Pre-tourney Rankings
Marshall
Conference USA
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+6.7#76
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#69
Pace67.1#179
Improvement-2.1#250

Offense
Total Offense+4.5#61
Improvement+1.2#101

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#110
Improvement-3.3#313
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 34.7% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 34.7% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four24.0% n/a n/a
First Round21.4% n/a n/a
Second Round6.3% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.3% n/a n/a
Final Four0.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 320   Alabama St. W 67-49 97%     1 - 0 +2.4 -7.2 +10.1
  Nov 13, 2011 211   Jacksonville St. W 58-44 88%     2 - 0 +8.1 -11.6 +20.7
  Nov 19, 2011 226   Northwestern St. W 83-61 89%     3 - 0 +15.2 -2.4 +14.6
  Nov 22, 2011 236   @ UNC Wilmington W 69-64 77%     4 - 0 +4.0 -1.4 +5.7
  Nov 25, 2011 33   @ Cincinnati W 73-69 OT 24%     5 - 0 +18.1 +10.3 +8.0
  Nov 30, 2011 71   Ohio L 68-70 62%     5 - 1 +1.4 +2.6 -1.2
  Dec 06, 2011 7   @ Syracuse L 56-62 10%     5 - 2 +14.6 -6.3 +20.8
  Dec 11, 2011 48   Iona W 82-63 56%     6 - 2 +24.2 +14.8 +11.3
  Dec 17, 2011 235   High Point W 79-59 91%     7 - 2 +12.2 -2.6 +14.6
  Dec 19, 2011 24   Belmont W 87-86 43%     8 - 2 +9.6 +6.9 +2.6
  Dec 29, 2011 24   @ Belmont L 74-79 20%     8 - 3 +10.4 +1.0 +9.6
  Jan 01, 2012 73   Akron L 51-67 62%     8 - 4 -12.6 -13.5 -1.1
  Jan 04, 2012 131   UTEP W 76-60 77%     9 - 4 1 - 0 +15.1 +7.0 +8.7
  Jan 07, 2012 145   @ Rice W 63-61 56%     10 - 4 2 - 0 +7.0 -5.1 +12.2
  Jan 11, 2012 124   @ UAB W 61-59 51%     11 - 4 3 - 0 +8.4 +4.3 +4.5
  Jan 14, 2012 93   Central Florida W 65-64 67%     12 - 4 4 - 0 +3.0 -3.9 +6.9
  Jan 18, 2012 37   West Virginia L 62-78 36%     12 - 5 -5.6 -2.1 -4.7
  Jan 21, 2012 69   @ Southern Miss L 63-67 36%     12 - 6 4 - 1 +6.4 -3.0 +9.2
  Jan 25, 2012 124   UAB L 49-56 64%     12 - 7 4 - 2 -4.0 -15.8 +11.2
  Jan 28, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 76-83 14%     12 - 8 4 - 3 +11.5 +8.9 +2.8
  Feb 01, 2012 186   Tulane W 63-44 85%     13 - 8 5 - 3 +14.3 +3.0 +15.3
  Feb 04, 2012 94   @ Tulsa L 70-79 42%     13 - 9 5 - 4 -0.4 +3.0 -3.5
  Feb 08, 2012 93   @ Central Florida L 60-67 42%     13 - 10 5 - 5 +1.8 -2.9 +4.0
  Feb 11, 2012 138   East Carolina W 78-68 77%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +8.9 +21.1 -10.0
  Feb 18, 2012 181   @ SMU W 73-68 66%     15 - 10 7 - 5 +7.5 +5.8 +1.9
  Feb 22, 2012 182   Houston W 66-58 85%     16 - 10 8 - 5 +3.7 -7.6 +11.9
  Feb 25, 2012 10   Memphis L 67-87 31%     16 - 11 8 - 6 -8.3 -1.4 -6.8
  Feb 29, 2012 138   @ East Carolina L 68-69 OT 54%     16 - 12 8 - 7 +4.7 -1.9 +6.6
  Mar 03, 2012 69   Southern Miss W 79-75 62%     17 - 12 9 - 7 +7.6 +5.1 +2.5
  Mar 07, 2012 181   SMU W 74-56 76%     18 - 12 +17.1 +4.5 +13.1
  Mar 08, 2012 94   Tulsa W 105-100 3OT 56%     19 - 12 +10.2 +8.0 +0.9
  Mar 09, 2012 69   Southern Miss W 73-62 49%     20 - 12 +18.0 +6.2 +12.5
  Mar 10, 2012 10   @ Memphis L 57-83 14%     20 - 13 -7.5 +0.2 -11.2
Projected Record 20.0 - 13.0 9.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Conference USA Finish

0-16 1-15 2-14 3-13 4-12 5-11 6-10 7-9 8-8 9-7 10-6 11-5 12-4 13-3 14-2 15-1 16-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Conference USA Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 0.0%
8-8
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
16-0
15-1
14-2
13-3
12-4
11-5
10-6
9-7 100.0% 34.7% 34.7% 11.7 0.0 1.3 10.4 19.9 3.1 0.0 65.3 34.7%
8-8
7-9
6-10
5-11
4-12
3-13
2-14
1-15
0-16
Total 100% 34.7% 0.0% 34.7% 11.7 0.0 1.3 10.4 19.9 3.1 0.0 65.3 34.7%