Pre-tourney Rankings
Davidson
Atlantic 10
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+4.9#105
Expected Predictive Rating+6.9#87
Pace74.2#83
Improvement-0.8#216

Offense
Total Offense+7.5#31
First Shot+7.6#18
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#183
Layup/Dunks-1.0#228
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#76
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.8#21
Freethrows+1.0#110
Improvement-1.2#240

Defense
Total Defense-2.6#239
First Shot-2.4#248
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#205
Layups/Dunks-0.2#192
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#162
Freethrows+1.6#70
Improvement+0.3#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% n/a n/a
Average Seed 11.3 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.1% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 14, 2015 173   Central Florida W 90-85 79%     1 - 0 +1.4 +1.7 -1.2
  Nov 21, 2015 124   College of Charleston W 82-81 69%     2 - 0 +0.9 +13.0 -12.2
  Nov 23, 2015 190   Mercer W 77-71 82%     3 - 0 +1.3 +0.4 +0.8
  Dec 01, 2015 195   @ Charlotte W 109-74 65%     4 - 0 +35.8 +22.2 +9.5
  Dec 06, 2015 3   @ North Carolina L 65-98 6%     4 - 1 -9.9 -7.7 +3.0
  Dec 09, 2015 205   Eastern Washington W 96-86 84%     5 - 1 +4.2 +8.5 -5.0
  Dec 12, 2015 194   Western Carolina W 87-54 82%     6 - 1 +28.0 +7.9 +18.3
  Dec 20, 2015 34   Pittsburgh L 69-94 25%     6 - 2 -13.1 -4.3 -7.1
  Dec 23, 2015 144   Morehead St. W 81-77 73%     7 - 2 +2.4 +7.1 -4.7
  Dec 28, 2015 23   @ California L 60-86 12%     7 - 3 -8.4 -5.6 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2016 83   @ St. Bonaventure L 85-97 32%     7 - 4 0 - 1 -2.3 +7.1 -8.4
  Jan 06, 2016 151   Duquesne W 77-66 75%     8 - 4 1 - 1 +8.9 -3.3 +11.4
  Jan 09, 2016 196   George Mason W 81-75 82%     9 - 4 2 - 1 +1.0 +5.2 -4.3
  Jan 12, 2016 58   @ Dayton L 74-80 24%     9 - 5 2 - 2 +6.3 +15.5 -9.6
  Jan 16, 2016 162   Massachusetts W 86-74 77%     10 - 5 3 - 2 +9.1 +6.2 +1.9
  Jan 20, 2016 211   @ Saint Louis L 87-96 69%     10 - 6 3 - 3 -9.3 +9.0 -17.4
  Jan 25, 2016 103   @ Richmond W 78-70 38%     11 - 6 4 - 3 +15.9 +8.6 +7.7
  Jan 29, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 69-79 35%     11 - 7 4 - 4 -1.2 -3.8 +3.4
  Feb 03, 2016 72   @ George Washington L 69-79 29%     11 - 8 4 - 5 +0.7 +7.4 -7.8
  Feb 06, 2016 151   @ Duquesne W 93-82 55%     12 - 8 5 - 5 +14.7 +12.2 +1.5
  Feb 10, 2016 250   La Salle W 79-66 89%     13 - 8 6 - 5 +4.7 +8.8 -3.2
  Feb 13, 2016 196   @ George Mason L 59-60 65%     13 - 9 6 - 6 -0.2 -7.6 +7.3
  Feb 16, 2016 103   Richmond W 83-79 61%     14 - 9 7 - 6 +6.1 +14.2 -7.7
  Feb 20, 2016 44   Saint Joseph's W 99-93 39%     15 - 9 8 - 6 +13.7 +19.9 -6.6
  Feb 23, 2016 90   Rhode Island W 65-54 56%     16 - 9 9 - 6 +14.3 +2.8 +12.8
  Feb 27, 2016 148   @ Fordham L 82-91 54%     16 - 10 9 - 7 -5.1 +7.7 -12.3
  Mar 02, 2016 35   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 60-70 18%     16 - 11 9 - 8 +4.6 +1.5 +2.1
  Mar 05, 2016 72   George Washington W 87-80 50%     17 - 11 10 - 8 +11.8 +14.3 -2.5
  Mar 10, 2016 250   La Salle W 78-63 83%     18 - 11 +9.6 +5.1 +4.8
  Mar 11, 2016 83   St. Bonaventure W 90-86 OT 43%     19 - 11 +10.8 +7.0 +3.3
  Mar 12, 2016 35   Virginia Commonwealth L 54-76 26%     19 - 12 -10.3 -5.5 -7.3
Projected Record 19.0 - 12.0 10.0 - 8.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 100.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.1%