Pre-tourney Rankings
TCU
Mountain West
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+1.7#143
Expected Predictive Rating+4.4#105
Pace72.0#73
Improvement+3.4#57

Offense
Total Offense+3.4#84
Improvement+3.9#27

Defense
Total Defense-1.7#224
Improvement-0.5#187
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 178   Florida Gulf Coast W 73-72 71%     1 - 0 -3.1 -7.5 +4.3
  Nov 18, 2011 31   Virginia W 57-55 19%     2 - 0 +12.9 -3.3 +16.4
  Nov 20, 2011 196   Norfolk St. L 53-66 64%     2 - 1 -14.9 -23.0 +8.8
  Nov 21, 2011 84   Mississippi L 69-80 34%     2 - 2 -5.1 -2.6 -1.8
  Nov 26, 2011 182   @ Houston W 81-80 47%     3 - 2 +3.5 +5.7 -2.1
  Nov 30, 2011 102   Lamar W 77-72 51%     4 - 2 +6.3 -0.3 +6.4
  Dec 03, 2011 113   @ Evansville W 70-68 OT 30%     5 - 2 +9.2 -7.0 +16.1
  Dec 06, 2011 220   Texas Tech W 75-69 78%     6 - 2 -0.6 +1.5 -2.1
  Dec 10, 2011 142   Nebraska L 57-69 62%     6 - 3 -13.4 -7.7 -7.6
  Dec 19, 2011 219   @ USC L 59-83 56%     6 - 4 -23.7 -3.5 -21.7
  Dec 22, 2011 344   Grambling St. W 85-53 98%     7 - 4 +7.9 -4.5 +10.2
  Dec 31, 2011 94   Tulsa L 66-74 50%     7 - 5 -6.2 -1.8 -4.8
  Jan 04, 2012 145   Rice W 78-74 63%     8 - 5 +2.2 +6.9 -4.7
  Jan 11, 2012 310   UT Rio Grande Valley W 88-58 92%     9 - 5 +15.7 +2.9 +10.8
  Jan 14, 2012 72   @ Colorado St. L 89-95 2OT 21%     9 - 6 0 - 1 +4.2 -2.1 +7.6
  Jan 18, 2012 26   @ UNLV L 78-101 11%     9 - 7 0 - 2 -8.0 +4.7 -10.1
  Jan 21, 2012 134   Boise St. W 54-52 61%     10 - 7 1 - 2 +0.9 -13.9 +15.1
  Jan 25, 2012 173   Air Force W 59-56 70%     11 - 7 2 - 2 -0.8 -0.1 +0.1
  Jan 28, 2012 14   @ New Mexico L 54-71 8%     11 - 8 2 - 3 +0.3 -6.0 +5.6
  Feb 01, 2012 75   Wyoming W 58-52 44%     12 - 8 3 - 3 +9.3 -1.0 +11.2
  Feb 04, 2012 46   @ San Diego St. L 73-83 16%     12 - 9 3 - 4 +2.1 +9.8 -8.0
  Feb 08, 2012 181   @ SMU L 62-68 47%     12 - 10 -3.5 -4.6 +0.9
  Feb 11, 2012 72   Colorado St. W 75-71 43%     13 - 10 4 - 4 +7.4 +3.1 +4.5
  Feb 14, 2012 26   UNLV W 102-97 OT 27%     14 - 10 5 - 4 +13.2 +18.4 -6.0
  Feb 18, 2012 134   @ Boise St. L 64-65 35%     14 - 11 5 - 5 +4.7 +1.5 +3.2
  Feb 22, 2012 173   @ Air Force W 65-62 45%     15 - 11 6 - 5 +6.0 +3.6 +2.8
  Feb 25, 2012 14   New Mexico W 83-64 20%     16 - 11 7 - 5 +29.5 +17.1 +12.5
  Feb 28, 2012 75   @ Wyoming L 59-71 21%     16 - 12 7 - 6 -1.9 +4.5 -8.5
  Mar 03, 2012 46   San Diego St. L 92-98 OT 36%     16 - 13 7 - 7 -0.7 +5.5 -5.0
  Mar 08, 2012 72   Colorado St. L 60-81 31%     16 - 14 -14.2 -14.7 +0.9
Projected Record 16.0 - 14.0 7.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mountain West Finish

0-14 1-13 2-12 3-11 4-10 5-9 6-8 7-7 8-6 9-5 10-4 11-3 12-2 13-1 14-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
Total 100.0 Total



Mountain West Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
14-0
13-1
12-2
11-3
10-4
9-5
8-6
7-7 100.0% 100.0
6-8
5-9
4-10
3-11
2-12
1-13
0-14
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%