Pre-tourney Rankings
Virginia
Atlantic Coast
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+10.9#31
Expected Predictive Rating+10.7#36
Pace56.7#335
Improvement-2.3#257

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#120
Improvement-0.7#202

Defense
Total Defense+8.9#6
Improvement-1.6#245
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 96.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 96.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.9% n/a n/a
First Round95.7% n/a n/a
Second Round47.1% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen13.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.7% n/a n/a
Final Four1.8% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 10 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2011 343   South Carolina St. W 75-38 99%     1 - 0 +15.7 -5.4 +23.2
  Nov 15, 2011 264   Winthrop W 69-48 96%     2 - 0 +11.6 +8.4 +7.3
  Nov 18, 2011 143   TCU L 55-57 81%     2 - 1 -0.3 -16.1 +15.7
  Nov 19, 2011 63   Drexel W 49-35 63%     3 - 1 +21.5 -6.5 +31.7
  Nov 21, 2011 130   Drake W 60-52 79%     4 - 1 +10.5 -1.1 +12.7
  Nov 25, 2011 176   Green Bay W 68-42 91%     5 - 1 +22.0 +1.3 +23.5
  Nov 29, 2011 23   Michigan W 70-58 57%     6 - 1 +21.1 +7.7 +14.8
  Dec 03, 2011 342   Longwood W 86-53 99%     7 - 1 +12.5 -4.4 +16.2
  Dec 06, 2011 112   George Mason W 68-48 83%     8 - 1 +20.6 +6.6 +16.9
  Dec 18, 2011 66   @ Oregon W 67-54 51%     9 - 1 +23.7 +7.9 +17.9
  Dec 21, 2011 223   @ Seattle W 83-77 84%     10 - 1 +6.1 +11.1 -5.0
  Dec 27, 2011 327   Maryland Eastern Shore W 69-42 99%     11 - 1 +10.8 +0.2 +13.6
  Dec 30, 2011 331   Towson W 57-50 99%     12 - 1 -10.7 -8.2 -0.8
  Jan 02, 2012 85   @ LSU W 57-52 56%     13 - 1 +14.2 -1.3 +16.0
  Jan 07, 2012 41   Miami (FL) W 52-51 68%     14 - 1 1 - 0 +7.0 -6.7 +14.0
  Jan 12, 2012 15   @ Duke L 58-61 27%     14 - 2 1 - 1 +14.3 +0.2 +13.6
  Jan 19, 2012 170   @ Georgia Tech W 70-38 77%     15 - 2 2 - 1 +35.2 +13.2 +27.3
  Jan 22, 2012 80   Virginia Tech L 45-47 78%     15 - 3 2 - 2 +0.7 -15.1 +15.4
  Jan 26, 2012 252   Boston College W 66-49 96%     16 - 3 3 - 2 +8.2 +0.5 +10.2
  Jan 28, 2012 43   @ North Carolina St. W 61-60 44%     17 - 3 4 - 2 +13.4 +1.2 +12.3
  Jan 31, 2012 82   Clemson W 65-61 79%     18 - 3 5 - 2 +6.6 +8.0 -0.6
  Feb 04, 2012 22   @ Florida St. L 55-58 31%     18 - 4 5 - 3 +13.1 -2.7 +15.5
  Feb 08, 2012 195   Wake Forest W 68-44 93%     19 - 4 6 - 3 +18.8 -0.4 +21.9
  Feb 11, 2012 4   @ North Carolina L 52-70 15%     19 - 5 6 - 4 +4.0 -8.8 +12.2
  Feb 14, 2012 82   @ Clemson L 48-60 56%     19 - 6 6 - 5 -2.6 -11.3 +6.6
  Feb 18, 2012 125   Maryland W 71-44 86%     20 - 6 7 - 5 +26.5 +3.4 +25.7
  Feb 21, 2012 80   @ Virginia Tech W 61-59 55%     21 - 6 8 - 5 +11.5 +8.2 +3.9
  Feb 25, 2012 4   North Carolina L 51-54 34%     21 - 7 8 - 6 +12.2 -8.9 +20.8
  Mar 01, 2012 22   Florida St. L 60-63 56%     21 - 8 8 - 7 +6.3 +0.7 +5.2
  Mar 04, 2012 125   @ Maryland W 75-72 OT 67%     22 - 8 9 - 7 +9.3 -2.6 +11.6
  Mar 09, 2012 43   North Carolina St. L 64-67 57%     22 - 9 +6.0 +0.6 +5.1
Projected Record 22.0 - 9.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 96.1% 96.1% 9.7 0.1 0.9 8.8 29.3 40.6 15.5 0.9 0.0 3.9 96.1%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 96.1% 0.0% 96.1% 9.7 0.1 0.9 8.8 29.3 40.6 15.5 0.9 0.0 3.9 96.1%