Pre-tourney Rankings
Mercer
Southern
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.8#190
Expected Predictive Rating-1.2#179
Pace61.2#340
Improvement-7.5#347

Offense
Total Offense+0.6#161
First Shot-1.3#220
After Offensive Rebound+1.9#46
Layup/Dunks-1.0#223
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#69
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#205
Freethrows-1.5#276
Improvement-0.6#216

Defense
Total Defense-2.4#232
First Shot-3.4#273
After Offensive Rebounds+1.0#76
Layups/Dunks+1.6#114
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#78
3 Pt Jumpshots-6.5#348
Freethrows+0.0#170
Improvement-6.8#350
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 16, 2015 196   George Mason W 69-60 62%     1 - 0 +4.0 +0.4 +4.3
  Nov 19, 2015 295   Alabama St. W 70-49 82%     2 - 0 +9.2 -0.4 +12.1
  Nov 23, 2015 105   @ Davidson L 71-77 18%     2 - 1 +1.8 -2.8 +4.7
  Nov 26, 2015 192   Tulane W 71-61 50%     3 - 1 +8.1 +6.2 +2.6
  Nov 27, 2015 260   Appalachian St. W 71-70 66%     4 - 1 -5.1 +0.6 -5.7
  Nov 29, 2015 184   Western Michigan W 68-65 48%     5 - 1 +1.6 -4.8 +6.4
  Dec 05, 2015 313   Alcorn St. W 68-43 85%     6 - 1 +11.9 -1.7 +17.0
  Dec 15, 2015 180   @ Auburn L 71-78 36%     6 - 2 -5.0 +2.3 -7.5
  Dec 19, 2015 66   Arkansas W 69-66 OT 17%     7 - 2 +11.2 -5.0 +16.0
  Dec 22, 2015 69   @ Ohio St. L 44-64 12%     7 - 3 -9.0 -21.2 +12.1
  Dec 30, 2015 258   @ Kennesaw St. W 76-73 55%     8 - 3 -0.2 +1.2 -1.4
  Jan 02, 2016 224   Samford W 69-50 68%     9 - 3 1 - 0 +12.4 +3.9 +11.6
  Jan 05, 2016 106   @ Chattanooga L 62-74 19%     9 - 4 1 - 1 -4.5 -6.3 +1.8
  Jan 09, 2016 323   @ The Citadel W 91-80 74%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +2.5 +7.2 -5.1
  Jan 14, 2016 168   Furman W 69-65 56%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +0.6 -0.9 +1.8
  Jan 16, 2016 187   Wofford W 70-69 OT 60%     12 - 4 4 - 1 -3.4 -3.5 +0.1
  Jan 21, 2016 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 63-65 OT 30%     12 - 5 4 - 2 +1.6 -9.4 +11.0
  Jan 24, 2016 194   @ Western Carolina L 80-86 2OT 40%     12 - 6 4 - 3 -5.1 -5.8 +1.8
  Jan 28, 2016 304   VMI W 73-58 84%     13 - 6 5 - 3 +2.7 +0.7 +3.3
  Jan 30, 2016 210   UNC Greensboro W 81-67 66%     14 - 6 6 - 3 +7.9 +8.6 +0.1
  Feb 01, 2016 224   @ Samford W 85-70 46%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +14.2 +14.5 +0.2
  Feb 06, 2016 323   The Citadel W 88-72 88%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +1.7 -12.3 +10.8
  Feb 08, 2016 106   Chattanooga L 66-72 OT 37%     16 - 7 8 - 4 -4.3 -0.8 -3.9
  Feb 11, 2016 187   @ Wofford L 70-79 38%     16 - 8 8 - 5 -7.6 +3.1 -11.6
  Feb 13, 2016 168   @ Furman L 74-85 34%     16 - 9 8 - 6 -8.6 +10.8 -20.8
  Feb 18, 2016 194   Western Carolina L 65-72 62%     16 - 10 8 - 7 -12.0 +1.5 -14.6
  Feb 20, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 74-77 52%     16 - 11 8 - 8 -5.2 +5.6 -11.1
  Feb 25, 2016 304   @ VMI L 82-91 67%     16 - 12 8 - 9 -15.4 +4.4 -19.7
  Feb 28, 2016 210   @ UNC Greensboro L 65-69 44%     16 - 13 8 - 10 -4.2 -4.1 -0.4
  Mar 04, 2016 323   The Citadel W 71-69 82%     17 - 13 -9.4 -5.7 -3.6
  Mar 05, 2016 155   East Tennessee St. L 65-81 40%     17 - 14 -15.3 -13.4 -0.9
Projected Record 17.0 - 14.0 8.0 - 10.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 100.0 100.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Southern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10 100.0% 100.0
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%