Pre-tourney Rankings
Evansville
Missouri Valley
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+3.8#113
Expected Predictive Rating+2.8#136
Pace69.9#111
Improvement+4.6#38

Offense
Total Offense+5.0#56
Improvement+1.8#77

Defense
Total Defense-1.1#208
Improvement+2.8#50
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 129   Butler W 80-77 OT 67%     1 - 0 +2.2 +0.0 +1.8
  Nov 16, 2011 8   Indiana L 73-94 22%     1 - 1 -9.1 -4.4 -2.8
  Nov 23, 2011 280   @ Illinois-Chicago L 75-79 76%     1 - 2 -7.5 -7.2 +0.1
  Nov 29, 2011 320   Alabama St. W 62-55 95%     2 - 2 -8.6 -8.0 +0.1
  Dec 03, 2011 143   TCU L 68-70 OT 70%     2 - 3 -3.7 -12.8 +9.2
  Dec 06, 2011 4   @ North Carolina L 48-97 6%     2 - 4 -27.0 -20.2 -0.8
  Dec 10, 2011 303   N.C. A&T W 86-65 93%     3 - 4 +8.3 +6.3 +1.4
  Dec 17, 2011 180   Tennessee Tech L 70-72 78%     3 - 5 -6.2 -5.1 -1.2
  Dec 20, 2011 189   @ Miami (OH) W 77-75 58%     4 - 5 +3.9 +14.5 -10.4
  Dec 29, 2011 217   Southern Illinois W 78-60 83%     5 - 5 1 - 0 +11.6 +0.7 +10.5
  Jan 01, 2012 89   @ Northern Iowa W 76-65 31%     6 - 5 2 - 0 +19.9 +7.9 +11.9
  Jan 04, 2012 9   Wichita St. L 66-67 23%     6 - 6 2 - 1 +10.7 +8.6 +2.0
  Jan 07, 2012 101   @ Illinois St. L 73-75 34%     6 - 7 2 - 2 +6.2 +11.3 -5.3
  Jan 10, 2012 132   @ Indiana St. L 78-80 42%     6 - 8 2 - 3 +3.8 +10.7 -6.9
  Jan 13, 2012 130   Drake L 60-69 68%     6 - 9 2 - 4 -9.9 -10.8 +0.8
  Jan 15, 2012 97   @ Missouri St. W 87-82 OT 33%     7 - 9 3 - 4 +13.4 +11.9 +1.1
  Jan 18, 2012 256   Bradley W 90-67 88%     8 - 9 4 - 4 +14.0 +7.8 +4.3
  Jan 21, 2012 101   Illinois St. W 79-71 60%     9 - 9 5 - 4 +9.4 +10.9 -1.1
  Jan 25, 2012 9   @ Wichita St. L 74-86 9%     9 - 10 5 - 5 +6.5 +6.9 -0.1
  Jan 29, 2012 132   Indiana St. L 81-90 2OT 68%     9 - 11 5 - 6 -10.0 +1.6 -10.7
  Feb 01, 2012 256   @ Bradley W 92-62 72%     10 - 11 6 - 6 +27.8 +19.4 +8.0
  Feb 04, 2012 217   @ Southern Illinois L 52-53 63%     10 - 12 6 - 7 -0.6 -11.3 +10.6
  Feb 07, 2012 28   Creighton W 65-57 35%     11 - 12 7 - 7 +15.8 -3.2 +19.9
  Feb 12, 2012 130   @ Drake L 54-78 42%     11 - 13 7 - 8 -18.1 -14.3 -3.5
  Feb 15, 2012 89   Northern Iowa W 63-62 57%     12 - 13 8 - 8 +3.1 +1.2 +2.0
  Feb 18, 2012 179   Western Illinois W 68-45 78%     13 - 13 +18.9 +2.7 +18.2
  Feb 21, 2012 28   @ Creighton L 92-93 OT 16%     13 - 14 8 - 9 +13.6 +13.6 +0.1
  Feb 25, 2012 97   Missouri St. W 75-70 OT 59%     14 - 14 9 - 9 +6.6 -4.7 +10.8
  Mar 02, 2012 97   Missouri St. W 72-64 46%     15 - 14 +13.0 +9.1 +4.6
  Mar 03, 2012 28   Creighton L 71-99 24%     15 - 15 -16.8 -3.5 -12.8
Projected Record 15.0 - 15.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Missouri Valley Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Missouri Valley Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 100.0
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%