Pre-tourney Rankings
Texas
Big 12
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+12.8#30
Expected Predictive Rating+14.4#23
Pace64.5#303
Improvement+1.8#103

Offense
Total Offense+6.3#40
First Shot+4.8#51
After Offensive Rebound+1.5#70
Layup/Dunks+1.9#97
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#128
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#150
Freethrows+1.5#73
Improvement-0.6#215

Defense
Total Defense+6.5#34
First Shot+5.3#36
After Offensive Rebounds+1.2#63
Layups/Dunks+2.7#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#246
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#61
Freethrows+0.8#110
Improvement+2.5#54
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 13.3% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 95.3% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed 5.4 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round67.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen28.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight9.5% n/a n/a
Final Four3.1% n/a n/a
Championship Game1.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.3% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 6 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 56   Washington L 71-77 62%     0 - 1 +3.7 -9.5 +14.3
  Nov 21, 2015 177   TX A&M Corpus Christi W 67-56 93%     1 - 1 +7.2 -7.9 +14.9
  Nov 25, 2015 16   Texas A&M L 73-84 39%     1 - 2 +4.8 +9.3 -4.6
  Nov 26, 2015 56   Washington W 82-70 62%     2 - 2 +21.7 +13.5 +8.1
  Nov 27, 2015 42   Michigan L 72-78 58%     2 - 3 +4.8 +10.8 -6.8
  Dec 01, 2015 107   Texas Arlington W 80-73 OT 85%     3 - 3 +8.5 +3.2 +4.8
  Dec 04, 2015 224   Samford W 59-49 95%     4 - 3 +3.4 -6.0 +11.3
  Dec 08, 2015 339   Texas San Antonio W 116-50 99%     5 - 3 +49.3 +16.4 +23.5
  Dec 12, 2015 3   North Carolina W 84-82 33%     6 - 3 +19.3 +23.6 -4.2
  Dec 15, 2015 260   Appalachian St. W 67-55 97%     7 - 3 +2.9 -9.8 +13.0
  Dec 19, 2015 89   @ Stanford W 75-73 64%     8 - 3 +11.2 +6.9 +4.3
  Dec 29, 2015 29   Connecticut L 66-71 61%     8 - 4 +5.0 -0.2 +5.2
  Jan 02, 2016 40   @ Texas Tech L 74-82 46%     8 - 5 0 - 1 +5.8 +5.7 +0.2
  Jan 05, 2016 49   Kansas St. W 60-57 70%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +10.4 +2.1 +8.8
  Jan 09, 2016 113   @ TCU L 57-58 73%     9 - 6 1 - 2 +5.4 -6.9 +12.3
  Jan 12, 2016 18   Iowa St. W 94-91 OT 51%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +15.5 +13.9 +1.3
  Jan 16, 2016 82   Oklahoma St. W 74-69 80%     11 - 6 3 - 2 +8.9 +2.9 +5.8
  Jan 20, 2016 6   @ West Virginia W 56-49 20%     12 - 6 4 - 2 +28.7 +4.1 +25.8
  Jan 23, 2016 1   @ Kansas L 67-76 14%     12 - 7 4 - 3 +15.2 +10.2 +4.3
  Jan 26, 2016 113   TCU W 71-54 87%     13 - 7 5 - 3 +17.6 -2.6 +19.2
  Jan 30, 2016 25   Vanderbilt W 72-58 55%     14 - 7 +25.5 +13.4 +13.7
  Feb 01, 2016 20   @ Baylor W 67-59 31%     15 - 7 6 - 3 +25.8 +10.0 +17.0
  Feb 06, 2016 40   Texas Tech W 69-59 68%     16 - 7 7 - 3 +18.0 +4.9 +14.0
  Feb 08, 2016 8   @ Oklahoma L 60-63 23%     16 - 8 7 - 4 +17.6 +2.2 +15.1
  Feb 13, 2016 18   @ Iowa St. L 75-85 30%     16 - 9 7 - 5 +8.3 +6.0 +2.5
  Feb 16, 2016 6   West Virginia W 85-78 38%     17 - 9 8 - 5 +22.9 +22.1 +0.9
  Feb 20, 2016 20   Baylor L 64-78 53%     17 - 10 8 - 6 -2.0 -4.9 +2.7
  Feb 22, 2016 49   @ Kansas St. W 71-70 48%     18 - 10 9 - 6 +14.3 +14.8 -0.4
  Feb 27, 2016 8   Oklahoma W 76-63 42%     19 - 10 10 - 6 +27.8 +11.4 +16.6
  Feb 29, 2016 1   Kansas L 56-86 30%     19 - 11 10 - 7 -11.6 -9.3 -1.8
  Mar 04, 2016 82   @ Oklahoma St. W 62-50 62%     20 - 11 11 - 7 +21.7 +9.0 +15.2
  Mar 10, 2016 20   Baylor L 61-75 42%     20 - 12 +0.9 -7.1 +8.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 5.4 0.9 12.4 35.9 46.0 4.7 0.0 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 0.0% 100.0% 5.4 0.9 12.4 35.9 46.0 4.7 0.0 100.0%