Pre-tourney Rankings
Green Bay
Horizon
2015-16
Overall
Predictive Rating+2.9#122
Expected Predictive Rating+4.1#113
Pace89.7#5
Improvement+3.9#33

Offense
Total Offense+2.3#115
First Shot+0.3#162
After Offensive Rebound+2.0#43
Layup/Dunks+2.7#66
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#212
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#215
Freethrows-0.3#197
Improvement+2.4#71

Defense
Total Defense+0.6#160
First Shot+0.8#149
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#195
Layups/Dunks-2.2#269
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#86
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#105
Freethrows+0.4#149
Improvement+1.6#91
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier n/a n/a n/a
Average Seed 14.8 n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round100.0% n/a n/a
Second Round7.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen1.1% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.1% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding 15 seed  


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 13, 2015 89   @ Stanford L 89-93 OT 27%     0 - 1 +5.2 -0.4 +6.6
  Nov 17, 2015 155   @ East Tennessee St. L 90-103 47%     0 - 2 -9.4 -0.2 -6.7
  Nov 19, 2015 55   @ Georgia Tech L 77-107 18%     0 - 3 -17.3 -2.6 -10.0
  Nov 24, 2015 99   Akron W 66-63 51%     1 - 3 +5.7 -13.2 +18.6
  Nov 28, 2015 264   @ Eastern Illinois W 81-72 73%     2 - 3 +5.5 -9.6 +13.5
  Nov 30, 2015 309   @ SIU Edwardsville W 87-69 83%     3 - 3 +10.9 +7.6 +2.2
  Dec 06, 2015 128   Toledo L 69-71 63%     3 - 4 -2.4 -6.9 +4.5
  Dec 15, 2015 218   Pacific W 93-88 81%     4 - 4 -1.4 +4.9 -7.0
  Dec 23, 2015 33   @ Wisconsin L 79-84 13%     4 - 5 +9.8 +1.0 +9.7
  Dec 28, 2015 144   @ Morehead St. W 78-72 45%     5 - 5 +10.2 +8.6 +1.7
  Jan 02, 2016 255   Northern Kentucky W 86-70 86%     6 - 5 1 - 0 +7.3 -0.8 +6.5
  Jan 04, 2016 145   Wright St. W 76-68 67%     7 - 5 2 - 0 +6.3 +3.8 +2.4
  Jan 07, 2016 281   @ Cleveland St. W 87-67 77%     8 - 5 3 - 0 +15.1 +8.4 +4.6
  Jan 09, 2016 289   @ Youngstown St. L 93-103 78%     8 - 6 3 - 1 -15.3 -7.7 -5.1
  Jan 14, 2016 331   @ Illinois-Chicago W 78-76 88%     9 - 6 4 - 1 -7.6 -2.1 -5.7
  Jan 16, 2016 52   @ Valparaiso L 70-85 18%     9 - 7 4 - 2 -2.3 -1.6 +1.1
  Jan 19, 2016 348   @ Chicago St. W 99-66 93%     10 - 7 +19.7 +5.1 +9.3
  Jan 23, 2016 88   Oakland L 95-111 48%     10 - 8 4 - 3 -12.5 +2.9 -12.7
  Jan 25, 2016 179   Detroit Mercy W 115-108 OT 74%     11 - 8 5 - 3 +3.2 +1.5 -0.5
  Jan 29, 2016 114   @ Wisconsin-Milwaukee L 94-95 37%     11 - 9 5 - 4 +5.3 +15.8 -10.4
  Feb 04, 2016 255   @ Northern Kentucky W 85-78 71%     12 - 9 6 - 4 +4.2 -0.1 +3.5
  Feb 06, 2016 145   @ Wright St. L 60-79 45%     12 - 10 6 - 5 -14.9 -10.5 -3.6
  Feb 11, 2016 179   @ Detroit Mercy W 86-85 53%     13 - 10 7 - 5 +3.0 -0.7 +3.5
  Feb 13, 2016 88   @ Oakland L 93-111 27%     13 - 11 7 - 6 -8.7 +0.6 -5.6
  Feb 15, 2016 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-68 59%     14 - 11 8 - 6 +2.5 -6.1 +8.6
  Feb 20, 2016 289   Youngstown St. W 107-90 90%     15 - 11 9 - 6 +5.8 +18.7 -14.0
  Feb 22, 2016 281   Cleveland St. W 78-61 89%     16 - 11 10 - 6 +6.2 +2.8 +2.9
  Feb 26, 2016 331   Illinois-Chicago W 85-69 95%     17 - 11 11 - 6 +0.5 -1.7 +0.2
  Feb 28, 2016 52   Valparaiso L 68-70 35%     17 - 12 11 - 7 +4.9 +1.2 +3.7
  Mar 05, 2016 281   Cleveland St. W 65-53 84%     18 - 12 +4.1 -7.3 +11.2
  Mar 06, 2016 114   Wisconsin-Milwaukee W 70-61 48%     19 - 12 +12.4 -7.8 +19.8
  Mar 07, 2016 52   Valparaiso W 99-92 OT 25%     20 - 12 +16.8 +16.1 -0.6
  Mar 08, 2016 145   Wright St. W 78-69 56%     21 - 12 +10.2 +6.6 +3.4
Projected Record 21.0 - 12.0 11.0 - 7.0




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Horizon Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
Total 100.0 Total



Horizon Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 14.8 0.2 24.3 75.5 0.0
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 100.0% 0.0% 14.8 0.2 24.3 75.5 0.0