Pre-tourney Rankings
Memphis
Conference USA
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+15.1#10
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#29
Pace72.6#58
Improvement+6.5#7

Offense
Total Offense+8.5#18
Improvement+1.1#107

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#20
Improvement+5.3#10
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.1% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 22.9% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 94.9% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.1 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round74.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen45.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight20.0% n/a n/a
Final Four9.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game4.1% n/a n/a
National Champion1.8% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 5 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 15, 2011 24   Belmont W 97-81 73%     1 - 0 +24.6 +11.5 +10.9
  Nov 21, 2011 23   Michigan L 61-73 60%     1 - 1 +0.5 -6.6 +6.9
  Nov 22, 2011 51   Tennessee W 99-97 2OT 74%     2 - 1 +10.3 +9.2 +0.7
  Nov 23, 2011 17   Georgetown L 88-91 OT 56%     2 - 2 +10.6 +10.8 +0.2
  Nov 28, 2011 333   Jackson St. W 70-45 99%     3 - 2 +7.2 -3.6 +12.7
  Dec 03, 2011 212   Austin Peay W 91-60 96%     4 - 2 +25.0 +5.9 +16.2
  Dec 06, 2011 41   @ Miami (FL) W 71-54 59%     5 - 2 +29.8 +5.3 +25.0
  Dec 11, 2011 42   Murray St. L 72-76 81%     5 - 3 +1.9 -0.1 +2.2
  Dec 17, 2011 19   @ Louisville L 87-95 44%     5 - 4 +8.5 +10.4 -0.4
  Dec 19, 2011 216   Lipscomb W 85-75 97%     6 - 4 +3.6 +15.6 -11.2
  Dec 22, 2011 17   @ Georgetown L 59-70 43%     6 - 5 +6.0 -0.9 +6.3
  Dec 29, 2011 148   Robert Morris W 64-47 94%     7 - 5 +15.0 -6.1 +22.3
  Dec 31, 2011 151   Charlotte W 67-58 94%     8 - 5 +6.9 +0.5 +7.1
  Jan 04, 2012 51   Tennessee W 69-51 83%     9 - 5 +22.9 +0.9 +22.3
  Jan 07, 2012 124   @ UAB W 62-59 80%     10 - 5 1 - 0 +9.4 +0.9 +8.8
  Jan 11, 2012 69   Southern Miss W 60-58 86%     11 - 5 2 - 0 +5.6 -9.7 +15.4
  Jan 14, 2012 182   @ Houston W 89-55 88%     12 - 5 3 - 0 +36.5 +12.7 +23.0
  Jan 18, 2012 93   @ Central Florida L 67-68 73%     12 - 6 3 - 1 +7.8 +5.3 +2.4
  Jan 21, 2012 181   SMU W 63-45 95%     13 - 6 4 - 1 +13.7 -1.6 +17.7
  Jan 25, 2012 145   Rice W 73-51 93%     14 - 6 5 - 1 +20.2 +5.6 +16.0
  Jan 28, 2012 76   Marshall W 83-76 86%     15 - 6 6 - 1 +10.3 +7.9 +2.2
  Feb 01, 2012 69   @ Southern Miss L 72-75 67%     15 - 7 6 - 2 +7.4 +9.8 -2.6
  Feb 04, 2012 61   Xavier W 72-68 84%     16 - 7 +8.3 +2.9 +5.5
  Feb 08, 2012 138   @ East Carolina W 70-59 81%     17 - 7 7 - 2 +16.7 -0.4 +17.1
  Feb 11, 2012 124   UAB W 79-45 92%     18 - 7 8 - 2 +33.6 +19.8 +18.7
  Feb 15, 2012 186   @ Tulane W 82-64 88%     19 - 7 9 - 2 +20.1 +12.8 +7.5
  Feb 18, 2012 131   UTEP L 58-60 92%     19 - 8 9 - 3 -2.9 -3.0 -0.3
  Feb 22, 2012 138   East Carolina W 70-47 93%     20 - 8 10 - 3 +21.9 -5.3 +26.8
  Feb 25, 2012 76   @ Marshall W 87-67 69%     21 - 8 11 - 3 +30.1 +17.4 +12.5
  Feb 28, 2012 93   Central Florida W 84-55 89%     22 - 8 12 - 3 +31.0 +8.5 +21.2
  Mar 03, 2012 94   @ Tulsa W 78-66 73%     23 - 8 13 - 3 +20.6 +10.6 +10.1
  Mar 08, 2012 131   UTEP W 65-47 92%     24 - 8 +17.1 -3.7 +21.7
  Mar 09, 2012 93   Central Florida W 83-52 89%     25 - 8 +33.0 +8.4 +23.6
  Mar 10, 2012 76   Marshall W 83-57 86%     26 - 8 +29.3 +21.9 +10.9
Projected Record 26.0 - 8.0 13.0 - 3.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0    100.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.1 0.1 3.9 18.9 48.3 23.8 4.7 0.3 0.0
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 5.1 0.1 3.9 18.9 48.3 23.8 4.7 0.3 0.0