Pre-tourney Rankings
Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#34
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#30
Pace65.5#289
Improvement-3.6#307

Offense
Total Offense+7.8#30
First Shot+5.1#48
After Offensive Rebound+2.7#20
Layup/Dunks-0.4#193
2 Pt Jumpshots+5.3#8
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#251
Freethrows+2.5#29
Improvement-4.7#339

Defense
Total Defense+4.1#69
First Shot+2.1#103
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#17
Layups/Dunks-0.5#206
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#183
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#195
Freethrows+2.9#32
Improvement+1.1#113
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.5% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 93.6% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 93.6% n/a n/a
Average Seed 8.5 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.0% n/a n/a
First Round93.2% n/a n/a
Second Round49.5% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen12.4% n/a n/a
Elite Eight4.8% n/a n/a
Final Four1.5% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.4% n/a n/a
National Champion0.1% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 9 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 20, 2015 179   Detroit Mercy W 95-79 92%     1 - 0 +12.2 +8.0 +2.8
  Nov 25, 2015 275   Cornell W 93-49 97%     2 - 0 +33.7 +15.6 +18.2
  Nov 28, 2015 182   Kent St. W 85-76 92%     3 - 0 +5.0 +13.8 -8.2
  Dec 01, 2015 9   Purdue L 59-72 41%     3 - 1 +1.1 -1.4 +1.3
  Dec 04, 2015 151   Duquesne W 96-75 85%     4 - 1 +21.8 +21.2 +0.3
  Dec 06, 2015 327   Central Arkansas W 100-47 99%     5 - 1 +37.9 +8.2 +25.0
  Dec 11, 2015 205   Eastern Washington W 84-51 94%     6 - 1 +27.2 +6.2 +22.4
  Dec 13, 2015 144   Morehead St. W 72-62 89%     7 - 1 +8.4 +0.9 +7.7
  Dec 20, 2015 105   Davidson W 94-69 75%     8 - 1 +29.9 +12.4 +15.9
  Dec 23, 2015 194   Western Carolina W 79-73 93%     9 - 1 +1.0 +5.0 -4.0
  Dec 30, 2015 38   Syracuse W 72-61 63%     10 - 1 1 - 0 +19.6 +15.9 +5.4
  Jan 02, 2016 319   Maryland Eastern Shore W 92-58 98%     11 - 1 +20.2 +7.0 +11.6
  Jan 06, 2016 55   Georgia Tech W 89-84 69%     12 - 1 2 - 0 +11.8 +17.9 -6.1
  Jan 09, 2016 36   @ Notre Dame W 86-82 40%     13 - 1 3 - 0 +18.6 +24.8 -5.8
  Jan 14, 2016 11   @ Louisville L 41-59 22%     13 - 2 3 - 1 +1.9 -17.2 +18.0
  Jan 16, 2016 206   Boston College W 84-61 94%     14 - 2 4 - 1 +17.2 +16.7 +1.6
  Jan 19, 2016 74   North Carolina St. L 61-78 75%     14 - 3 4 - 2 -12.3 -16.2 +5.1
  Jan 23, 2016 46   @ Florida St. W 74-72 44%     15 - 3 5 - 2 +15.5 +8.8 +6.7
  Jan 27, 2016 48   @ Clemson L 60-73 44%     15 - 4 5 - 3 +0.4 -2.1 +1.5
  Jan 31, 2016 61   Virginia Tech W 90-71 72%     16 - 4 6 - 3 +25.0 +17.6 +6.9
  Feb 06, 2016 4   Virginia L 50-64 32%     16 - 5 6 - 4 +2.8 -1.3 +0.2
  Feb 09, 2016 14   @ Miami (FL) L 63-65 25%     16 - 6 6 - 5 +17.0 +5.9 +10.8
  Feb 14, 2016 3   @ North Carolina L 64-85 15%     16 - 7 6 - 6 +2.1 -1.2 +4.2
  Feb 16, 2016 111   Wake Forest W 101-96 2OT 85%     17 - 7 7 - 6 +6.0 +9.1 -4.1
  Feb 20, 2016 38   @ Syracuse W 66-52 40%     18 - 7 8 - 6 +28.4 +11.6 +19.0
  Feb 24, 2016 11   Louisville L 60-67 42%     18 - 8 8 - 7 +7.0 +1.3 +5.1
  Feb 28, 2016 17   Duke W 76-62 47%     19 - 8 9 - 7 +26.7 +15.6 +13.0
  Mar 02, 2016 61   @ Virginia Tech L 61-65 50%     19 - 9 9 - 8 +7.8 -0.8 +8.2
  Mar 05, 2016 55   @ Georgia Tech L 59-63 47%     19 - 10 9 - 9 +8.7 -6.2 +14.7
  Mar 09, 2016 38   Syracuse W 72-71 52%     20 - 10 +12.5 +12.2 +0.3
  Mar 10, 2016 3   North Carolina L 71-88 22%     20 - 11 +3.2 +7.9 -5.0
Projected Record 20.0 - 11.0 9.0 - 9.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 100.0 100.0 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 100.0% 93.6% 93.6% 8.5 0.0 0.5 15.2 30.9 30.9 14.3 1.9 6.4 93.6%
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 93.6% 0.0% 93.6% 8.5 0.0 0.5 15.2 30.9 30.9 14.3 1.9 6.4 93.6%