Pre-tourney Rankings
Vanderbilt
Southeastern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.4#25
Expected Predictive Rating+10.1#51
Pace69.4#188
Improvement-2.6#287

Offense
Total Offense+7.3#32
First Shot+6.7#29
After Offensive Rebound+0.6#129
Layup/Dunks+2.4#75
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#197
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#65
Freethrows+1.4#83
Improvement+0.5#163

Defense
Total Defense+7.1#24
First Shot+6.7#18
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#129
Layups/Dunks+0.9#145
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#195
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.2#23
Freethrows+1.7#64
Improvement-3.1#317
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 61.8% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 61.8% n/a n/a
Average Seed 9.9 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four11.7% n/a n/a
First Round57.7% n/a n/a
Second Round33.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.6% n/a n/a
Elite Eight5.7% n/a n/a
Final Four2.3% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.9% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 11 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 228   Austin Peay W 80-41 96%     1 - 0 +32.2 -2.1 +32.4
  Nov 16, 2015 233   Gardner-Webb W 98-62 97%     2 - 0 +28.8 +20.5 +7.5
  Nov 19, 2015 100   Stony Brook W 79-72 OT 87%     3 - 0 +9.5 +1.6 +7.3
  Nov 23, 2015 209   St. John's W 92-55 94%     4 - 0 +33.9 +21.6 +12.4
  Nov 24, 2015 111   Wake Forest W 86-64 84%     5 - 0 +25.9 +14.0 +11.5
  Nov 25, 2015 1   Kansas L 63-70 25%     5 - 1 +14.3 +1.1 +13.0
  Dec 02, 2015 179   Detroit Mercy W 102-52 95%     6 - 1 +46.2 +12.1 +28.6
  Dec 06, 2015 20   @ Baylor L 67-69 37%     6 - 2 +15.8 +6.8 +8.8
  Dec 09, 2015 58   Dayton L 67-72 77%     6 - 3 +1.5 +1.1 +0.3
  Dec 19, 2015 187   Wofford W 80-56 95%     7 - 3 +19.6 +6.3 +14.3
  Dec 22, 2015 9   @ Purdue L 55-68 30%     7 - 4 +7.0 -8.8 +15.9
  Dec 30, 2015 184   Western Michigan W 86-61 95%     8 - 4 +20.7 +12.7 +8.4
  Jan 02, 2016 75   LSU L 82-90 82%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -3.4 +0.2 -2.6
  Jan 05, 2016 66   @ Arkansas L 85-90 OT 62%     8 - 6 0 - 2 +6.1 +1.2 +5.9
  Jan 09, 2016 45   @ South Carolina L 65-69 54%     8 - 7 0 - 3 +9.5 -3.7 +13.5
  Jan 12, 2016 180   Auburn W 75-57 95%     9 - 7 1 - 3 +14.1 +2.8 +11.6
  Jan 16, 2016 81   Alabama W 71-63 83%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +12.1 +6.8 +5.8
  Jan 20, 2016 91   @ Tennessee W 88-74 70%     11 - 7 3 - 3 +22.9 +7.3 +13.9
  Jan 23, 2016 7   @ Kentucky L 57-76 26%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +2.1 -3.4 +3.5
  Jan 26, 2016 37   Florida W 60-59 71%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +9.7 -6.9 +16.6
  Jan 30, 2016 30   @ Texas L 58-72 45%     12 - 9 +1.7 +0.1 +0.0
  Feb 04, 2016 16   Texas A&M W 77-60 56%     13 - 9 5 - 4 +29.9 +17.4 +13.8
  Feb 06, 2016 67   @ Mississippi L 78-85 63%     13 - 10 5 - 5 +4.1 -1.3 +6.3
  Feb 10, 2016 143   Missouri W 86-71 92%     14 - 10 6 - 5 +13.4 +5.1 +7.0
  Feb 13, 2016 180   @ Auburn W 86-57 87%     15 - 10 7 - 5 +31.0 +10.2 +18.9
  Feb 16, 2016 73   @ Mississippi St. L 74-75 64%     15 - 11 7 - 6 +9.6 +8.7 +0.9
  Feb 20, 2016 62   Georgia W 80-67 79%     16 - 11 8 - 6 +18.8 +15.8 +3.5
  Feb 23, 2016 37   @ Florida W 87-74 49%     17 - 11 9 - 6 +27.5 +24.8 +3.0
  Feb 27, 2016 7   Kentucky W 74-62 47%     18 - 11 10 - 6 +27.2 +11.1 +17.2
  Mar 01, 2016 91   Tennessee W 86-69 85%     19 - 11 11 - 6 +20.1 +12.5 +7.4
  Mar 05, 2016 16   @ Texas A&M L 67-76 34%     19 - 12 11 - 7 +9.7 +9.9 -1.0
  Mar 10, 2016 91   Tennessee L 65-67 79%     19 - 13 +4.0 -1.7 +5.6
Projected Record 19.0 - 13.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 61.8% 61.8% 9.9 0.2 4.7 12.1 27.3 17.4 0.1 38.2 61.8%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 61.8% 0.0% 61.8% 9.9 0.2 4.7 12.1 27.3 17.4 0.1 38.2 61.8%