Pre-tourney Rankings
Oregon
Pac-12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+17.0#10
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#10
Pace70.7#155
Improvement+5.2#14

Offense
Total Offense+10.9#8
First Shot+8.5#12
After Offensive Rebound+2.4#28
Layup/Dunks+4.4#23
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#188
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#116
Freethrows+2.9#20
Improvement+4.8#8

Defense
Total Defense+6.1#36
First Shot+5.2#37
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#84
Layups/Dunks+0.2#172
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.8#62
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#171
Freethrows+3.1#29
Improvement+0.4#160
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 4.4% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 42.6% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 92.5% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 100.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 1.7 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round94.9% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen66.9% n/a n/a
Elite Eight38.7% n/a n/a
Final Four19.4% n/a n/a
Championship Game8.7% n/a n/a
National Champion3.9% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 2 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 261   Jackson St. W 80-52 98%     1 - 0 +18.9 +4.5 +13.3
  Nov 16, 2015 20   Baylor W 74-67 69%     2 - 0 +19.0 +1.0 +17.7
  Nov 20, 2015 325   Savannah St. W 77-59 99%     3 - 0 +3.4 +6.3 -2.2
  Nov 22, 2015 52   Valparaiso W 73-67 83%     4 - 0 +12.9 +6.4 +6.5
  Nov 25, 2015 257   Arkansas St. W 91-68 98%     5 - 0 +14.1 -0.6 +10.9
  Nov 30, 2015 102   Fresno St. W 78-73 91%     6 - 0 +7.2 -3.7 +10.2
  Dec 04, 2015 115   UNLV L 69-80 89%     6 - 1 -7.6 -3.7 -3.3
  Dec 07, 2015 212   Navy W 67-47 96%     7 - 1 +16.7 -4.3 +21.3
  Dec 12, 2015 94   @ Boise St. L 72-74 78%     7 - 2 +6.8 +7.3 -0.6
  Dec 15, 2015 98   UC Irvine W 78-63 90%     8 - 2 +17.7 +6.0 +11.2
  Dec 18, 2015 108   Long Beach St. W 94-73 92%     9 - 2 +22.4 +19.2 +2.5
  Dec 21, 2015 81   Alabama W 72-68 83%     10 - 2 +11.0 +7.9 +3.2
  Jan 03, 2016 57   @ Oregon St. L 57-70 67%     10 - 3 0 - 1 -0.7 -3.9 +2.0
  Jan 06, 2016 23   California W 68-65 69%     11 - 3 1 - 1 +14.8 -0.7 +15.4
  Jan 10, 2016 89   Stanford W 71-58 89%     12 - 3 2 - 1 +16.4 +6.1 +11.4
  Jan 14, 2016 26   @ Utah W 77-59 50%     13 - 3 3 - 1 +35.1 +14.1 +21.6
  Jan 17, 2016 47   @ Colorado L 87-91 64%     13 - 4 3 - 2 +9.4 +18.1 -8.5
  Jan 21, 2016 41   USC W 89-81 80%     14 - 4 4 - 2 +16.0 +9.2 +5.9
  Jan 23, 2016 63   UCLA W 86-72 86%     15 - 4 5 - 2 +19.6 +18.0 +2.2
  Jan 28, 2016 12   @ Arizona W 83-75 41%     16 - 4 6 - 2 +27.3 +20.4 +7.1
  Jan 31, 2016 86   @ Arizona St. W 91-74 76%     17 - 4 7 - 2 +26.5 +13.3 +11.4
  Feb 04, 2016 47   Colorado W 76-56 81%     18 - 4 8 - 2 +27.6 +6.6 +20.3
  Feb 07, 2016 26   Utah W 76-66 71%     19 - 4 9 - 2 +21.2 +11.6 +10.2
  Feb 11, 2016 23   @ California L 63-83 47%     19 - 5 9 - 3 -2.4 +3.1 -6.2
  Feb 13, 2016 89   @ Stanford L 72-76 77%     19 - 6 9 - 4 +5.2 +4.1 +1.1
  Feb 20, 2016 57   Oregon St. W 91-81 84%     20 - 6 10 - 4 +16.5 +18.7 -2.5
  Feb 24, 2016 169   Washington St. W 76-62 96%     21 - 6 11 - 4 +10.5 +7.8 +3.9
  Feb 28, 2016 56   Washington W 86-73 83%     22 - 6 12 - 4 +19.8 +12.5 +6.6
  Mar 02, 2016 63   @ UCLA W 76-68 70%     23 - 6 13 - 4 +19.4 +6.3 +13.0
  Mar 05, 2016 41   @ USC W 76-66 62%     24 - 6 14 - 4 +23.8 +12.4 +11.9
  Mar 10, 2016 56   Washington W 83-77 76%     25 - 6 +15.7 +8.0 +7.1
  Mar 11, 2016 12   Arizona W 95-89 OT 52%     26 - 6 +22.4 +16.9 +4.7
  Mar 12, 2016 26   Utah W 88-57 61%     27 - 6 +45.2 +28.0 +19.6
Projected Record 27.0 - 6.0 14.0 - 4.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Pac-12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 100.0 100.0 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
Total 100.0 Total



Pac-12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0    100.0
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total 100.0% 100.0 100.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 1.7 42.6 49.9 7.5 0.1
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 1.7 42.6 49.9 7.5 0.1