.8 -9.1 +13.9
  Feb 18, 2012 50   @ New Mexico St. L 55-71 19%     14 - 13 -4.1 -9.8 +5.0
  Feb 22, 2012 217   Southern Illinois W 78-63 80%     15 - 13 9 - 8 +8.6 +2.2 +6.3
  Feb 25, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 58-81 8%     15 - 14 9 - 9 -4.5 -11.6 +8.6
  Mar 01, 2012 256   Bradley W 65-49 78%     16 - 14 +10.4 -3.6 +15.1
  Mar 02, 2012 28   Creighton L 61-68 20%     16 - 15 +4.2 -10.0 +14.0
Projected Record 16.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%