Pre-tourney Rankings
Marquette
Big East
2011-12
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.6#18
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#13
Pace77.6#19
Improvement-2.3#256

Offense
Total Offense+6.8#28
Improvement-1.7#253

Defense
Total Defense+6.7#18
Improvement-0.6#192
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 1.3% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 10.3% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 95.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 3.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round72.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen43.7% n/a n/a
Elite Eight17.6% n/a n/a
Final Four7.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game2.6% n/a n/a
National Champion0.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 3 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 11, 2011 298   Mount St. Mary's W 91-37 98%     1 - 0 +42.0 +12.4 +28.7
  Nov 14, 2011 196   Norfolk St. W 99-68 95%     2 - 0 +25.7 +7.5 +13.0
  Nov 18, 2011 264   Winthrop W 95-73 96%     3 - 0 +16.0 +17.4 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2011 84   Mississippi W 96-66 77%     4 - 0 +35.9 +13.4 +17.9
  Nov 21, 2011 196   Norfolk St. W 59-57 92%     5 - 0 +0.1 -10.5 +10.8
  Nov 28, 2011 248   Jacksonville W 88-56 97%     6 - 0 +23.6 +12.9 +11.3
  Dec 03, 2011 12   @ Wisconsin W 61-54 33%     7 - 0 +25.1 +3.4 +22.3
  Dec 06, 2011 67   Washington W 79-77 73%     8 - 0 +9.2 +4.8 +4.3
  Dec 10, 2011 176   Green Bay W 79-61 94%     9 - 0 +14.0 -0.9 +13.5
  Dec 17, 2011 254   Northern Colorado W 93-72 97%     10 - 0 +12.0 +3.9 +6.4
  Dec 19, 2011 85   @ LSU L 59-67 66%     10 - 1 +1.2 -1.3 +2.0
  Dec 22, 2011 154   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 64-50 92%     11 - 1 +11.7 -4.3 +16.8
  Dec 29, 2011 13   Vanderbilt L 57-74 61%     11 - 2 -6.4 -12.8 +6.6
  Jan 01, 2012 83   Villanova W 81-77 85%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +6.5 +3.1 +3.2
  Jan 04, 2012 17   @ Georgetown L 70-73 37%     12 - 3 1 - 1 +14.0 +9.0 +4.9
  Jan 07, 2012 7   @ Syracuse L 66-73 25%     12 - 4 1 - 2 +13.6 -0.3 +14.3
  Jan 11, 2012 146   St. John's W 83-64 92%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +17.1 +7.6 +9.1
  Jan 14, 2012 68   Pittsburgh W 62-57 82%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +8.7 -0.2 +9.9
  Jan 16, 2012 19   Louisville W 74-63 65%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +20.7 +7.1 +13.0
  Jan 21, 2012 121   @ Providence W 79-72 75%     16 - 4 5 - 2 +13.6 +8.2 +5.6
  Jan 24, 2012 55   South Florida W 67-47 80%     17 - 4 6 - 2 +24.7 +4.8 +21.1
  Jan 28, 2012 83   @ Villanova W 82-78 66%     18 - 4 7 - 2 +13.3 +0.0 +12.7
  Jan 31, 2012 44   Seton Hall W 66-59 78%     19 - 4 8 - 2 +12.4 -3.2 +15.5
  Feb 04, 2012 40   @ Notre Dame L 59-76 51%     19 - 5 8 - 3 -3.7 -5.1 +0.7
  Feb 06, 2012 156   @ DePaul W 89-76 81%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +17.4 +13.2 +3.9
  Feb 11, 2012 33   Cincinnati W 95-78 73%     21 - 5 10 - 3 +24.3 +22.4 +1.2
  Feb 18, 2012 36   @ Connecticut W 79-64 49%     22 - 5 11 - 3 +28.8 +15.9 +13.6
  Feb 22, 2012 117   Rutgers W 82-65 89%     23 - 5 12 - 3 +17.1 +8.0 +8.3
  Feb 24, 2012 37   @ West Virginia W 61-60 49%     24 - 5 13 - 3 +14.8 -3.8 +18.6
  Feb 29, 2012 33   @ Cincinnati L 61-72 48%     24 - 6 13 - 4 +3.1 -4.8 +8.1
  Mar 03, 2012 17   Georgetown W 83-69 63%     25 - 6 14 - 4 +24.2 +14.3 +9.5
  Mar 08, 2012 19   Louisville L 71-84 52%     25 - 7 +0.1 -3.7 +6.2
Projected Record 25.0 - 7.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big East Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Big East Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 3.3 1.3 9.1 52.5 32.3 4.9 0.1 100.0%
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 3.3 1.3 9.1 52.5 32.3 4.9 0.1 100.0%