Pre-tourney Rankings
Winthrop
Big South
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating-6.0#264
Expected Predictive Rating-7.1#279
Pace61.8#295
Improvement-1.0#209

Offense
Total Offense-6.4#306
Improvement-4.6#335

Defense
Total Defense+0.4#159
Improvement+3.7#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 12, 2011 262   Eastern Kentucky L 59-71 63%     0 - 1 -21.4 -13.0 -9.9
  Nov 15, 2011 31   @ Virginia L 48-69 4%     0 - 2 -6.7 -4.8 -6.1
  Nov 18, 2011 18   Marquette L 73-95 4%     0 - 3 -8.4 +2.9 -10.1
  Nov 19, 2011 130   Drake L 62-66 21%     0 - 4 -1.5 +2.1 -4.2
  Nov 21, 2011 63   Drexel L 45-68 11%     0 - 5 -15.5 -10.5 -11.6
  Dec 01, 2011 253   @ Presbyterian W 59-56 35%     1 - 5 1 - 0 +1.0 -14.8 +15.9
  Dec 03, 2011 273   @ Gardner-Webb L 60-62 38%     1 - 6 1 - 1 -5.0 -2.9 -2.4
  Dec 15, 2011 248   @ Jacksonville W 59-45 34%     2 - 6 +12.4 -7.2 +21.3
  Dec 17, 2011 82   @ Clemson L 40-60 8%     2 - 7 -10.6 -18.7 +3.7
  Dec 20, 2011 175   @ Western Michigan L 55-60 20%     2 - 8 -2.1 -9.7 +6.8
  Dec 27, 2011 105   @ Georgia L 86-92 OT 10%     2 - 9 +1.9 +9.9 -7.5
  Dec 31, 2011 122   UNC Asheville L 68-73 OT 29%     2 - 10 1 - 2 -5.3 -16.2 +11.5
  Jan 05, 2012 313   Radford W 70-54 79%     3 - 10 2 - 2 +1.4 -1.8 +4.3
  Jan 07, 2012 281   VMI W 91-84 66%     4 - 10 3 - 2 -3.3 +1.8 -5.8
  Jan 12, 2012 235   @ High Point L 54-64 31%     4 - 11 3 - 3 -11.0 -14.4 +1.7
  Jan 14, 2012 285   @ Liberty W 64-61 OT 42%     5 - 11 4 - 3 -0.9 -11.5 +10.7
  Jan 17, 2012 245   Campbell L 51-54 59%     5 - 12 4 - 4 -11.2 -25.3 +13.9
  Jan 19, 2012 273   Gardner-Webb W 56-54 64%     6 - 12 5 - 4 -7.8 -14.3 +6.7
  Jan 21, 2012 184   @ Charleston Southern L 66-77 21%     6 - 13 5 - 5 -8.7 -9.9 +1.6
  Jan 26, 2012 285   Liberty W 65-63 67%     7 - 13 6 - 5 -8.7 -6.4 -2.0
  Jan 28, 2012 235   High Point L 47-52 57%     7 - 14 6 - 6 -12.8 -28.4 +15.0
  Feb 02, 2012 313   @ Radford W 77-63 57%     8 - 14 7 - 6 +6.2 +2.6 +3.4
  Feb 04, 2012 281   @ VMI L 79-86 40%     8 - 15 7 - 7 -10.5 -1.2 -9.1
  Feb 09, 2012 245   @ Campbell L 58-67 33%     8 - 16 7 - 8 -10.4 -12.4 +1.1
  Feb 11, 2012 206   Coastal Carolina W 67-57 48%     9 - 16 8 - 8 +4.5 -5.2 +10.4
  Feb 14, 2012 253   Presbyterian L 45-48 61%     9 - 17 8 - 9 -11.8 -25.5 +13.0
  Feb 18, 2012 255   @ Appalachian St. L 64-76 36%     9 - 18 -14.2 -6.3 -8.6
  Feb 25, 2012 122   @ UNC Asheville L 55-67 12%     9 - 19 8 - 10 -5.5 -13.3 +6.7
  Feb 29, 2012 245   Campbell W 71-55 45%     10 - 19 +11.2 +0.0 +12.7
  Mar 01, 2012 281   VMI L 55-75 54%     10 - 20 -26.9 -22.9 -4.5
Projected Record 10.0 - 20.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big South Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
Total 100.0 Total



Big South Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%